The Washington Commanders will face off against the New Orleans Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th. This matchup is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Washington is the heavy favorite on the road as they take on the Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Saints are +282 on the money line, while the Commanders are -361. The game is being televised on FOX, and the Commanders are favored by -7.5 points, with the over/under line set at 43 points.
- Date: Sunday, December 15th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
- TV: FOX
Commanders vs Saints
Heading into week 15, the Commanders have an 84.8% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. With an 8-5 record, Washington is 2nd in the NFC East and 7th in the conference. They rank 11th in our NFL power rankings. In week 13, the Commanders snapped a three-game losing streak by defeating the Titans 42-19. Washington covered the 6-point spread, and the 61 combined points went over the 45.5-point line.
Washington has a +6.2 scoring margin and is 8-4-1 against the spread. They are 6-2 ATS as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 9-4, with the over hitting in two straight games. The Commanders’ games have averaged 51.7 points, compared to an average line of 46.1.
With a 5-8 record, the Saints are 3rd in the NFC South and 29th in our power rankings. They have a -0.2 scoring margin and are 5-8 ATS, including two straight losses against the spread. New Orleans is 1-3 ATS as favorites and 4-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-6, with the under hitting in two consecutive games.
After two straight wins, the Saints lost to the Rams in week 13 but bounced back with a 14-11 victory over the Giants in week 14. New Orleans couldn’t cover the 5.5-point spread, but the win improved their record to 5-8. The combined scoring of 25 points fell short of the 41-point O/U line.
Commanders Injury Report
- Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
- Colson Yankoff – Hamstring (Out)
- Austin Ekeler – Concussion (Out)
- Andrew Wylie – Concussion (Questionable)
- Noah Brown – Rib (Questionable)
- Austin Seibert – Hip (Out)
- Jamison Crowder – Calf (Questionable)
- Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Jonathan Allen – Pectoral (Out)
Saints Injury Report
- Paulson Adebo – Femur (Out)
- Roderic Teamer – Suspended (Out)
- Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
- Chris Olave – Concussion (Out)
- Taysom Hill – Knee (Out)
- Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
- Tanoh Kpassagnon – Achilles (Questionable)
- Derek Carr – Hand (Out)
- Nick Saldiveri – Knee (Out)
- Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
- Rashid Shaheed – Knee (Out)
- D’Marco Jackson – Ankle (Questionable)
- Bub Means – Ankle (Questionable)
- Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)
- Trajan Jeffcoat – Undisclosed (Out)
Commanders Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 15, the Commanders rank 4th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28.9, and 5th in yards per game with 377.6. Despite being 24th in passing attempts, they rank 18th in passing yards per game, averaging 220.7. On the ground, they are 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 156.9, on 31.8 attempts per game.
Jayden Daniels had a strong week 13 performance, throwing for 206 yards and 3 touchdowns on 25/30 passing. Terry McLaurin led the team with 8 catches for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 103 yards on 16 carries. Washington converted 9 of 14 third downs and scored on 5 of 7 red zone trips in their win over the Titans.
Saints Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 15, the Saints are 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in points per game (22.3) and 14th in yards per game (341.5). New Orleans ranks 19th in passing yards per game, with 212.8, and 17th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing yards per game (128.7) and 7th in rushing attempts. The Saints are 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 14th in red zone conversion percentage.
Derek Carr will miss week 15 due to a hand injury. He threw for 219 yards (20/31) and a touchdown in week 14. Alvin Kamara had 44 rushing yards on 17 carries, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling led the team with 51 receiving yards. Chris Olave is also out with a concussion.
Commanders Team Defense
In Washington’s 42-19 win over the Titans, their defense allowed just 35 rushing yards on 11 attempts. The Commanders gave up 210 passing yards on 18 completions, with Tennessee finishing with 245 total yards. Despite the two passing touchdowns allowed, Washington limited the Titans to a 48.6% completion percentage.
On third downs, the Commanders allowed the Titans to convert 41.7% of their chances. They also came away with two sacks and outperformed Tennessee in the quarterback hit differential, finishing with a +7 advantage.
Saints Team Defense
New Orleans’ defense was tough to move the ball against on third down in their most recent game, as the Giants converted just 26.3% of their third down attempts. The Saints picked up a 14-11 win, holding the Giants to just 213 yards passing and 42.9% completions. They also came away with one interception.
Despite giving up 112 rushing yards on 23 attempts, the Saints did hold the Giants to 4.9 yards per attempt. New Orleans’ defense also had two sacks in the game and pressured the quarterback more effectively, with a +9 advantage in quarterback hits.
Commanders vs Saints Trends
- Across their ten previous road games, Washington has an ATS mark of 5-4-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 25 points per game.
- Through their last three home games, New Orleans has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 14 points per game.
- The Saints have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
- The last ten games that Washington was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 6-4 straight up.
Commanders vs Saints Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take Washington to cover as road favorites, with the score prediction being 31-20 in favor of the Commanders. This would mean taking Washington at -7.5, as they are currently sitting at +7.5 vs. the Saints.
For the over/under line, we have a pick of the over, with a projected combined score of 51 points. With the line sitting at just 43 points, there is a lot of value in taking the over in this week 15 matchup between Washington and the Saints.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 11, 2024 New Orleans Saints, Washington Commanders