The Cleveland Browns will face off against the New Orleans Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th. This matchup is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
The Browns are favored on the road with a money line of -104 as they take on the Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 17th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints’ money line odds are -116, and FOX is covering this week 11 non-conference matchup. The Saints are -1 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 44 points.
- Date: Sunday, November 17th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
- TV: FOX
Browns vs Saints
Heading into week 11, the Browns sit 19th in our NFL power rankings and have a 2.8% chance of making the playoffs. Cleveland is 2-7 this season, which includes a 1-3 record on the road and a 1-4 mark at home. In division play, they are 1-1, and they are 2-3 against AFC opponents.
Against the spread, the Browns are 3-6, with all three of their wins coming as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -7.2 points per game. Their O/U record is also 3-6, with their games averaging 40.1 points per contest. The average line in their games has been 41.3 points.
After seven straight losses, the Saints finally got back in the win column in week 10, defeating the Falcons 20-17. New Orleans entered the game as a 3.5-point underdog but managed to pull off the home win, improving their record to 3-7. They now sit 3rd in the NFC South with a 2-3 division record.
Heading into week 11, our power rankings have the Saints 21st, and we give them a 1.3% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, New Orleans is 4-6, with a scoring margin of -1.9 points per game. Their O/U record is 6-4, with their games averaging 47.3 points per game.
Browns Injury Report
- Myles Harden – Shin (Out)
- Brandon Bouyer-Randle – Undisclosed (Out)
- Luke Wypler – Ankle (Out)
- Nick Harris – Ankle (Out)
- Hakeem Adeniji – Knee (Out)
- Alex Wright – Triceps (Out)
- David Bell – Hip (Out)
- Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah – Neck (Out)
- James Hudson III – Shoulder (Out)
- Charley Hughlett – Ribs (Out)
- Jordan Hicks – Elbow/triceps (Questionable)
- Deshaun Watson – Achilles (Out)
- Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
- Tony Brown II – Foot (Out)
Saints Injury Report
- Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
- Jamaal Williams – Groin (Questionable)
- Tanoh Kpassagnon – Achilles (Out)
- Lucas Patrick – Calf (Questionable)
- Erik McCoy – Groin (Questionable)
- Cedrick Wilson Jr. – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
- Chris Olave – Concussion (Out)
- Nephi Sewell – Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Pete Werner – Hand (Questionable)
- Paulson Adebo – Femur (Out)
- Bub Means – Ankle (Out)
- Kool-Aid McKinstry – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)
- Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kendre Miller – Hamstring (Out)
- Jordan Howden – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Rashid Shaheed – Knee (Out)
Browns Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Browns are 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.4 points per game, which ranks 26th in the NFL. They are 31st in passing yards per game (183.4) despite ranking 3rd in pass attempts. On the ground, Cleveland ranks 28th in rushing yards per game (91) on 22.7 attempts per game. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 28.7% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the league, but they lead the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 9, Jameis Winston threw for 235 yards on 26/46 passing, with 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions. He was sacked 6 times. Nick Chubb had 39 rushing yards on 15 carries, while Cedric Tillman led the team with 6 catches for 75 yards and a touchdown.
Saints Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, we have the Saints ranked 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are currently 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.7, and they sit 16th in passing yards per game with 212.4. New Orleans ranks 13th in rushing yards per game, with 122.4, on 28.4 attempts per contest. On 3rd down, they are converting 38.2% of the time, which is 16th in the league, and they rank 20th in red zone conversion percentage.
Derek Carr is coming off a strong performance in week 10, posting a passer rating of 126 against the Falcons, with 269 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16/25 passing. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing with 55 yards on 17 carries, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 3 catches for 109 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Saints scored all 20 of their points in the 2nd quarter.
Browns Team Defense
The Browns’ defense managed six sacks in their most recent game against the Chargers, but still gave up 27 points in a 27-10 loss. The Chargers’ offense put up 342 yards on them, with Cleveland struggling to defend the big play, as the Chargers averaged 9.1 yards per passing attempt. Despite the six sacks, the Browns allowed the Chargers to complete 66.7% of their passes for 246 yards.
Cleveland’s run defense allowed 96 yards on 23 attempts, with the Chargers finding more success through the air. On third down, the Browns allowed the Chargers to convert 35.7% of their chances.
Saints Team Defense
Despite giving up 181 rushing yards on 32 attempts, the Saints’ defense held the Falcons to 17 points in their 20-17 win. The Saints’ defense was able to force three sacks and come up with one interception. Atlanta finished with 287 passing yards and 468 total yards, but New Orleans limited them to a 35.7% conversion rate on third down.
The Saints’ defense also did a good job of getting to the quarterback, as they had a QB hit differential of +8 and four tackles for loss. Even though the Falcons had 23 completions for the game, they were unable to score through the air, as the Saints didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.
Browns vs Saints Trends
- Across their five previous road games, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 15 points per game.
- Across their five previous home games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 22 points per game.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Browns have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Saints have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
Browns vs Saints Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Saints to cover as home favorites in this week 11 matchup between the Browns and Saints. The point spread lines have the Browns at +1, but we are going with the Saints to not only cover but win the game by a score of 25-20.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the over with the line sitting at 44 points. Our prediction is that these teams combine for 45 points, making the over a good bet to consider.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Cleveland Browns, New Orleans Saints