The Los Angeles Chargers will face off against the New England Patriots at 1:00 ET on Saturday, December 28th. This matchup is being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough.

The Patriots are +180 on the money line as they take on the Chargers at 1:00 ET on Saturday, December 28th. The Chargers are favored on the road with a money line of -214. The Patriots are +4 point underdogs at home in this week 17 AFC matchup. The game is being televised on NFLN, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.

• Date: Saturday, December 28th
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
• TV: NFLN

Chargers vs Patriots

Following a week 15 loss to the Buccaneers, the Chargers bounced back with a 34-27 win over the Broncos in week 16, improving their record to 9-6. This puts them 2nd in the AFC West and 6th in the conference. Our projections give Los Angeles a 93.5% chance of making the playoffs, but they have no chance of winning the division. The Chargers rank 16th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 17.

Los Angeles is 10-4-1 against the spread this season, with a +3.6 scoring margin. They are 9-2 ATS as favorites and 1-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-9, with the over hitting in their last two games. The average O/U line in their games is 42.5, and their contests have averaged 40.1 points.

Heading into week 17 against the Chargers, the Patriots are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 24-21 loss to the Bills in week 16. Despite being 14-point underdogs, New England managed to cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 6-8-1. They’ve been the underdog in all of their games this season and have an average scoring margin of -6.8 points per game.

With a 3-12 record, the Patriots currently rank 27th in our power rankings and have a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC East and 16th in the conference. New England is 1-5 at home and 2-7 on the road this season.

Chargers Injury Report

• Will Dissly – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Denzel Perryman – Groin (Questionable)
• Eli Apple – Hamstring (Out)
• Marcus Maye – Ankle (Out)
• J.K. Dobbins – Knee (Questionable)
• Jalen Reagor – Finger (Out)
• Alohi Gilman – Hamstring (Out)
• Elijah Molden – Knee (Questionable)
• Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
• Asante Samuel Jr. – Shoulder (Out)
• Simi Fehoko – Elbow (Out)
• Bucky Williams – Undisclosed (Out)
• Tyler McLellan – Undisclosed (Out)
• Chris Collins – Undisclosed (Out)
• Brenden Rice – Shoulder (Out)
• Cam Hart – Concussion (Questionable)

Patriots Injury Report

• JaQuae Jackson – Knee (Out)
• Caedan Wallace – Ankle (Questionable)
• Curtis Jacobs – Head (Out)
• Jake Andrews – Undisclosed (Out)
• Jaquelin Roy – Foot (Out)
• Marcus Jones – Hip (Questionable)
• Christian Barmore – Blood Clot (Out)
• Oshane Ximines – Knee (Out)
• JaMycal Hasty – Ankle (Questionable)
• David Andrews – Shoulder (Out)
• Jabrill Peppers – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Chukwuma Okorafor – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
• Ja’Whaun Bentley – Pectoral (Out)

Chargers Offense Breakdown

Justin Herbert has been solid over the last three weeks, culminating in a 284-yard performance in week 16, where he completed 23 of 31 passes and had a passer rating of 110. He threw two touchdowns and one interception in the win over the Broncos. Herbert’s top target was Ladd McConkey, who caught 6 passes for 87 yards, while Gus Edwards led the rushing attack with 68 yards and 2 touchdowns on 14 carries.

Heading into week 17, the Chargers rank 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.9. They are 24th in passing yards (200.8) and 23rd in rushing yards (106.5) per game. On 3rd down, they rank 18th, converting 37.9% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 8th with a 37.5% conversion rate.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 17, the Patriots rank 28th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 17.3 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They also rank 29th in yards per game, with 298.2. New England ranks 16th in passing attempts but is last in passing yards, with 178.5 per game. On the ground, they average 119.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th in the NFL.

Drake Maye threw for 261 yards (22/36) and 2 touchdowns in week 16, with Kayshon Boutte leading the team with 5 catches for 95 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson added 60 yards and a touchdown on 12 carries. The Patriots scored in every quarter against the Bills, converting 7 of 12 third downs and 2 of 3 red zone attempts.

Chargers Team Defense

In their 34-27 win over the Broncos, the Chargers’ defense gave up 110 rushing yards on just 21 attempts. They allowed 245 passing yards on 29 completions, with Denver finding the end zone twice through the air. The Chargers’ defense did well on third downs, allowing just a 38.5% conversion rate, and they also managed two sacks in the game.

Despite this, the Chargers allowed the Broncos to complete 72.5% of their passes. Los Angeles also struggled in the quarterback hit battle, with a -4 differential compared to Denver, although they did have one more tackle for loss than the Broncos.

Patriots Team Defense

Despite giving up 172 yards on the ground to the Bills, the Patriots’ defense held Buffalo to just 152 passing yards in their 24-21 loss. Buffalo averaged 6.1 yards per rushing attempt, but New England limited them to 28 attempts. The Patriots’ defense also intercepted one pass and held the Bills to 36.4% on third down.

Overall, the Patriots allowed just 324 total yards, with their offense struggling to move the ball effectively. New England’s defense also recorded one sack and had a good day in coverage, limiting the Bills to a 55.2% completion percentage.

Chargers vs Patriots Trends

• In their last ten games away from home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 17 points per game in these contests.
• Across their last five home contests, New England has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 17 points per game.
• In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Chargers have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 8-2.

Chargers vs Patriots Prediction

For this week 17 matchup between the Chargers and Patriots, we have the Chargers pulling off the upset and winning by a score of 28-21. With the Chargers coming in as 4-point favorites, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chargers to cover as road favorites.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we like the over, projecting a combined score of 49 points, making the over a good value play.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.