Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Prediction 12/1/2024

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off against the Carolina Panthers at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 1st. This matchup is being played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte.

The Panthers are +211 on the money line as they host the Buccaneers at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 1st at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. The Buccaneers are favored with money line odds of -259 and a point spread of -6. This week 13 NFC South matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 46.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, December 1st
  • Time: 4:05 ET
  • Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
  • TV: FOX

Buccaneers vs Panthers

tampa bay buccaneers nfl

After snapping a four-game losing streak with a 30-7 win over the Giants in week 12, the Bucs are now 5-6 and sit 2nd in the NFC South. Tampa Bay has a +3.3 scoring margin this season and is 7-4 against the spread, including three straight ATS wins. They covered the 6-point spread against New York and have a 3-1 ATS record as favorites.

Heading into week 13, the Bucs have a 44.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 31.7% chance of winning the division. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings. Their O/U record is 7-4, with the under hitting in their last two games.

After back-to-back wins, the Panthers couldn’t make it three in a row, losing 30-27 to the Chiefs in week 12. Carolina was a +11 underdog at home but kept the game close, covering the spread. This was their third straight ATS win, including outright victories over the Giants and Saints in weeks 9 and 10.

Heading into week 13, the Panthers are 3-8 and rank 29th in our power rankings. They have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. Carolina’s O/U record is 8-3, with their games averaging 48.5 points per game.

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Tykee Smith – Knee (Questionable)
  • Markees Watts – Quad (Out)
  • Silas Dzansi – Knee (Out)
  • SirVocea Dennis – Shoulder (Out)
  • Kameron Johnson – Ankle (Out)
  • Bryce Hall – Ankle (Out)
  • Eric Banks – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tristan Wirfs – Knee/foot (Questionable)
  • Joe Tryon-Shoyinka – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Cody Thompson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Sua Opeta – Knee (Out)
  • Jordan Whitehead – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Chase Edmonds – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Godwin – Ankle (Out)

Panthers Injury Report

  • Anthony Brown – Thumb (Out)
  • Shaq Thompson – Achilles (Out)
  • Austin Corbett – Bicep (Out)
  • Ian Thomas – Calf (Out)
  • Miles Sanders – Ankle (Out)
  • Derrick Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Scott – Hamstring (Out)
  • Amaré Barno – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Jalen Coker – Quad (Questionable)
  • Ja’Tavion Sanders – Neck (Questionable)
  • DJ Johnson – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Popo Aumavae – Undisclosed (Out)

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Buccaneers rank 7th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28.1 points per game, which is 4th in the NFL. They are 7th in passing yards per game (241.5) on 34 attempts per game, and they average 128.1 rushing yards per game, ranking 10th, despite being 23rd in rushing attempts. Tampa Bay has been strong on 3rd down, converting 50.4% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the league, and they are 5th in red zone attempts, though they rank 27th in red zone conversion percentage.

Baker Mayfield is coming off a strong performance in week 12, throwing for 294 yards on 24/30 passing against the Giants, with a passer rating of 107. Bucky Irving led the team in rushing with 87 yards on 12 carries, while Mike Evans had 5 catches for 68 yards. The Bucs scored 23 points in the first half, including 16 in the 2nd quarter, and converted 6 of 11 3rd downs and 4 of 5 red zone attempts.

Panthers Offense Breakdown

carolina panthers

Heading into week 13, the Panthers rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 27th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.6, and 31st in yards per game, with 285.5. Carolina ranks 17th in passing attempts but is 31st in passing yards per game, averaging 177.8. They are 25th in rushing attempts and 24th in rushing yards per game, with 107.7. On third down, the Panthers are 27th in the league, converting 33.8% of their attempts, but they are 10th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 12, Bryce Young threw for 263 yards, completing 21 of 35 passes with one touchdown and no interceptions. Chuba Hubbard had 16 carries for 58 yards and a touchdown, while David Moore led the team with 81 receiving yards on 6 catches, including a touchdown. Carolina scored 11 points in the 4th quarter but fell short in a 30-27 loss to the Chiefs.

Buccaneers Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Buccaneers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 169 passing yards and 76 rushing yards on 20 attempts in a 30-7 win over the Giants. They held New York to just a 5.3 yards per attempt average in the passing game and limited them to a 45.5% conversion rate on third downs.

Tampa Bay also recorded four sacks, and their pressure on the quarterback was evident with a positive differential in both QB hits and tackles for loss compared to the Giants. The Buccaneers’ defense made it tough for the Giants to sustain drives, as they couldn’t find the end zone through the air.

Panthers Team Defense

In their 30-27 loss to the Chiefs, the Panthers’ defense allowed Kansas City to convert on 61.5% of their third down attempts. Despite recording five sacks and pressuring the quarterback, the Panthers struggled to stop the run, giving up 165 rushing yards on just 26 attempts. Carolina’s run defense allowed 6.3 yards per attempt, making it difficult for them to get off the field.

In the passing game, the Panthers allowed 226 yards through the air, with the Chiefs completing 73% of their passes. Carolina’s defense gave up three passing touchdowns in the game, and they will need to improve their run defense and red zone defense in future games.

Buccaneers vs Panthers Trends

  • In their last three road games, Tampa Bay has averaged 35 points per game while allowing 21. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five games at home, the Panthers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 15 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Panthers have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 4-6.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Tampa Bay has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 7-3 straight up.

Buccaneers vs Panthers Prediction

Our model has the Panthers coming out on top by a score of 26-19 in their week 13 matchup against the Buccaneers. With this projected final score, we like the Panthers to cover the spread as home underdogs.

For this one, we are also leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 46.5 points. Our projections have this game finishing with 45 combined points, making the under a good bet to consider.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.