Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction 11/17/2024

The Cincinnati Bengals will face off against the Los Angeles Chargers at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 17th. This matchup is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood.

On Sunday, November 17th at 8:20 ET, the Bengals and Chargers will face off in a week 11 AFC matchup. The game, played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, will be televised on NBC. The Chargers are the favorite with a point spread of -1.5 and a money line of -120, while the Bengals’ money line sits at +100. The over/under line is 46.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, November 17th
  • Time: 8:20 ET
  • Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
  • TV: NBC

Bengals vs Chargers

cincinnati bengals nfl

Heading into week 11, the Bengals sit 15th in our NFL power rankings and have a 36.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-6 on the season, which puts them 3rd in the AFC North. Cincinnati is 3-2 on the road but just 1-4 at home. In week 10, they couldn’t follow up on their week 9 win over the Raiders, falling 35-34 to the Ravens. Despite the loss, they covered the spread as 6-point underdogs. The O/U line was 53 points, and the teams combined for 69.

The Bengals are 6-4 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +0.8. They have covered in two straight games. Their O/U record is 7-3, and the over has hit in three consecutive games. Their matchups have averaged 53.2 points, compared to an average line of 46.2.

With three straight wins, the Chargers now sit at 6-3, giving them an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. After a week 7 loss to the Cardinals, L.A. bounced back with wins over the Saints, Browns, and Titans, including a 27-17 victory over Tennessee in week 10. The Chargers covered the 8.5-point spread in that game, and they are 6-2-1 against the spread this season, including a 6-1 record as favorites.

Heading into week 11, the Chargers rank 16th in our NFL power rankings. They are 2-7 on over/unders, with their games averaging 33.8 points per game. Their division record is 2-1, and they are 3-1 at home and 3-2 on the road.

Bengals Injury Report

  • Orlando Brown Jr. – Knee/fibula (Questionable)
  • Trent Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Cam Sample – Achilles (Out)
  • D’Ante Smith – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Evans – Leg (Out)
  • Jaxson Kirkland – Bicep (Out)
  • Dax Hill – Knee (Out)
  • Tee Higgins – Quad (Questionable)
  • Zack Moss – Neck (Out)
  • Charlie Jones – Groin (Questionable)
  • Erick All Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Lance Robinson – Undisclosed (Out)

Chargers Injury Report

  • Trey Pipkins III – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Kristian Fulton – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
  • Asante Samuel Jr. – Shoulder (Out)
  • Simi Fehoko – Elbow (Out)
  • Bucky Williams – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tyler McLellan – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Chris Collins – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Deane Leonard – Hamstring (Out)
  • Stone Smartt – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Brenden Rice – Shoulder (Out)
  • Junior Colson – Ankle (Out)

Bengals Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 11, the Bengals are 5th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27 points per game. They rank 4th in passing yards per game (254.8) and 6th in passing attempts, with Joe Burrow throwing for 428 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 10. On 3rd down, Cincinnati ranks 3rd in the NFL, converting 47.3% of their attempts.

In week 10, Burrow connected with Ja’Marr Chase 11 times for 264 yards and 3 touchdowns. Chase Brown led the rushing attack with 42 yards on 13 carries. The Bengals scored 13 points in the 4th quarter against the Ravens, but fell just short in a 35-34 loss.

Chargers Offense Breakdown

los angeles chargers

Heading into week 11, the Chargers are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 20.7, and sit 22nd in passing yards per game with 196.4, despite being 30th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 19th in rushing yards per game (117.9) and 8th in rushing attempts. Los Angeles is converting 39.8% of their 3rd downs, which ranks 12th in the league, and they are 6th in red zone conversion percentage.

Justin Herbert has been on a roll, posting passer ratings of 111, 125, and 123 over his last three games. In week 10, he threw for 164 yards and a touchdown on 14/18 passing, without an interception. Ladd McConkey led the team with 52 receiving yards, while Gus Edwards had 55 rushing yards on 10 carries.

Bengals Team Defense

In their 35-34 loss to the Ravens, the Bengals allowed four passing touchdowns and gave up 290 yards through the air. Baltimore completed 75.8% of their passes and converted 58.3% of their third down attempts. Cincinnati’s defense struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record a sack and had a -12 differential in quarterback hits.

Despite their struggles defending the pass, the Bengals did win the tackles for loss differential, and they held the Ravens to 99 yards on 25 rushing attempts. However, Baltimore was still able to score 35 points and pull off the comeback victory.

Chargers Team Defense

In the Chargers’ 27-17 win over the Titans, their defense allowed just 157 passing yards on 18 completions. However, they did give up two passing touchdowns and allowed the Titans to complete 78.3% of their passes. The Chargers’ defense was able to sack the quarterback seven times and held the Titans to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

Despite their success in the passing game, the Chargers did struggle to stop the run, giving up 132 yards on just 21 attempts. This meant that the Titans averaged 6.3 yards per attempt on the ground.

Bengals vs Chargers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Cincinnati has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Los Angeles has averaged 21 points per game while allowing 14. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bengals have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Chargers have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Bengals vs Chargers Prediction

For this week 11 matchup between the Chargers and Bengals, we have the Chargers coming out on top by a score of 28-23. Even though the Bengals are the favorite at +1.5, we like the Chargers to cover as home favorites. Our point spread pick is to take the Chargers to cover at -1.5.

As for the best way to bet the over/under, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points and the line sitting at 46.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.