Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction 10/13/2024

The Washington Commanders will face off against the Baltimore Ravens at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th. This matchup is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

The Ravens are favored at -288 on the money line as they host the Washington Commanders at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The Commanders are +235 on the money line and +6.5 on the point spread. This non-conference matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 52.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, October 13th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore
  • TV: CBS

Commanders vs Ravens

washington commanders nfl

Washington’s fourth straight win came in week 5, as they took care of the Browns 34-13, bringing their record to 4-1. The victory puts the Commanders in first place in the NFC East and gives them a 47.8% chance of winning the division. They also have a 69.9% chance of making the playoffs. Heading into week 6, Washington sits 12th in our NFL power rankings.

Washington is 4-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +8. They have covered in four straight games, including a 21-point win over the Browns as 3-point favorites. Their O/U record stands at 4-1, with the over hitting in three consecutive games.

After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 41-38 victory over the Bengals in week 5. Baltimore also picked up a 35-10 win over the Bills in week 4 and a 28-25 win over the Cowboys in week 3. This winning streak has the Ravens in first place in our NFL power rankings, and we give them a 71.4% chance of winning the AFC North and a 91.7% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Ravens are 3-2 this season, with three straight ATS wins. They covered the spread in their last two games, beating the Bengals by 3 points as 2.5-point favorites and the Bills by 25 points as 2.5-point favorites. Baltimore’s O/U record is 4-1, with their games averaging 54.6 points per game.

Commanders Injury Report

  • Jordan Magee – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tyler Owens – Shin (Questionable)
  • Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Efe Obada – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Jamison Crowder – Calf (Out)
  • Clelin Ferrell – Knee (Questionable)
  • Noah Brown – Groin (Questionable)
  • Keandre Jones – Undisclosed (Out)

Ravens Injury Report

  • Jalyn Armour-Davis – Hamstring (Out)
  • Deonte Harty – Knee (Questionable)
  • Arthur Maulet – Knee (Questionable)
  • Trayvon Mullen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Marlon Humphrey – Lower Leg (Questionable)
  • Keaton Mitchell – Knee (Out)
  • Christian Matthew – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Malik Hamm – Knee (Out)
  • Roger Rosengarten – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Andrew Vorhees – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Owen Wright – Foot (Out)
  • Rasheen Ali – Neck (Questionable)
  • Deion Jennings – Undisclosed (Out)

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, the Commanders lead the NFL in points per game, averaging 31, and they rank 4th in total yards with 392.6 per game. Despite being 25th in passing attempts, they are 14th in passing yards, with Jayden Daniels throwing for 238 yards in week 5. Washington is 2nd in rushing attempts and yards, averaging 178.4 per game. Daniels led the team with 82 rushing yards on 11 carries in week 5.

Washington has been strong on 3rd downs, leading the NFL with a 51.7% conversion rate. They also rank 1st in red zone attempts, although their conversion rate of 8.7% ranks 27th. Terry McLaurin had 4 catches for 112 yards in week 5, following a 100-yard performance in week 3.

Ravens Offense Breakdown

baltimore ravens

Heading into week 6, the Ravens are 3rd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in passing yards per game with 447.6 and are 2nd in points per game, averaging 29.4. Baltimore also ranks 3rd in 3rd-down conversions and is 3rd in red zone attempts, though they are 28th in red zone conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson has been on fire, throwing for 348 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 5 without an interception. Derrick Henry rushed for 92 yards on 15 carries, and Zay Flowers led the team with 7 catches for 111 yards.

Commanders Team Defense

Washington’s defense was dominant in their 34-13 win over the Browns, recording seven sacks and holding Cleveland to just 108 yards passing. The Commanders’ secondary limited the Browns to 55.2% completions and allowed only one touchdown through the air. On the ground, Cleveland managed 104 yards on 23 attempts.

Additionally, Washington’s defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Browns to convert just 7.7% of their third down attempts. Despite this, the Commanders’ defense did allow the Browns to win the tackles for loss battle by a margin of +2.

Ravens Team Defense

In a 41-38 overtime win over the Bengals, the Ravens’ defense gave up 442 yards, including 371 yards through the air. Cincinnati completed 76.9% of their passes and averaged 9.5 yards per attempt. Baltimore’s defense also allowed five passing touchdowns.

Despite their struggles in coverage, the Ravens’ defense did come up with one interception, recorded three sacks, and held the Bengals to 71 yards rushing on 23 attempts (3.1 yards per attempt). Additionally, Baltimore’s defense allowed Cincinnati to convert on 57.1% of their third down attempts.

Commanders vs Ravens Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Washington has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 33 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last five home games, Baltimore has averaged 29 points per game while allowing 23. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • The Commanders have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Ravens have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Commanders vs Ravens Prediction

For this week six matchup between the Commanders and Ravens, we like Washington to not only cover the spread but to win the game by a score of 29-18. Currently, the point spread has the Commanders at +6.5, making them our pick to cover as road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line sitting at 52.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.