The Nevada Wolf Pack (26-6) travel to face off against the Dayton Flyers (24-6) on Thursday, March 21st. This game will be played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City and televised on TBS. Both Nevada and Dayton will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:30 ET.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Dayton Flyers
The Nevada Wolf Pack Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
After losing their last game to Colorado State, Nevada looks to bounce back on the road, where they have won their last five games. Overall, the Wolf Pack are 11-4 on the road this season, compared to 15-3 at home.
For the season, Nevada is 26-6, including a perfect 13-0 record in non-conference games. As the favorite, the Wolf Pack are 20-5, and they have been favored in 25 of their 32 games.
As the favorite this season, Nevada has gone 15-10 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wolf Pack are 6-4 ATS. On the road, Nevada has an ATS mark of 11-4 this year and they are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games.
This season, the over/under record in Nevada games is 16-17. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 143.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than their season average OU line of 143.1. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 148 points.
The Dayton Flyers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
As the underdog, Dayton has gone 2-2 this season. In their last game, they lost to Duquesne by a score of 65-57. Over their last ten games at home, the Flyers have gone 9-1.
On the season, Dayton has an average scoring margin of +12.5 at home compared to +2.8 on the road. For the year, they are 17-1 at home and 7-6 on the road.
As the underdog this season, Dayton has a solid ATS record of 2-1-1. Their overall ATS mark is .500 at 15-15-1, but they have struggled at home vs. the spread with an 8-10 record. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Flyers have gone 5-4-1.
Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this season (137). So far, 15 of their games have had higher point totals than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points, which is higher than the season average of 141 points per game.
Nevada Offense Breakdown
In their recent matchup, the Nevada offense ended with 78 points against Colorado State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.9% and made 5 threes. In terms of offense, the Wolf Pack have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 73rd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 124th in percentage and 257th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jarod Lucas (G) | 17.8 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Kenan Blackshear (G) | 15.1 | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Nick Davidson (F) | 12.1 | 7.3 | 1.4 |
Dayton Offense Breakdown
The Dayton offense is coming off a game where they scored 57 points against Duquesne. They posted a field goal percentage of 32% and connected on 7 threes. Offensively, the Flyers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 62nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 35th in terms of percentage and 23rd in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DaRon Holmes II (F) | 20.4 | 8.4 | 2.6 |
| Nate Santos (F) | 12.0 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Koby Brea (G) | 10.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
Nevada Team Defense
At this time, the Wolf Pack’s defense is positioned 52nd in the country, permitting 67.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. Dayton. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.1%.
Dayton Team Defense
So far, the Flyers’ defense is ranked 36th in the country at 66.3 points per contest. Dayton’s three-point defense is currently 199th in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. Dayton.
Wolf Pack vs Flyers Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Nevada has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 79 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Through their last five home games, Dayton has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 76 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Flyers have gone 2-2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
- In their last three contests as the favorite, Nevada has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.
Wolf Pack vs Flyers Prediction
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Flyers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 136.5, and our model projects the Wolf Pack and Flyers to reach a combined total of 144 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 19, 2024 Dayton Flyers, Nevada Wolf Pack