The Kansas City Chiefs will face off against the Atlanta Falcons at 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 22nd. This matchup is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

The Falcons, who are the underdog with a +155 money line, will host the Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Chiefs are favored by -3.5 on the road in this week three non-conference matchup. The game will be televised on NBC, with kickoff set for 8:20 ET. The Chiefs’ money line odds are -185, and the over/under line is at 46.5 points.

• Date: Sunday, September 22nd
• Time: 8:20 ET
• Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
• TV: NBC

Chiefs vs Falcons

Despite being down 16-10 at halftime, the Chiefs pulled off a 26-25 comeback victory over the Bengals, improving to 2-0 for the season. Kansas City took an early 3-0 lead, but the Bengals responded with a field goal of their own in the 1st quarter. The Chiefs’ late 4th quarter surge was capped off by a 48-yard field goal from Harrison Butker, giving them the one-point win.

Patrick Mahomes’ touchdown pass to Wanya Morris in the 3rd quarter and a late defensive stand allowed the Chiefs to pull off the comeback. The Bengals missed a chance to extend their lead with 48 seconds remaining in the 4th when Evan McPherson missed a 51-yard field goal.

Heading into the 4th quarter, the Falcons were up 15-10 over the Eagles, and they managed to hold on and win this one by a score of 22-21. Atlanta picked up a big come from behind win in this one, as they were down 18-15 after Jalen Hurts scored on a 1-yard touchdown run with 6:51 left in the 4th. However, Kirk Cousins found Darnell Mooney for a 20-yard touchdown pass with 1:20 left, and then he found Drake London for a two-point conversion to give the Falcons the lead for good.

The Falcons took the lead for good with 38 seconds left in the 4th when Kirk Cousins found Drake London for a touchdown, and Atlanta’s defense held up to secure the win. The Falcons were +5.5 point underdogs heading into this one, and the 43 combined points was just under the O/U line of 46.5 points.

Chiefs Injury Report

• BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
• Isiah Pacheco – Ankle (Out)
• Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Illness (Out)
• Marquise Brown – Shoulder (Out)
• Charles Omenihu – Knee (Out)

Falcons Injury Report

• Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
• Nate Landman – Quad/calf (Out)
• DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
• Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
• Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
• Milo Eifler – Undisclosed (Out)
• Antonio Hamilton Sr. – Groin (Questionable)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

The Chiefs’ offense picked up 19 first downs in their 26-25 win over the Bengals, but they struggled on third down, converting just 12.5% of their chances. Despite this, they still managed to put up 149 yards on the ground, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt. Patrick Mahomes completed 72% of his passes for 151 yards, with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing with 90 yards, while Rashee Rice was the top receiver with 75 yards and a touchdown. Mahomes was sacked twice and finished with a passer rating of 80.

Falcons Offense Breakdown

The Falcons’ offense is coming off a game in which they picked up 22 first downs and 365 yards of total offense in their 22-21 win over the Eagles. Atlanta’s ground game was effective, rushing for 152 yards on 28 attempts. Kirk Cousins, who threw for 233 yards and two touchdowns while completing 69% of his passes, led the Falcons. Atlanta struggled on third down, converting only 22.2% of their chances.

Bijan Robinson was the leading rusher for the Falcons, with 97 yards on 14 carries, including a 19-yard run. Darnell Mooney caught three passes for a team-leading 88 yards and one touchdown. The Falcons’ defense held Philadelphia to 21 points, giving the offense a chance to come from behind and secure the victory.

Chiefs Team Defense

Kansas City’s defense gave up 246 passing yards to the Bengals in their most recent game, allowing 23 completions and 2 passing touchdowns. Despite this, the Chiefs managed to come out with a 26-25 win. The Chiefs defended the run well, holding the Bengals to just 74 yards on 22 attempts. They also recorded three sacks and held Cincinnati to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.

The Chiefs’ defense was also successful in generating pressure, as they had a positive differential in both quarterback hits and tackles for loss compared to the Bengals.

Falcons Team Defense

Despite giving up 186 rushing yards on 37 attempts, the Falcons’ defense played well in their 22-21 win over the Eagles, holding Philadelphia to 1.7 yards per attempt. The Falcons’ run defense was tough when it needed to be, and in the passing game, they allowed just 179 yards through the air. The Eagles completed 76.7% of their passes, but Atlanta limited big plays, allowing only 6 yards per attempt.

Atlanta’s defense came up with one interception and held the Eagles to a 46.2% third-down conversion rate. The Falcons also managed one sack and had three more quarterback hits than the Eagles.

Chiefs vs Falcons Trends

• Across their last three road contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 19 points per game.
• Through their last five home contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 15 points per game while allowing an average of 24. Atlanta posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
• As the betting underdog, the Falcons have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
• The last ten games that Kansas City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 6-4 straight up.

Chiefs vs Falcons Prediction

Our model has the Chiefs coming out on top by a score of 25-24 in their week three matchup against the Falcons. Even though the Falcons are the home team and are currently sitting at +3.5 point underdogs, our pick vs. the spread is to take the Falcons to cover at home.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at 46.5 points, we like the over, projecting these teams to combine for 49 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.