Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Prediction 10/17/2024

The Denver Broncos will face off against the New Orleans Saints at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 17th. This matchup is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

The Saints are the underdog in their week seven matchup against the Broncos, which kicks off at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 17th. The game, being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, is being televised by AMZN. The Saints’ money line odds are +105, while the Broncos are favored with odds of -124. The over/under line is currently at 37 points.

  • Date: Thursday, October 17th
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
  • TV: AMZN

Broncos vs Saints

denver broncos nfl

Heading into week 7, the Broncos sit at 3-3, putting them 3rd in the AFC West. After two straight wins, Denver couldn’t make it three in a row, falling 23-16 to the Chargers in week 6. The Broncos were 3-point underdogs at home and couldn’t cover the spread, but the 39 combined points went over the 37-point line, marking their second straight over.

Our power rankings have Denver 25th, and they have a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 3-3 this season, and they are 4-2 against the spread, with a +2.7 scoring margin. They are 3-2 ATS as underdogs and 1-0 as favorites.

Heading into week 7, the Saints are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 51-27 home loss to the Buccaneers in week 6. This defeat dropped New Orleans to 2-4 on the season and 3rd in the NFC South. Our power rankings have them 29th in the NFL, and they have a 14.7% chance of making the playoffs, with a 5.4% chance of winning their division.

New Orleans has an average scoring margin of +3.3 points per game and is 3-3 against the spread. Their O/U record stands at 4-2, with their games averaging 52.3 points per game. The O/U line has averaged 44.2 points.

Broncos Injury Report

  • Alex Palczewski – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Delarrin Turner-Yell – Knee (Out)
  • Riley Moss – Hip (Questionable)
  • Damarri Mathis – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Luke Wattenberg – Ankle (Out)
  • Drew Sanders – Achilles (Out)
  • Pat Surtain II – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Baron Browning – Foot (Out)
  • Tyler Badie – Back (Out)
  • Ja’Quan McMillian – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Justin Strnad – Ribs (Probable)
  • Quinn Bailey – Ankle (Out)
  • Alex Singleton – Torn Acl (Out)
  • Josh Reynolds – Hand (Out)
  • Mike McGlinchey – Knee (Out)

Saints Injury Report

  • Chris Olave – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Pete Werner – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Payton Turner – Knee (Questionable)
  • Nephi Sewell – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Willie Gay Jr. – Hand (Probable)
  • Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
  • Cesar Ruiz – Knee (Questionable)
  • Shane Lemieux – Ankle (Out)
  • Nathan Shepherd – Groin (Questionable)
  • Taysom Hill – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Erik McCoy – Groin (Out)
  • Will Harris – Hamstring (Out)
  • Carl Granderson – Neck (Questionable)
  • J.T. Gray – Calf (Questionable)
  • Cedrick Wilson Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Tyrann Mathieu – Forearm (Probable)
  • Derek Carr – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
  • Tanoh Kpassagnon – Achilles (Out)
  • Lucas Patrick – Chest (Questionable)
  • Alvin Kamara – Hand (Questionable)
  • Bub Means – Hand (Probable)
  • Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Alontae Taylor – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Rashid Shaheed – Knee (Questionable)

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, Denver ranks 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 22nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.7, and they sit 29th in yards per game with 278.2. Despite ranking 12th in passing attempts, they are only 27th in passing yards, averaging 170.8 per game. On the ground, they rank 20th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards, with 107.3 per game. Denver has struggled on 3rd down, converting just 25% of their attempts, which ranks 28th in the league. However, they are 12th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 38.9% of their trips.

Bo Nix threw for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6, completing 19 of 33 passes, but he also had an interception. Denver’s offense was held scoreless until the 4th quarter, when they put up 16 points. Devaughn Vele led the team with 4 catches for 78 yards. Nix also led the team in rushing with 61 yards on 6 carries.

Saints Offense Breakdown

new orleans saints

Heading into week 7, the Saints rank 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.8, and sit 18th in yards per game with 319.8. New Orleans ranks 22nd in passing attempts and 21st in passing yards per game, averaging 200.3. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game, with 119.5. The Saints have been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.1% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the league, but they are 25th in red zone conversion percentage despite being 6th in red zone attempts.

Spencer Rattler took over at QB in week 6, throwing for 243 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions on 22/40 passing. Alvin Kamara led the team with 40 rushing yards on 13 carries, while Foster Moreau had 2 catches for 54 yards. The Saints struggled after scoring 27 points in the 2nd quarter, failing to score in the 2nd half. Before Rattler, Derek Carr had thrown for 165 yards in week 5 and 239 yards in week 4.

Broncos Team Defense

In their 23-16 loss to the Chargers, the Broncos’ defense allowed 350 total yards, with 222 yards coming through the air. The Chargers also rushed for 128 yards on 38 attempts. Denver’s defense managed three sacks and held the Chargers to a 38.9% third-down conversion rate, but they still allowed one touchdown and a 61.8% completion rate on passes.

Even though the Broncos had a good amount of pressure on the quarterback, they struggled to get off the field on third downs, as the Chargers converted on 11 of 18 of their third down attempts. The Broncos also allowed the Chargers to possess the ball for 32:02 in this one.

Saints Team Defense

The Saints’ defense had a tough time stopping the run in their 51-27 loss to the Buccaneers, giving up 277 yards on the ground. Despite allowing 594 total yards and 8.8 yards per attempt in the passing game, they did manage to come up with three interceptions. The Buccaneers were still able to complete 66.7% of their passes and score four passing touchdowns.

On the defensive front, the Saints struggled to generate pressure, finishing with only one sack and losing the tackles for loss battle. Additionally, the Saints allowed the Buccaneers to convert on 60% of their third down attempts.

Broncos vs Saints Trends

  • Across the Broncos last ten road games, the team averaged 19 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-4-1, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • New Orleans has a 1-2 record in their last three home games. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 23. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Broncos have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.

Broncos vs Saints Prediction

Our pick against the spread is to take the Broncos to cover and win this week 18-11 over the Saints. Even though the Broncos are road favorites, we have them pulling off the upset in this one.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 37 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with our projections having these teams finishing with just 29 combined points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.