49ers vs commanders nfl betting prediction

NFL: 49ers vs. Washington Commanders Prediction 12/31/2023

The San Francisco 49ers (11-4) travel to face off against the Washington Commanders (4-11) on Sunday, December 31st. This game will be played at FedEx Field in FedEx Field and televised on FOX. Both the 49ers and Commanders will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 ET.

49ers vs Commanderssan francisco 49ers betting

The 49ers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The 49ers recently suffered a 33-19 defeat at the hands of the Ravens. Besides their loss in the game, the 49ers couldn’t cover the spread despite being 6.5 point favorites.

San Francisco’s offense produced a total of 429 yards against the Ravens. When it came to third downs, the 49ers had a conversion rate of 42.9%. The leading rusher for the 49ers was Christian McCaffrey with 103 yards, and Brock Purdy contributed 255 passing yards.

Defensively, the 49ers concluded their last game with two sacks and five interceptions. The team’s secondary gave up 241 passing yards, while their rush defense permitted 102 rushing yards.

Looking at the NFC-West standings, the 49ers are in 1st place on a record of 11-4. In the NFC, San Francisco is in 1st place heading into week 17.

The current scoring margin for the 49ers’ is +11.8, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 8-6-1. At 8-6-1 vs. the over/under, the 49ers have an average margin of +3.6 versus their over/under lines. This season, their games have a combined average of 47.4 points per contest.

49ers Injury Report

  • Ross Dwelley – Ankle (Questionable)
  • George Odum – Bicep (Out)
  • Ray-Ray McCloud III – Rib (Out)
  • Jauan Jennings – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Elijah Mitchell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Arik Armstead – Foot/knee (Questionable)
  • Trent Williams – Groin (Questionable)
  • Oren Burks – Knee (Questionable)
  • Danny Gray – Shoulder (Out)
  • Kalia Davis – Ankle (Out)
  • Brock Purdy – Neck (Questionable)
  • Drake Jackson – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Zakelj – Bicep (Out)
  • Jaylon Moore – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Talanoa Hufanga – Knee (Out)
  • Aaron Banks – Toe (Questionable)
  • Ambry Thomas – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Cameron Latu – Knee (Out)

The Commanders Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Commanders fell to the Jets by a score of 30-28. In spite of losing to New York, the Commanders did cover the spread as 3-point underdogs in the game.

On offense, Jacoby Brissett ended with 100 passing yards on a completion rate of 76%. On the ground, the Commanders ran the ball 22 times, amassing 102 yards. The team converted 3 third-downs at a rate of 25%.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Commanders gave up 381 yards of total offense to New York. 164 of these yards came on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 217 yards on 49 attempts.

Going into this week 17 matchup, the Commanders seek to end their six game losing streak. So far, they have an overall record of 4-11 and are positioned 4th in the NFC-East.

The Commanders have a 6-8-1 record against the spread this season. So far this season, their average scoring margin is -9.6. Washington games have averaged 50.8 points so far this season, which is 3rd in the NFL. Their over/under record is 9-6, with an average OU line of 42.3 points.

Commanders Injury Reportcommanders logo

  • Braeden Daniels – Shoulder (Out)
  • Ricky Stromberg – Knee (Out)
  • Brian Robinson Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. – Foot (Questionable)
  • Shaka Toney – Suspension (Out)
  • Benjamin St-Juste – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Darrick Forrest – Shoulder (Out)
  • Armani Rogers – Achilles (Out)
  • Percy Butler – Wrist (Questionable)
  • Curtis Hodges – Back (Out)
  • Curtis Brooks – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Andrew Wylie – Elbow (Questionable)
  • Tyler Larsen – Knee (Questionable)
  • Charles Leno Jr. – Calf (Questionable)
  • Efe Obada – Leg (Out)
  • De’Jon Harris – Quad (Out)
  • Dax Milne – Groin (Out)
  • Jamin Davis – Shoulder (Out)
  • David Bada – Triceps (Out)
  • Jeremy Reaves – Knee (Out)

49ers Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the 49ers have an average of 29.6 points per game, which is 3rd in the NFL.

As a team, San Francisco is 2nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (265.7). Their passing yards per attempt figure of 9.1 is 1st in the league.

The 49ers come in with an average of 4.9 yards per rushing attempt while running the ball an average of 28.7 times per game. In terms of total rushing yardage, they currently rank 4th in the league.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

At home, the Commanders are averaging 18 points per contest compared to their overall numbers of 20.6 points per game. In the league, Washington is 20th in overall scoring.

Among the other teams in the league Washington ranks 16th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 228.8. Their passing yards per attempt, 5.9, places them 13th.

Per attempt, the Commanders are averaging 4.6 yards while carrying the ball an average of 21.9 times per contest. In terms of yardage, they are 21st in the league.

49ers Team Defense

On the defensive front, the 49ers enter the game as the 14th ranked team in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 17.8 points per game against them, along with an average of 312.3 yards per contest.

Commanders Team Defense

So far the Commanders’ defense has given up an average of 384.3 yards per game and 30.2 points per contest (30th). Coming into the game, they have allowed a completion percentage allowed of 64.2% and have given up 33 passing touchdowns. Against the run, they are 23rd in the NFL.

49ers vs Commanders Trends

  • San Francisco has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 33 points per game while allowing 17. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Commanders have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 22 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting underdog, the Commanders have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Washington posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the 49ers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

49ers vs Commanders Prediction

San Francisco’s passing attack should build off last week’s good performance against Baltimore. Being favored by 13.5 on the road, I’m liking San Francisco to cover.

Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 48.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 49 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.