New Mexico Lobos vs Clemson Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

New Mexico Lobos vs Clemson Tigers Prediction 3/22/2024

The New Mexico Lobos (22-9) travel to face off against the Clemson Tigers (21-10) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on truT. New Mexico is coming off a win in their previous game, while Clemson is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Boston College. Tip-off is set for 3:10 ET.

New Mexico Lobos vs Clemson Tigers

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their matchup with Clemson, the New Mexico Lobos are the favorites, as they have been in 27 of their 31 games this season. Overall, they have gone 23-4 in those games, including 10-6 on the road.

New Mexico comes into this game with a record of 22-9 and they have won their last five games. On the road, their average scoring margin is +5.0, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

As the favorite, New Mexico has an impressive ATS record of 20-7 this season and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Overall, the Lobos have an ATS mark of 23-11 this year and they are 10-6 vs. the spread on the road.

So far this season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 17-17. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is slightly lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (152.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 134 points.

The Clemson Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Heading into their matchup with New Mexico, Clemson is 21-10 overall this season, including an 11-10 record in Atlantic Coast Conference play. The Tigers have lost two straight games, including a 76-55 defeat at the hands of Boston College.

At home this season, Clemson is 14-5, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 6-4. For the year, they have been the underdog in seven games, going 4-3 in those matchups.

As the underdog this season, Clemson has an ATS record of 6-1. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 16-14-2. At home, the Tigers are just 7-10-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Clemson has gone 7-3 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Clemson’s games this year (147.4). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points compared to their season average of 148.7 points per game.

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the New Mexico offense ended with 68 points against San Diego State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.5% and made 6 threes. Donovan Dent is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 14.3. Meanwhile, Jaelen House also brings a PPG average of 16.1 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Donovan Dent (G) 14.3 2.5 5.6
Jaelen House (G) 16.1 3.6 3.5
JT Toppin (F) 12.5 9.0 0.6

Clemson Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Clemson offense tallied 55 points in a matchup against Boston College. Their field goal percentage for the game was 35.2%, and they made 4 threes. In terms of offense, the Tigers have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 89th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 125th in percentage and 91st in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
PJ Hall (C) 18.8 6.6 1.5
Joseph Girard III (G) 15.7 3.3 2.8
Chase Hunter (G) 12.2 2.4 2.9

New Mexico Team Defense

On defense, New Mexico is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.2 points per game. Against San Diego State in their most recent game, the New Mexico defense gave up a total of 61 points while allowing San Diego State to hit 35% of their shots.

Clemson Team Defense

In terms of defense, Clemson is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.3 points per game. Clemson’s three-point defense is currently 231st in the country at 8.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.0% of their shots vs. Clemson.

Lobos vs Tigers Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, New Mexico has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 75 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Tigers have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Clemson has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Lobos have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. New Mexico posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.

Lobos vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers come in as the underdog at +2.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 149.5, and our model predicts the Lobos and Tigers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.