New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans NCAAB Betting prediction

New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Prediction 1/24/2024

The New Mexico Lobos (16-3) travel to face off against the San Jose State Spartans (8-10) on Wednesday, January 24th. This game will be played at Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose and televised on CBSS. New Mexico is coming off a win in their previous game, while San Jose State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Fresno State. Tip-off is set for 11:00 ET.

New Mexico Lobos vs San Jose State Spartans

The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win

With a 16-3 record, New Mexico has been dominant this season, especially at home, where they are 9-0. However, they have also been solid on the road, going 5-3.

Over their last 10 road games, the Lobos are just 5-5, but they have won two straight and three of their last five.

As the favorite this season, New Mexico has gone 12-3 vs. the spread. On the road, the Lobos are 4-4 ATS this year and 4-6 over their last 10 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 156.5 is higher than the average over/under line in New Mexico’s games this season (152.9). So far, 11 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0 and the average scoring total is 164 points.

The San Jose State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

San Jose State will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak at home, where they are 4-4 this season. Overall, the Spartans are 8-10, including a 1-4 record in Mountain West Conference games.

For the season, San Jose State has been the underdog in 10 of its 18 games, going 3-7 in those matchups. The Spartans are 3-3 when they are favored.

San Jose State has an ATS record of 8-8 this season, including a mark of 4-4 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Spartans are 6-4 vs. the spread.

San Jose State’s over/under record this season is 13-3 and the average over/under line in their games is 136.5. So far, nine of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 156.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 9-1.

New Mexico Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, New Mexico’s offense looked good, scoring 85 points against Air Force. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 54.7% and made 11/14 free throws. The top scorer for the Lobos was JT Toppin with 25 points, while Jamal Mashburn JR also added 13 to the scoreboard.

Donovan Dent (G) 14.8 2.8 6.2
JT Toppin (F) 13.4 8.2 0.6
Jaelen House (G) 15.1 3.1 3.8

San Jose State Offense Breakdown

San Jose State is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 82 points versus Fresno State. This output is higher than their season-average of 75.3 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Myron Amey Jr., who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.2, while Tibet Gorener also maintains a PPG average of 13.9 leading up to the game.

Myron Amey Jr. (G) 15.2 4.7 3.1
Tibet Gorener (F) 13.9 4.8 0.6
Alvaro Cardenas Torre (G) 13.5 3.7 5.9

New Mexico Team Defense

Currently, the Lobos’ defense holds the 102nd rank in the nation, allowing 69.2 points per game. New Mexico’s three-point defense is currently 67th in the country at 6.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.0% of their shots vs. New Mexico.

San Jose State Team Defense

San Jose State’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, San Jose State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.6% this season.

Lobos vs Spartans Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, New Mexico has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 79 points per game.
  • Although San Jose State has a straight up record of 3-7 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 68 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Spartans have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Lobos have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 8-2.

Lobos vs Spartans Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +9.5, the Spartans is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 156.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.