Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction 11/10/2024

The Denver Broncos will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th. This matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

The Chiefs are heavily favored in their week 10 matchup with the Broncos, which is set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs’ money line odds are -431, while the Broncos’ odds are +329. On the point spread, the Chiefs are -8.5, and the over/under line is 41.5 points. This AFC West matchup is being televised on CBS.

  • Date: Sunday, November 10th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
  • TV: CBS

Broncos vs Chiefs

denver broncos nfl

After three straight wins, the Broncos couldn’t keep their streak alive in week 9, falling 41-10 to the Ravens. Denver was a 9-point underdog heading into the game, and the loss dropped their record to 5-4. They currently sit 3rd in the AFC West and 7th in the conference standings. Our projections give them a 35.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.7% chance of winning the division.

Heading into week 10, the Broncos rank 27th in our NFL power rankings. They have a +2.4 scoring margin this season and are 6-3 against the spread. They are 3-0 ATS as favorites and 3-3 as underdogs. Denver’s O/U record is 6-3, with the over hitting in each of their last five games.

With a 30-24 win over the Buccaneers in week 9, the Chiefs improved to 8-0, giving them a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs and a 95.6% chance of winning the AFC West. Kansas City ranks 3rd in our NFL power rankings and sits 1st in both the AFC and their division. They are 4-0 at home and on the road, including a week 7 win over the 49ers, when they covered as 2.5-point underdogs.

Against the spread, the Chiefs are 4-3-1, with an average scoring margin of +7. They have failed to cover in two straight games, including their win over the Bucs, when they were 8.5-point favorites. Their O/U record is 4-4, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Broncos Injury Report

  • Delarrin Turner-Yell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Luke Wattenberg – Ankle (Out)
  • Drew Sanders – Achilles (Out)
  • Tyler Badie – Back (Out)
  • P.J. Locke – Thumb (Questionable)
  • Quinn Bailey – Ankle (Out)
  • Josh Reynolds – Hand (Out)
  • Alex Singleton – Torn Acl (Out)

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Baylor Cupp – Undisclosed (Out)
  • McKade Mettauer – Knee (Out)
  • Patrick Mahomes – Ankle (Questionable)
  • BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
  • Jared Wiley – Knee (Out)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Jaylen Watson – Ankle (Out)
  • Rashee Rice – Knee (Out)
  • Marquise Brown – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Knee (Out)
  • Mike Danna – Pectoral (Questionable)
  • Isiah Pacheco – Ankle (Out)
  • Skyy Moore – Core Muscle (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Knee (Out)
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster – Hamstring (Questionable)

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Broncos sit 29th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the NFL in points per game (20.3) and 24th in yards per game (308.6). Despite ranking 12th in passing attempts, they are 27th in passing yards per game (187.1). On the ground, Denver is 15th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (121.4). They rank 24th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 33.6% success rate.

In week 9, Denver struggled offensively, scoring just 10 points in a loss to the Ravens. Bo Nix threw for 223 yards (19/33) with one interception and no touchdowns. The Broncos were shut out in the 1st, 3rd, and 4th quarters. Javonte Williams had 42 rushing yards on 12 carries, while Courtland Sutton led the team with 122 receiving yards on 7 catches.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

kansas city chiefs

Patrick Mahomes heads into week 10 with an ankle injury, but he is coming off a strong week 9 performance, throwing for 291 yards and 3 touchdowns on 34/44 passing without an interception. Mahomes had a passer rating of 116 in the win over the Buccaneers. In the last three games, he has improved his passer rating from 44 in week 7 to 96 in week 8 and 116 in week 9.

Kareem Hunt rushed for 106 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries in week 9, while Travis Kelce had 14 receptions for 100 yards. The Chiefs converted 12 of 18 third-down attempts and scored on all 4 red zone trips against the Buccaneers.

Broncos Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Broncos’ defense gave up 269 yards through the air on 16 completions to the Ravens. Overall, the defense allowed 396 total yards in a 41-10 loss. The Ravens were efficient in the passing game, completing 84.2% of their passes and finishing with three passing touchdowns.

On the ground, the Broncos allowed 127 rushing yards on 34 attempts. Denver struggled to generate pressure, finishing with only one sack and losing the QB hit differential by -4. Additionally, they allowed the Ravens to convert on 37.5% of their third-down attempts.

Chiefs Team Defense

In their 30-24 overtime win over the Buccaneers, the Chiefs’ defense allowed 189 passing yards on 23 completions. They also gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed a 74.2% completion percentage to Tampa Bay. The Chiefs defended the run well, giving up just 95 yards on 19 attempts, but they struggled on third downs, allowing the Bucs to convert 45.5% of their third down chances.

Kansas City’s defense recorded two sacks in the game but struggled in the backfield, losing the QB hit differential by -3 and the tackles for loss differential by -5. Despite these issues, the Chiefs managed to come out on top in a close contest with the Buccaneers.

Broncos vs Chiefs Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Broncos have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across their last five home contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-1-1. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 22 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Broncos have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Chiefs have an overall record of 3-0 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take Kansas City to cover at home, as they are currently sitting at -8.5 point favorites in this week 10 matchup against the Broncos. Even though the Chiefs are the heavy favorites at -8.5, we have the Broncos losing by a score of 27-17.

For the over/under line, with the line sitting at 41.5 points, we have a projected score of 44 points, making the over our recommended pick.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.