Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Prediction 11/28/2024

The Chicago Bears will face off against the Detroit Lions at 12:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th. This matchup is being played at Ford Field in Detroit.

With a money line of -590, the Lions are heavy favorites as they host the Bears at 12:30 ET on Thanksgiving Day at Ford Field in Detroit. The Bears, who are +10.5 point underdogs, are looking to add to their record, while the Lions are also looking to add to their record. CBS is covering this week 13 NFC North matchup, and the over/under line is set at 48.5 points.

  • Date: Thursday, November 28th
  • Time: 12:30 ET
  • Location: Ford Field, Detroit
  • TV: CBS

Bears vs Lions

chicago bears nfl

Chicago’s week 12 loss to the Vikings extended their losing streak to five games, dropping their record to 4-7. The Bears are now 0-4 on the road this season, but they have a 4-3 record at home. In our power rankings, Chicago sits 24th, and they have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs.

Despite being outscored by 0.4 points per game, the Bears are 6-4-1 against the spread this season. They are 3-1 ATS as favorites and 3-3-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-7, with their games averaging 39.8 points compared to an average line of 42.4.

With a 10-1 record, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 9-game winning streak. This includes a 24-6 win over the Colts in week 12, where they covered the 7-point spread. Detroit also crushed the Jaguars 52-6 in week 11 and narrowly beat the Texans 26-23 in week 10. They didn’t cover the 4-point spread against Houston, but they easily covered in their previous three games.

Heading into week 13, the Lions have a +16.1 scoring margin and are 9-2 against the spread. They are 8-2 ATS as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Our projections give Detroit an 84.4% chance of winning the NFC North and a 100% chance of making the playoffs.

Bears Injury Report

  • Ian Wheeler – Knee (Out)
  • Jaquan Brisker – Concussion (Out)
  • Elijah Hicks – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jaylon Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Stephen Carlson – Collarbone (Out)
  • Nsimba Webster – Groin (Out)
  • Ryan Bates – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Bill Murray – Chest (Out)
  • Tommy Sweeney – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Patrick Scales – Back (Out)
  • Andrew Billings – Pectoral (Out)

Lions Injury Report

  • Taylor Decker – Knee (Questionable)
  • Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
  • Kalif Raymond – Foot (Questionable)
  • DJ Reader – Illness (Questionable)
  • David Montgomery – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Alex Anzalone – Forearm (Out)
  • Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
  • Jalen Reeves-Maybin – Neck (Out)
  • Carlton Davis – Knee/thumb (Questionable)
  • Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
  • Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
  • Ifeatu Melifonwu – Finger (Out)
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown – Knee (Questionable)
  • David Bada – Achilles (Out)
  • Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
  • John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
  • Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
  • Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
  • Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
  • Ennis Rakestraw Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
  • Terrion Arnold – Groin (Probable)
  • Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (20.1) and 26th in yards per game (298.9). Chicago ranks 12th in passing attempts per game but is 29th in passing yards, with 187.1 per game. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards, averaging 111.8 per game. The Bears have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 32.3% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the NFL. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, with a 42.3% conversion rate, which ranks 7th.

Caleb Williams is coming off a 340-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 12 against the Vikings, completing 32 of 47 passes without an interception. He posted a passer rating of 103 and was sacked 3 times. DJ Moore led the team with 7 catches for 106 yards and a touchdown. Chicago scored 17 points in the 4th quarter, but it wasn’t enough as they lost 30-27. Before Moore’s big game, Rome Odunze had 6 catches for 65 yards in week 11, and Keenan Allen had 5 catches for 44 yards in week 10.

Lions Offense Breakdown

detroit lions

Detroit’s offense enters week 13 ranked 2nd in our offensive power rankings and leads the NFL in scoring with 32.7 points per game. They are 2nd in the league in total yards, averaging 394.3 per game, and 6th in passing yards per game, despite ranking 27th in pass attempts. On the ground, they rank 4th in rushing yards per game, with 32.4 attempts per contest. The Lions have been strong on 3rd down, converting 46.8% of their attempts, which ranks 4th in the NFL, but they are 29th in red zone conversion percentage.

Jared Goff threw for 269 yards in week 12, completing 26 of 36 passes without a touchdown or interception. Jahmyr Gibbs led the rushing attack with 90 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21 carries, while Jameson Williams had 5 catches for 64 yards. Detroit scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 7 in the 3rd against the Colts.

Bears Team Defense

In their 30-27 overtime loss to the Vikings, the Bears’ defense gave up 452 total yards and 328 passing yards. Minnesota averaged 9.4 yards per attempt in the passing game and converted on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Chicago allowed 124 rushing yards on 27 attempts.

Chicago’s defense did manage to sack the quarterback three times in the game and had a +5 advantage in quarterback hits. However, they also allowed 23 completions and two touchdowns through the air.

Lions Team Defense

The Lions’ defense was tough to move the ball against in their most recent game, as the Colts managed just 172 yards through the air on 11 completions. Detroit’s defense was also strong on third down, allowing just a 25% conversion rate. The Lions’ defense didn’t allow a touchdown and held the Colts to just 6 points in their 24-6 win. However, they didn’t record any sacks and had a -6 differential in tackles for loss.

On the ground, the Lions gave up 96 yards on 21 attempts, and they defended the pass well, holding the Colts to a 39.3% completion rate.

Bears vs Lions Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Chicago has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 13 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Chicago has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Lions have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Bears vs Lions Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread for this week 13 matchup between the Bears and Lions is to take the Bears to cover as road underdogs. Even though the Lions are heavy favorites at -10.5, we have the Bears losing by a score of 31-23.

For the over/under, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 54 points and the O/U line sitting at 48.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.