The Denver Broncos will face off against the Buffalo Bills at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 12th. This matchup is being played at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park.

The Broncos are +358 on the money line as they face the Bills in the wild card round of the playoffs. The Bills are the heavy favorite at -468, with the game set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 12th. Buffalo is favored by -8.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 47 points. This AFC matchup is being televised on CBS.

• Date: Sunday, January 12th
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park
• TV: CBS

Broncos vs Bills

Denver finished the regular season with a 10-7 record, placing them 3rd in the AFC West and 7th in the conference. After starting the year ranked 17th in our power rankings, they climbed into the top 10. Against the spread, the Broncos went 12-5, including an 8-0 record as favorites. Their O/U record was 11-6, with their games averaging 43.3 points compared to a line of 41.3.

In week 18, the Broncos bounced back from two straight losses with a 38-0 win over the Chiefs. Denver covered the 11-point spread, but the game went under the 40.5-point line. In week 17, they lost 30-24 to the Bengals, and in week 16, they fell 34-27 to the Chargers.

With a 13-4 record, the Bills finished the regular season 1st in the AFC East and 2nd in the conference standings. They went 5-1 in division play and were a perfect 8-0 at home, but they were 5-4 on the road. Buffalo ranked 4th in our power rankings heading into the season.

The Bills had an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game and were 10-7 against the spread. As favorites, they were 8-5 ATS, and they went 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record was 11-6, with the over hitting in each of their last two games. Buffalo’s games averaged 52.5 points, with an average O/U line of 46.3.

Broncos Injury Report

• Frank Crum – Illness (Questionable)
• Delarrin Turner-Yell – Knee (Out)
• Tyler Badie – Back (Questionable)
• Quinn Bailey – Ankle (Out)
• Alex Singleton – Torn Acl (Out)

Bills Injury Report

• Shane Buechele – Neck (Out)
• Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
• Baylon Spector – Calf (Out)
• Terrel Bernard – Leg/quad (Questionable)
• Travis Clayton – Shoulder (Out)

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Heading into the Wild Card round, the Broncos sit 16th in our offensive power rankings. They’re averaging 25 points per game, which ranks 10th in the NFL, and 324.6 yards per game, placing them 19th. Denver is 10th in passing attempts, with 33.5 per game, but ranks 20th in passing yards, averaging 212.4. On the ground, they’re 11th in rushing attempts and 16th in rushing yards, with 112.2 per game. The Broncos are 13th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 39.6% success rate, and 22nd in red zone conversion percentage.

Bo Nix had an efficient outing in week 3, going 25/36 for 216 yards without a touchdown or interception. Courtland Sutton led the team with 7 catches for 68 yards, while Tyler Badie rushed for 70 yards on 9 carries. Denver scored 14 points in the 1st quarter against the Buccaneers but managed just 6 points the rest of the way.

Bills Offense Breakdown

Josh Allen has been on fire to start the season, posting a passer rating of 142 in week 3, with 263 yards and 4 touchdowns on 23/30 passing against the Jaguars. He hasn’t thrown an interception since week 1 and wasn’t sacked in weeks 2 or 3. Khalil Shakir led the team in receiving in week 3 with 6 catches for 72 yards, while Allen also led the team in rushing with 44 yards on 6 carries.

Buffalo’s offense ranks 3rd in our power rankings, and they are 2nd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 30.9 points per game. They are 10th in total yards, with 359.1 per game, and 9th in passing yards, with 227.9 per game, despite ranking 22nd in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 9th in rushing yards, with 131.2 per game, on 28.9 attempts per game.

Broncos Team Defense

The Broncos’ defense was dominant in their 38-0 win over the Chiefs, holding them to just 98 total yards. Kansas City managed only 27 yards on 11 rushing attempts. Denver’s secondary allowed just 71 passing yards and limited the Chiefs to a 58.8% completion percentage. On third downs, the Chiefs converted just 11.1% of their chances.

Denver’s pass rush was also outstanding, finishing with five sacks and generating a lot of pressure, as they won the QB hit differential and the tackles for loss differential against Kansas City.

Bills Team Defense

In their 23-16 loss to the Patriots, the Bills’ defense allowed 232 passing yards and 77 rushing yards on 30 attempts. They gave up one passing touchdown and allowed New England to convert 33.3% of their third down attempts. The Bills’ defense managed one sack and had two more quarterback hits than the Patriots.

Buffalo’s defense forced New England to throw short, as they completed 73.3% of their passes. Despite this, the Bills still gave up 309 total yards in the game.

Broncos vs Bills Trends

• Through their last three road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 26 points per game.
• In their last three games at home, the Bills have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 35 points per game in this stretch.
• Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Denver has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 0-5 straight up.
• Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bills have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.

Broncos vs Bills Prediction

Our projected final score for this Broncos vs. Bills matchup is 27-23 in favor of the Broncos. With the point spread sitting at +8.5 in favor of the Broncos, we are leaning towards taking them to cover as road underdogs. The Broncos are our pick to cover, and with the line at 27-23 in favor of the Broncos, there is some value in taking them to cover.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points and the O/U line at 47 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.