Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction 10/6/2024

The Cleveland Browns will face off against the Washington Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th. This matchup is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover.

The Commanders are favored at -177 on the money line as they host the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Browns are +148 on the money line and +3.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 44.5 points for this non-conference matchup, which is being televised by FOX.

  • Date: Sunday, October 6th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover
  • TV: FOX

Browns vs Commanders

cleveland browns nfl

Deshaun Watson’s touchdown passes to Elijah Moore and Blake Whiteheart put the Browns up 10-0 after the 1st quarter in their most recent game against the Raiders. However, the Browns couldn’t hold on, losing 20-16 and dropping their record to 1-3. Cleveland went into the game as -2.5 point favorites, and the 4-point loss vs. the Raiders was a straight-up and ATS loss for the Browns.

After the Browns’ hot start, the Raiders tied it at 10 going into halftime and took the lead in the 3rd quarter. Cleveland made things interesting in the 4th quarter, as Zamir White scored to make it 20-16, and Jerome Ford had a big 35-yard touchdown run with 2:24 left in the 4th, but it was called back due to a penalty. The over/under line was set at 37, and the teams combined for 36 points.

Washington is now 3-1 after a 42-14 win over the Cardinals. They were +3.5 point underdogs on the road and not only won but covered the spread with their 28-point victory. The game went over the total line of 48.5, with a combined score of 56 points.

After a 7-7 first quarter, the Commanders took control, leading 17-7 at halftime and extending their lead in the 3rd quarter. Jayden Daniels had two touchdown passes in the 4th quarter, one to Terry McLaurin and another to Olamide Zaccheaus, to help Washington pull away.

Browns Injury Report

  • Mohamoud Diabate – Hip (Out)
  • Brandon Bouyer-Randle – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Mike Hall Jr. – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Myles Harden – Shin (Out)
  • Luke Wypler – Ankle (Out)
  • Tony Fields II – Ankle (Out)
  • David Bell – Hip (Out)
  • Martin Emerson Jr. – Head (Questionable)
  • Pierre Strong Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Hakeem Adeniji – Knee (Out)
  • Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
  • David Njoku – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jack Conklin – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Jordan Hicks – Elbow (Questionable)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Wyatt Teller – Knee (Out)
  • Michael Dunn – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Nick Chubb – Knee (Questionable)
  • Maurice Hurst II – Ankle (Out)
  • Juan Thornhill – Calf (Out)

Commanders Injury Report

  • Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tyler Owens – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jordan Magee – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Allegretti – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Keandre Jones – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Marcus Mariota – Chest (Out)
  • Jamison Crowder – Calf (Questionable)
  • Efe Obada – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Clelin Ferrell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Austin Ekeler – Concussion (Questionable)

Browns Offense Breakdown

The Browns’ offense struggled in their 20-16 loss to the Raiders, managing only 149 yards passing and 92 yards rushing on 22 attempts. Cleveland picked up 16 first downs but struggled to move the ball consistently, averaging just 4.7 yards per attempt. Deshaun Watson completed 75% of his passes for 176 yards, with one touchdown and one interception.

Jerome Ford led the team with 58 yards rushing, including a 35-yard run, and added 27 receiving yards. Jerry Jeudy was the top receiver with 72 yards on six catches. Watson was sacked three times and had a passer rating of 84 in the defeat.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

washington commanders

The Commanders’ offense was efficient in their 42-14 win over the Cardinals, picking up 29 first downs and accumulating 216 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Jayden Daniels, starting at quarterback, completed 86% of his passes for 233 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. He also ran for 47 yards and a touchdown.

Brian Robinson Jr. added 101 yards on the ground, averaging 4.8 yards per attempt and scoring once. Olamide Zaccheaus led the receiving game with 85 yards on six catches. Washington was successful on 75% of their third down attempts and didn’t allow a sack in the game.

Browns Team Defense

The Browns’ defense held the Raiders to just 116 passing yards in their 20-16 loss, but struggled to stop the run, giving up 152 yards on the ground. Cleveland defended the pass well, allowing just 14 completions and holding Las Vegas to 4.8 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Browns’ offense couldn’t do enough to pull out the win.

Cleveland’s defense also limited the Raiders to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns. However, their two sacks weren’t enough to slow down the Raiders’ rushing attack, which averaged 5.2 yards per attempt.

Commanders Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense allowed just 115 passing yards, holding the Cardinals to 16 completions on 72.7% passing. Despite giving up 181 rushing yards on 32 attempts, they still came out on top with a 42-14 win. Their defensive line was able to get to the quarterback, finishing with four sacks and hitting the quarterback six more times than Arizona.

Washington’s defense also forced the Cardinals into a 36.4% third-down conversion rate. Although they gave up one rushing touchdown, their own offense put up 42 points, helping to secure the win.

Browns vs Commanders Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Browns offense has averaged 16 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Cleveland posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Commanders have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Browns have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Commanders have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-5-1.

Browns vs Commanders Prediction

For this week five matchup between the Browns and Commanders, we have the Browns coming out on top by a score of 29-22. With the point spread sitting at -3.5 in favor of the Browns, our pick is to take the Browns to cover as road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, with the line at 44.5 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 51 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.