The Buffalo Bills will face off against the Houston Texans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th. This matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston.

The Texans are the slight underdog in their week five matchup against the Bills, which kicks off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at NRG Stadium in Houston. Buffalo is favored on the road, with their money line sitting at -118 compared to the Texans at -103. The game is being televised on CBS, and the Bills are -1 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points.

• Date: Sunday, October 6th
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
• TV: CBS

Bills vs Texans

The Buffalo Bills were handed their first loss of the season, dropping them to 3-1 after a 35-10 defeat at the hands of the Ravens. Buffalo was +2.5 point underdogs on the road, and their 25-point loss was well below the over/under line of 47.5 points. The Bills also failed to cover the spread with their 15-point loss.

The Ravens took a 7-3 lead in the 1st quarter, and Buffalo managed only a field goal to make the score 7-3. However, the Ravens scored two touchdowns in the 2nd quarter and added another right before halftime to lead 28-3. Buffalo did find the endzone in the 3rd quarter with a 52-yard touchdown pass from Josh Allen, but by then, they were already trailing 28-10.

The Texans are now 3-1 after their 24-20 win over the Jaguars in their most recent game. Houston had to come from behind in this one, as the Jaguars led 10-7 after the first quarter. The Texans took the lead going into halftime and were up 17-13. However, the Jaguars scored in the 3rd quarter to take a 20-17 lead, but Houston outscored them 7-0 in the 4th quarter to pull out the win.

Even though the Texans were favored by -5.5, their 4-point win meant they did not cover the spread. The game finished with a combined 44 points, with the over/under line set at 44.5 points. Houston’s C.J. Stroud had a big game, throwing four touchdown passes, including two in the 4th quarter to pull out the win.

Bills Injury Report

• Khalil Shakir – Ankle (Questionable)
• Travis Clayton – Shoulder (Out)
• Tylan Grable – Groin (Out)
• Terrel Bernard – Pectoral (Questionable)
• Tommy Doyle – Undisclosed (Out)
• Shane Buechele – Neck (Out)
• Darrynton Evans – Hamstring (Out)
• Matt Milano – Bicep (Out)
• Taylor Rapp – Concussion (Questionable)
• Taron Johnson – Forearm (Questionable)

Texans Injury Report

• Jimmie Ward – Groin (Questionable)
• Denico Autry – Suspension (Out)
• Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
• Laremy Tunsil – Ankle (Questionable)
• Joe Mixon – Ankle (Questionable)
• Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
• Jeff Okudah – Hip (Out)
• Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
• Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
• Dameon Pierce – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Tank Dell – Chest (Questionable)
• Kurt Hinish – Calf (Out)
• Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
• Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
• Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
• LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)

Bills Offense Breakdown

The Bills’ offense struggled to move the ball in their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, managing just 12 first downs and 155 yards on 31 passing attempts. Buffalo’s running game also had a tough outing, with only 81 yards on 23 attempts. Josh Allen completed 16 of 29 passes for 180 yards and was sacked three times. He finished with a passer rating of 73 and was unable to lead the Bills into the endzone.

Buffalo’s leading rusher was James Cook, with 39 yards on nine attempts, while Khalil Shakir led the team in receiving with 62 yards, 52 of which came on a single catch. The Bills struggled on third down, converting just 23.1% of their chances.

Texans Offense Breakdown

The Texans’ offense picked up 26 first downs in their 24-20 win over the Jaguars, racking up 334 yards through the air on 27 completions from quarterback C.J. Stroud. Stroud threw for 345 yards, with two touchdowns and a passer rating of 110. Houston’s running game struggled, managing only 101 yards on 26 attempts.

On the receiving end, Nico Collins had a big game with 151 yards and a touchdown. Stroud was efficient, completing 67.5% of his passes and converting on 53.8% of Houston’s third down attempts. Cam Akers led the team with 53 rushing yards.

Bills Team Defense

The Bills’ defense struggled to stop the run in their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, giving up a massive 271 rushing yards on just 34 attempts. Despite this, the Ravens only completed 14 passes for 156 yards, averaging 8.2 yards per attempt through the air. Buffalo’s defense allowed two passing touchdowns and allowed the Ravens to convert on 55.6% of their third down attempts.

Buffalo’s defense managed just one sack in the game and had a tough time getting off the field, as the Ravens controlled the clock with their running game. The Bills will need to shore up their run defense and improve on their overall performance in their next game.

Texans Team Defense

The Texans’ defense gave up 158 rushing yards to the Jaguars in their most recent game, despite coming out with a 24-20 win. Jacksonville finished with 313 total yards, and Houston’s run defense allowed 6.6 yards per attempt. In the passing game, the Texans gave up just 155 yards through the air, but two of Jacksonville’s 18 completions went for touchdowns.

On third downs, the Texans held the Jaguars to a 33.3% conversion rate. However, they only managed one sack in the game and lost the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Bills vs Texans Trends

• In their last five road games, Buffalo has averaged 21 points per game while allowing 19 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
• Through their last five home contests, the Texans offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Houston posted an overall record of 3-2 while going 2-3 ATS.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Texans have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bills have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.

Bills vs Texans Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Bills to cover as road favorites in this week five matchup between the Bills and Texans. Right now, the point spread lines have the Bills at -1, and with that line, our pick is to take the Bills to cover. We have the Bills winning this one 23-20.

For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 43 points and the O/U line sitting at 47.5 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.