bengals vs chiefs nfl betting prediction

NFL: Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction 12/31/2023

The Cincinnati Bengals (8-7) travel to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) on Sunday, December 31st. This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Arrowhead Stadium and televised on CBS. Both the Bengals and Chiefs will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 ET.

Bengals vs Chiefs

The Bengals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a 34-11 loss to the Steelers, the Bengals are looking to get back on track this week. With the 23 point loss to the Steelers, the Bengals also took a loss vs. the spread as 2.5-point favorites.

Against the Steelers, the Bengals ran the ball 16 times, with Joe Mixon leading the team with 43 yards. Jake Browning threw the ball 42 times for 335 yards and a passer rating of 69.

The Bengals defense is coming off a game in which they struggled to defend the run, conceding 77.29007633587787 first downs on the ground. In total, Pittsburgh put up113 rushing yards against the Bengals’ defense. In terms of overall yardage, Pittsburgh finished with 397 yards of offense.

Leading up to their matchup with the Chiefs, the Bengals are 8-7. They currently sit 4th in the AFC-North and are in 10th place in the AFC.

The Bengals have a 6-8-1 ATS record so far. As we enter week 17, their scoring margin per game is -1.8. The Bengals come in with an over/under record of 9-6. Their games have had an average over/under betting line of 43.9 points, with an average combined score of 44.2 points per game.

Bengals Injury Report

  • DJ Reader – Quad (Out)
  • Joe Burrow – Wrist (Out)
  • Ja’Marr Chase – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Cam Taylor-Britt – Quad (Out)
  • Tycen Anderson – Knee (Out)
  • Jaxson Kirkland – Wrist (Out)
  • Devin Cochran – Knee (Out)
  • Devonnsha Maxwell – Knee (Out)
  • DJ Ivey – Knee (Out)

The Chiefs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Most recently, the Chiefs hosted the Raiders. The game ended in a 20-14 loss for Kansas City. In addition to losing straight-up, the Chiefs also lost vs. the spread as 11 point favorites.

For the game, quarterback Patrick Mahomes attempted 44 passes and finished with 27 completions for 235. His passer rating for the game was 73.

The Chiefs’ defense concluded their last game with two sacks and one interception. The team’s secondary allowed 48 passing yards, while their rush defense permitted 157 rushing yards.

At 9-6, the Chiefs are 3rd in the AFC and 1st in the AFC-West. This will be Kansas City’s 9th home game this season, where they have gone 4-4 compared to 5-2 on the road.

The current scoring margin for the Chiefs’ is +4.5, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 7-7-1. The average over/under line for Kansas City games this season is 46.6 points. Their over/under record stands at 5-10, with an average margin against the over/under of -6.8.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Gerrit Prince – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Bryan Cook – Ankle (Out)
  • Isiah Pacheco – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Trey Smith – Calf (Questionable)
  • Skyy Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Kadarius Toney – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Questionable)
  • Donovan Smith – Neck (Questionable)
  • Jerick McKinnon – Groin (Out)

Bengals Offense Breakdown

The Bengals come in with an average of 21.2 points per game which is 18th in the NFL.

This season, Cincinnati’s passing offense ranks 5th in passing attempts. With an average of 239.4 passing yards per game, they hold the 11th spot in the NFL.

The Bengals come in with an average of 3.8 yards per rushing attempt while running the ball an average of 21.4 times per game. In terms of total rushing yardage, they currently rank 31st in the league.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

The Chiefs come in with an average of 22.2 points per game which is 11th in the NFL.

As a team, Kansas City ranks 4th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 253.5. Their passing yards per attempt of 6.6, places them at 8th in the league.

On a per-attempt basis, the Chiefs average 4.1 yards while carrying the ball an average of 24.5 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 20th in the league.

Bengals Team Defense

kansas city chiefs bettingIn terms of turnovers, the Cincinnati defense has 23 takeaways, which is 4th in the NFL. Overall, they are giving up 23 points per game and 383.4 yards.

Chiefs Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Chiefs hold the 13th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 4th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 17.7 points and gain 287.3 yards per game against them.

Bengals vs Chiefs Trendscincinnati bengals betting

  • Through their last ten road games, Cincinnati has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 20 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 25 points per game in these contests.
  • The last ten games that Cincinnati was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-3-1.

Bengals vs Chiefs Prediction

Even though the Chiefs picked up a win in their previous game, they got off to a slow start on offense. Despite being favored vs. the Bengals, I like the Bengals to cover the spread (+7).

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 44.5. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 50 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.