buccaneers vs falcons nfl prediction

NFL: Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Prediction 12/10/2023

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) travel to face off against the Atlanta Falcons (6-6) on Sunday, December 10th. This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Mercedes-Benz Stadium and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Buccaneers vs Falcons

The Buccaneers Are Coming Off A Win

Taking a look at their latest game, the Buccaneers defeated the Panthers by a score of 21-18. The Buccaneers secured the win, but they didn’t cover the spread against the Panthers while being favored by 3.5.

Against Carolina, quarterback Baker Mayfield had a passer rating of 68 while completing 48% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 202 yards through the air.

In week 13, the Panthers made an effort to establish their running game against the Buccaneers, rushing the ball 34 times for a total of 133. For the game, Tampa Bay’s defense had allowed a combined yardage of 282, of which 149 yards came through the air.

Heading into week 14, the Buccaneers are 2nd in the NFC-South on a record of 5-7. When comparing their mark to other teams in the NFC, they are 10th. So far, they have gone 2-4 on the road and 3-3 at home.

Thus far this season, the Buccaneers hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 7-5. Their average scoring margin in the current season is -1. This season, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 4-8. Their games have seen an average over/under betting line of 41.3 points, and the average combined score per game has been 39.8 points.

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Mike Greene – Calf (Out)
  • SirVocea Dennis – Illness (Questionable)
  • Silas Dzansi – Undisclosed (Out)
  • K.J. Britt – Back (Questionable)
  • Rakim Jarrett – Quad (Out)
  • Jamel Dean – Ankle/foot (Questionable)
  • Lavonte David – Groin (Questionable)
  • Ryan Jensen – Knee (Out)
  • Russell Gage – Knee (Out)
  • Devin White – Foot (Questionable)

The Falcons Are Coming Off A Win

The Falcons notched a victory in their previous game, defeating the Jets with a score of 13-8. Against the spread, the Falcons’ 5-point win was enough to cover as 2-point favorites.

Desmond Ridder wrapped up the game with 121 passing yards and a passer rating of 70. Overall, he completed 12 of 27 passes.

Coming off their recent game, the Falcons defense surrendered just 14 first downs to the Jets. When it came to defending the run, Atlanta allowed 62 yards, and against the pass, they yielded 197 yards.

Going into this week 14 NFC matchup, the Falcons have an overall record of 6-6. In the NFC-South standings, the Falcons are in 1st place and 4th in the NFC. So far, they have gone 4-4 against NFC opponents and 4-2 at home.

Atlanta’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -1.2. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 4-8. Atlanta games this season have averaged 38.8 points, which is 27th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 4-8, with an average OU line of 40.3 points.

Falcons Injury Report

  • Barry Wesley – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Ikenna Enechukwu – Leg (Out)
  • Jacob Saylors – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Ali – Ankle (Out)
  • Troy Andersen – Arm (Out)
  • Nate Landman – Knee (Questionable)
  • LaCale London – Knee (Out)
  • Feleipe Franks – Foot (Out)
  • Matt Hennessy – Knee (Out)
  • A.J. Terrell – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Ethan Greenidge – Leg (Out)
  • Adetokunbo Ogundeji – Foot (Out)
  • Avery Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Kaleb McGary – Knee (Questionable)
  • Mack Hollins – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Mike Hughes – Hand (Questionable)
  • Grady Jarrett – Knee (Out)

Buccaneers Offense Breakdown

Coming into week 14, the Buccaneers offense is 20th in the league at 19.4 points per contest.

Tampa Bay’s passing attack comes in to this week’s game ranked 19th in passing yards. In addition, they are 15th in attempts, throwing the ball an average of 34.2 times per game.

The Buccaneers hold the 30th position in the NFL with 85.2 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 24.6 rushing attempts (24th).

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Atlanta’s offense has been getting off to slow starts this season, ranking 21st in the NFL. Overall, they are averaging 18.8 points per game (21st).

Coming into this week’s game Atlanta’s passing game is ranked 2atlanta falcons betting2nd in passing yards. Additionally, they are positioned 22nd in pass attempts, with an average of 30.8 passes per game.

With 135.2 rushing yards per game, the Falcons hold the 6th spot in the NFL. This average is coming on an average of 32.2 rushing attempts (2nd).

Buccaneers Team Defense

With a matchup against the Falcons’ offense, the Buccaneers defense has allowed an average of 20.4 points per game so far. They currently are 16th in quarterback hits and are allowing 356.9 yards per contest.

Falcons Team Defense

The Falcons are 10th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 315.9 yards per contest. Atlanta’s defense comes in with an average of 20 points per game allowed, which is 7th in the NFL.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Trendstampa bay buccaneers betting

  • Tampa Bay has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 23 points per game while allowing 31. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Although Atlanta has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 16 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • The last five games that Atlanta was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction

Tampa Bay displayed a strong defensive performance in their recent game against Carolina. I’m placing my bet on them to cover the spread, with the current line at +2.5.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has the Buccaneers and Falcons finishing with a combined 37 points. With the over/under line sitting at 39, I’m getting a bet down on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.