The Buffalo Bills will face off against the Detroit Lions at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th. This matchup is being played at Ford Field in Detroit.
The Lions are favored at -1.5 as they host the Bills at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 15th at Ford Field in Detroit. Buffalo’s money line odds are +107, and the over/under line is set at 55 points. The Lions are -129 on the money line. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, and Buffalo and Detroit’s records are not yet available.
- Date: Sunday, December 15th
- Time: 4:25 ET
- Location: Ford Field, Detroit
- TV: CBS
Bills vs Lions
With a 10-3 record, the Bills hold the top spot in the AFC East and rank 2nd in our NFL power rankings. We give them a 100% chance of making the playoffs and winning their division. Buffalo is 6-0 at home but just 4-3 on the road, including a 44-42 loss to the Rams in week 14. They were 3.5-point favorites in that game, but the two teams combined for 86 points, easily hitting the over (50.0).
Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +9.9 points per game and is 8-5 against the spread. They are 7-3 ATS as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 8-5, with their games averaging 51.2 points (46.3 O/U line).
With an 11-game winning streak, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. Detroit is 12-1 overall, including a 4-0 record in the NFC North. They narrowly beat the Packers 34-31 in week 14, pushing on the 3-point spread, but the 65 combined points went over the 53-point line.
Detroit is 9-3-1 against the spread, with a +14.1 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 6-6-1, with their games averaging 50.1 points compared to a 49.9-point line.
Bills Injury Report
- Keon Coleman – Wrist (Questionable)
- Baylon Spector – Calf (Out)
- Dalton Kincaid – Knee (Questionable)
- Travis Clayton – Shoulder (Out)
- Tylan Grable – Groin (Questionable)
- Dawuane Smoot – Wrist (Out)
- Rasul Douglas – Knee (Questionable)
- Shane Buechele – Neck (Out)
- Casey Toohill – Ribs (Questionable)
- Quintin Morris – Shoulder/groin (Questionable)
- Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
Lions Injury Report
- Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
- David Bada – Achilles (Out)
- Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
- Ifeatu Melifonwu – Finger (Out)
- Alim McNeill – Head (Questionable)
- Josh Paschal – Knee (Questionable)
- Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
- Levi Onwuzurike – Hamstring (Questionable)
- DJ Reader – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
- Kalif Raymond – Foot (Out)
- Taylor Decker – Knee (Questionable)
- Jalen Reeves-Maybin – Neck (Out)
- Alex Anzalone – Forearm (Out)
- John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
- Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
- Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
- Malcolm Rodriguez – Knee (Out)
- Brian Branch – Lower Body (Questionable)
- Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
- Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
- Mekhi Wingo – Knee (Out)
- Ennis Rakestraw Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)
Bills Offense Breakdown
In our offensive power rankings, the Bills are 2nd in the NFL, and they are also 2nd in points per game, averaging 30.5. They rank 10th in the league in yards per game (355) and 12th in passing yards per game (229.3) on 30.5 attempts per game. Buffalo is 11th in rushing, averaging 125.7 yards per game on 27.8 attempts. They are 8th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (43.4%) and 6th in 1st-quarter scoring. Despite ranking 2nd in red zone attempts, they are 28th in the league in red zone conversion percentage.
Josh Allen threw for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14 against the Rams, completing 22 of 37 passes without an interception. He also led the team in rushing with 10 carries for 82 yards and 3 touchdowns. Khalil Shakir had 5 catches for 106 yards, and the Bills scored 21 points in the 4th quarter, converting 3 of 3 red zone attempts and 5 of 9 3rd downs.
Lions Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 15, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in scoring with 32.1 points per game and rank 2nd in total yards, averaging 394.8 per game. Despite being 22nd in passing attempts, they are 4th in passing yards, with Jared Goff throwing for 283 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 14. Detroit also ranks 4th in rushing yards per game, with 151.1, on 32.5 attempts per game.
Detroit ranks 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.8% success rate. They also lead the league in red zone attempts, but their conversion rate of 3.6% ranks 29th. In week 14, they scored on 4 of 5 red zone trips. The Lions scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Packers, with Goff connecting with Jameson Williams 5 times for 80 yards.
Bills Team Defense
Buffalo’s defense struggled to get off the field on third downs, allowing the Rams to convert 73.3% of their third down attempts in their 44-42 win over the Bills. The defense gave up 320 yards through the air on 23 completions, with the Rams averaging 10.7 yards per passing attempt. Overall, Buffalo allowed 457 total yards and 42 points.
Despite their struggles, the Bills’ defense did force the Rams into 42 rushing attempts and held them to 137 yards on the ground (3.3 yards per attempt). However, Buffalo was unable to record a sack in the game.
Lions Team Defense
In their 34-31 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense allowed just 12 completions for 199 yards through the air. They also held Green Bay to a 20% conversion rate on third down. The Lions’ run defense gave up 99 yards on 24 attempts, and they allowed one passing touchdown. Detroit’s defense recorded one sack and had four more quarterback hits than Green Bay, but they did lose the tackles for loss differential by -2.
Bills vs Lions Trends
- Across their last five road contests, Buffalo has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 29 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 5-0 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Bills have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Buffalo posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
- In their last five contests as the favorite, Detroit has a poor record vs the spread going 2-2-1. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 5-0.
Bills vs Lions Prediction
With the point spread sitting at 1.5 in favor of the Bills, we have them coming out on top by a score of 28-26 in this week 15 matchup vs. the Lions. Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover as road underdogs.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 54 points and the O/U line at 55 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 11, 2024 Buffalo Bills, Detroit Lions