The New Mexico Lobos (22-8) travel to face off against the Utah State Aggies (25-5) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.
New Mexico Lobos vs Utah State Aggies
The New Mexico Lobos Are Coming Off A Win
As the underdog, New Mexico has gone 1-4 this season. So far, the Lobos have gone 22-8 and they have a 9-7 record in Mountain West play. They have gone 8-5 on the road this year, and their average scoring margin on the road is +5.0.
In their last game, New Mexico beat Fresno State by a score of 79-58. Over their last three games, they have gone 1-2, and in their last 10 games, they have a record of 6-4. This season, they have been the underdog five times.
As the underdog, New Mexico has struggled against the spread this year, going just 1-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Lobos have gone 3-6-1 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 16-12. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 153.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (153.1). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 153 points.
The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win
Utah State enters this game as 3.5-point favorites, and they have been the favorite in 22 of their 30 games this season. Overall, they have a record of 25-5, including a 13-1 mark at home. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +12.7 points per game.
The Aggies are coming off a 90-70 win over San Jose State, and they have won three straight games. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.
Utah State has a solid ATS mark of 15-10-1 this season, including a home ATS record of 9-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies’ ATS mark is 5-4-1.
Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Utah State’s games this season (144.6). This year, 21 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.
New Mexico Offense Breakdown
The New Mexico offense is coming off a game where they scored 79 points against Fresno State. They posted a field goal percentage of 38% and connected on 9 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Donovan Dent, who holds an average of 14.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, JT Toppin is averaging 12.5 points per game this season.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent (G) | 14.9 | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| JT Toppin (F) | 12.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 |
| Jaelen House (G) | 15.0 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
Utah State Offense Breakdown
The Utah State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 90 points vs. San Jose State. Overall their field goal percentage was 53.4% while connecting on 16 threes. The top scorer for the Aggies was Darius Brown II with 21 points, while Mason Falslev also chipped in with 20 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Great Osobor (F) | 17.5 | 8.9 | 2.9 |
| Ian Martinez (G) | 13.0 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Darius Brown II (G) | 12.2 | 4.3 | 6.3 |
New Mexico Team Defense
In terms of defense, New Mexico is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.2 points per game. Against Fresno State in their most recent game, the New Mexico defense gave up a total of 58 points while allowing Fresno State to hit 38% of their shots.
Utah State Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 69.1 points per contest. In their previous game vs. San Jose State, the Spartans finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 70 points vs. Utah State.
Lobos vs Aggies Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Lobos offense has averaged 81 points per game while allowing an average of 77. New Mexico posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 5-5 ATS.
- In their last ten games at home, the Aggies have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 4-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 80 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, New Mexico has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Aggies have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Lobos vs Aggies Prediction
The Aggies is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-69. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Aggies at -3.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 160.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 9, 2024 New Mexico Lobos, Utah State Aggies