The New Mexico Lobos (25-8) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (27-7) on Sunday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Rocket Arena in Cleveland and televised on None. Both New Mexico and Michigan State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:40 ET.
New Mexico Lobos vs Michigan State Spartans
The Lobos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
New Mexico Lobos Recent Game/Games
New Mexico fell to 25-8 on the season after a 72-69 loss to Boise State on Friday. The Lobos, who were -1.5 favorites, didn’t cover the spread in the home loss. The game’s total points of 141 fell short of the O/U line of 146.5.
New Mexico led 34-28 at halftime but allowed 44 points in the 2nd half while scoring 35. The Lobos will need to tighten up defensively to bounce back in their next game.
The Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Michigan State’s season record dropped to 27-7 after a 77-74 loss to Wisconsin on Saturday, March 15th. The Spartans, who were -2.5 favorites, didn’t cover the spread in this home game.
After trailing 37-33 at halftime, Michigan State scored 41 points in the 2nd half but allowed 40. The game’s total points of 151 exceeded the O/U line of 145.5.
Lobos Offense Breakdown
New Mexico’s offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 39.7% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc, finishing with an effective field goal percentage of 44.4%. They managed to score 69 points, with 14 offensive rebounds and 14 assists.
Donovan Dent led the way with 23 points and 5 assists, hitting 3 of 4 from deep. Tyson Degenhart added 22 points, while Nelly Junior Joseph contributed 19 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 63.6% from the floor. Emmanuel Ugbo was efficient, shooting 71.4% and hitting 2 of 3 from three-point range.
Spartans Offense Breakdown
John Tonje’s 32-point performance led Michigan State’s offense in their latest game, as he shot 53.3% from the field and hit 4 of 10 from beyond the arc. Jase Richardson added 21 points, connecting on 4 of 5 three-point attempts, finishing with 50% shooting overall.
The Spartans shot 40.7% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 47.5%. They made 7 of 19 threes (36.8%) and hit 19 of 24 free throws (79.2%). Jeremy Fears Jr. contributed 14 points and 6 assists, while John Blackwell also scored 14 points, despite shooting just 36.4%.
Lobos Team Defense
New Mexico’s defense gave up 72 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 39% from the field on 25 of 63 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 19 of 45 shooting, which is 42%.
From three-point range, New Mexico’s defense held their opponents to 6 of 18 shooting, or 33%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 18 times, where they made 13, shooting 72%. New Mexico gave up 14 offensive rebounds.
Spartans Team Defense
New Mexico’s defense gave up 72 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 39% from the field, hitting 25 of 63 attempts. Inside the arc, the opponents went 19 for 45, shooting 42% on two-point attempts.
From three-point range, the opposition shot 33%, making 6 of 18 attempts. New Mexico also sent them to the free-throw line 18 times, where they converted 13 free throws for a 72% success rate. The Lobos allowed 14 offensive rebounds in the game.
Lobos vs Spartans Trends
- Across the Lobos last ten road games, the team averaged 76 points per game while allowing 69. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 7-3 straight-up.
- In their last three home games, Michigan State has averaged 74 points per game while allowing 67. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- New Mexico has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
- Michigan State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Lobos vs Spartans Prediction
We’re putting our money on the Spartans to win, and have the projected score sitting at 78-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Spartans at -7.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 148 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 22, 2025 Michigan State Spartans, New Mexico Lobos