Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Colts vs Houston Texans Prediction 10/27/2024

The Indianapolis Colts will face off against the Houston Texans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th. This matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston.

The Colts and Texans will face off at NRG Stadium in Houston on Sunday, October 27th at 1:00 ET. The Texans are favored at -257 on the money line and -6 on the point spread. This AFC South matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 46 points.

  • Date: Sunday, October 27th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
  • TV: CBS

Colts vs Texans

indianapolis colts nfl

With two straight wins, the Colts are now 4-3 and sit 2nd in the AFC South. After a week 5 loss to the Jaguars, Indy bounced back with wins over the Titans (20-17) and Dolphins (16-10) in weeks 6 and 7. They were favored by 3 points against Miami and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 6-1 this season.

Our projections give the Colts a 57.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 20% chance of winning the division. Heading into week 8, they rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. Their O/U record stands at 3-4, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Heading into week 8, the Texans hold a 5-2 record, putting them 1st in the AFC South and 2nd in the conference. Our projections give them an 89.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 77.1% chance of winning the division. Houston ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings.

Against the spread, the Texans are 3-4 this season, but they’ve covered in three straight games. In week 7, they lost 24-22 to the Packers but managed to cover as 3-point underdogs. The combined score of 46 points fell short of the 47.5-point line, bringing Houston’s O/U record to 2-5.

Colts Injury Report

  • Ryan Coll – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jason Bean – Shoulder (Out)
  • Jaylon Carlies – Ankle (Out)
  • Daniel Scott – Achilles (Out)
  • JuJu Brents – Knee (Out)
  • Wesley French – Ankle (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Toe (Out)
  • DeForest Buckner – Ankle (Out)
  • Samson Ebukam – Achilles (Out)
  • Tyquan Lewis – Elbow (Out)
  • Juwann Winfree – Undisclosed (Out)
  • E.J. Speed – Knee (Questionable)
  • Chris Lammons – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Will Fries – Tibia (Out)
  • Cameron McGrone – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jonathan Taylor – Ankle (Questionable)

Texans Injury Report

  • Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
  • Nico Collins – Hamstring (Out)
  • Steven Sims – Back (Questionable)
  • Azeez Al-Shaair – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jeff Okudah – Hip (Out)
  • Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
  • Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
  • Robert Woods – Foot (Questionable)
  • Jimmie Ward – Groin (Questionable)
  • Jerry Hughes – Hip (Out)
  • Mario Edwards Jr. – Suspension (Out)
  • Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
  • Henry To’oto’o – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
  • Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
  • LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
  • Kamari Lassiter – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • British Brooks – Knee (Out)

Colts Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, the Colts rank 16th in the NFL in points per game (22.1) and yards per game (329.3). They sit 17th in passing yards per game (206.3) and 14th in rushing yards per game (123). On 3rd down, they convert 40.9% of the time, which ranks 11th in the league, and they are 17th in red zone conversion percentage. Our offensive power rankings have them at 18th.

Anthony Richardson struggled in week 7, posting a passer rating of 59, going 10/24 for 129 yards. Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 63 receiving yards on 3 catches, while Richardson added 56 rushing yards on 14 carries.

Texans Offense Breakdown

houston texans

Heading into week 8, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They average 23.6 points per game, which ranks 12th in the NFL, and they are 11th in total yards per game, with 349.7. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 3rd in the league with 6.7 points per game. They are 14th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40% success rate, and 17th in red zone conversions.

In week 7, C.J. Stroud struggled, throwing for just 86 yards on 10/21 passing and was sacked 4 times. Joe Mixon had 25 carries for 115 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Dalton Schultz led the team with 28 receiving yards. The Texans scored 16 points in the 2nd quarter but were held to 3 points in the 2nd half.

Colts Team Defense

In their 16-10 win over the Dolphins, the Colts’ defense allowed 188 rushing yards on 40 attempts but limited Miami to just 149 yards passing. The Colts’ defense gave up one touchdown and held the Dolphins to 40% on third down. They also recorded two sacks and held Miami to 5.7 yards per attempt in the passing game. Overall, the Colts allowed 337 total yards in the game.

Texans Team Defense

In their 24-22 loss to the Packers, the Texans’ defense allowed three passing touchdowns but did force two interceptions. Despite this, they gave up just 195 passing yards on 24 completions. The Texans’ run defense allowed 82 yards on 20 attempts, and Green Bay converted 40% of their third down attempts.

Houston’s defense put pressure on the quarterback with three sacks and limited the Packers to 277 total yards. However, the Texans also allowed Green Bay to complete 72.7% of their passes.

Colts vs Texans Trends

  • In their last three road games, Indianapolis has averaged 21 points per game while allowing 23. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • Across their last three home contests, Houston has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 23 points per game.
  • The Colts have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
  • As the betting favorite, the Texans have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Colts vs Texans Prediction

For this week eight matchup between the Colts and Texans, we have the Texans pulling off the upset by a score of 25-16. With the Texans pulling off the upset, we also have them covering the spread as 6-point home favorites.

As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 46 points, our pick is to take the under, with a projected combined score of 41 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.