broncos vs chargers nfl prediction

NFL: Broncos vs. LA Chargers Prediction 12/10/2023

The Denver Broncos (6-6) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Chargers (5-7) on Sunday, December 10th. This game will be played at SoFi Stadium in SoFi Stadium and televised on CBS. The Chargers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Broncos are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texans. Kickoff is set for 4:25 ET.

Broncos vs Chargers

The Broncos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Recently, the Broncos played and had a 22-17 loss against the Texans. With a 5-point loss, the Broncos added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3.5-point underdogs prior to the game.

Offensively, Russell Wilson finished with 186 passing yards while completing 57% of his passes. On the ground, the Broncos ran the ball 30 times for 118 yards. The team went 0/11 on third down.

The Broncos’ defense concluded their last game with five sacks and three interceptions. The team’s secondary allowed 264 passing yards, while their rush defense permitted 89 rushing yards.

Through 12 games, the Broncos are 2nd in the AFC-West on an overall record of 6-6. This will be Denver’s 6th game on the road this season and they are below .500 at 2-3. At home, they have gone 4-3.

The Broncos’ current scoring margin stands at -3.2, which has them coming in with a 4-7-1 ATS record. Throughout this season, Denver games have averaged 47.1 points, ranking them 7th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 5-7, with an average OU line of 44.2 points.

Broncos Injury Report

  • Alex Palczewski – Hand (Out)
  • Eyioma Uwazurike – Suspension (Out)
  • Jalen Virgil – Meniscus (Out)
  • Jonas Griffith – Knee (Out)
  • Caden Sterns – Knee (Out)
  • Greg Dulcich – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tim Patrick – Achilles (Out)
  • Kareem Jackson – Suspension (Out)
  • K’Waun Williams – Ankle (Out)

The Chargers Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, the Chargers beat the Patriots by a score of 6-0. Being favored by 4.5 points against the Patriots, the Chargers came through with an ATS win.

Offensively, Justin Herbert ended with 212 passing yards with a completion rate of 59%. The Chargers ran the ball 24 times, gaining 29 yards. The team converted 5 of 15 third-down opportunities.

The Chargers’ defense will need to improve their run defense this as in in week 13, they gave up 148 rushing yards to the Patriots. Also, the Chargers allowed 109 passing yards. The Patriots went 4/14 on 3rd down.

Heading into week 14,Los Angeles is in 3rd place in the AFC-West, sitting with an overall record of 5-7. In the AFC, they find themsevles in 12th place.

The Chargers’ current scoring margin for the season stands at +1.4, contributing to their ATS record of 5-7. The Chargers are currently working with an average over/under line of 46.7 points this season. Their games have been averaging 44.4 points per game, resulting in an over/under record of 3-9.

Chargers Injury Report

  • Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
  • Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Vannett – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Joey Bosa – Foot (Out)
  • Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
  • Zack Bailey – Back (Questionable)
  • Tanner Muse – Knee (Out)
  • JT Woods – Illness (Questionable)
  • Ja’Sir Taylor – Illness (Questionable)
  • Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)

Broncos Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Broncos have beenone of the better teams in the league in the first quarter, ranking 8th in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 21.9 points per game (14th).

In the passing game, the Broncos are averaging 183.2 passing yards per game, which is 26th in the league. So far, 49.5% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

Denver comes in with an average of 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and have an average of 26.3 attempts per game. In terms of total rushing yards, they are currently ranked 13th in the league.

Chargers Offense Breakdown

los angeles charges bettingIn terms of offense, the Chargers are at 22.9 points per game, ranking them 11th in the NFL.

Los Angeles currently sits 5th in passing attempts and has an average of 6.6 yards per attempt (9). They are also ranked 11th in the league with 240.9 passing yards per game.

Per attempt, the Chargers are averaging 3.7 yards while carrying the ball an average of 25.2 times per contest. In terms of yardage, they are 25th in the league.

Broncos Team Defense

Denver’s defense has come up with 22 turnovers so far this season. This figure has them 1st in the NFL. Heading into week 14, they are allowing 25.2 points per game and 385.2 yards.

Chargers Team Defense

The Chargers’ defense, so far, has an average of 379.5 yards given up per game and 21.5 points per contest (17th). Leading up to the game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 66.4% and 17 passing touchdowns. In terms of stopping the run, they are 15th in the NFL.

Broncos vs Chargers Trendsdenver broncos betting

  • Through their last three road contests, the Broncos offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 21. Denver posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Through their last ten home games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 22 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Broncos have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Los Angeles has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Broncos vs Chargers Prediction

Denver is my choice on the spread at +2.5. I expect the Denver rushing attack to take advantage of the Los Angeles defense, which struggled to defend the run in their recent game. Don’t miss out on Denver at +2.5.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 45 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 43 is low. I like the Broncos and Chargers to exceed 43 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.