Washington Commanders vs New York Giants NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction 11/3/2024

The Washington Commanders will face off against the New York Giants at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This matchup is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.

The Giants, the underdog with a point spread of +3.5, will host the Washington Commanders at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd, with FOX handling the television coverage. The Commanders are favored on the road with money line odds of -185. The over/under line is at 43.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
  • TV: FOX

Commanders vs Giants

washington commanders nfl

Washington heads into week 9 on a two-game winning streak, including a narrow 18-15 win over the Bears in week 8. This victory brought their record to 6-2, keeping them at the top of the NFC East. The Commanders rank 8th in our NFL power rankings and have an 83.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 45.6% chance of winning the division.

Washington is 6-1-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +8.6 points per game. They have covered the spread in two straight games, including a 33-point win over the Panthers in week 7 as 10-point favorites. Their O/U record stands at 5-3, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Heading into week 9 with a 2-6 record, the Giants are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 26-18 road loss to the Steelers in week 8. Before that, New York suffered back-to-back home losses to the Bengals and Eagles in weeks 6 and 7. Their last win came in week 5, when they beat the Seahawks 29-20 on the road.

According to our power rankings, the Giants sit 29th in the NFL and have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-5 against the spread this season and have been the underdog in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 2-6, with their games averaging 36.5 points (the O/U line has averaged 42 points).

Commanders Injury Report

  • Javontae Jean-Baptiste – Ankle (Out)
  • Brandon Coleman – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kevon Seymour – Suspension (Out)
  • Jonathan Allen – Pectoral (Out)
  • Cornelius Lucas – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jamison Crowder – Calf (Out)

Giants Injury Report

  • Dyontae Johnson – Ankle (Out)
  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Ty Summers – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Jamie Gillan – Left Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Gunner Olszewski – Groin (Out)
  • Elijah Riley – Concussion (Out)
  • Andrew Thomas – Foot (Out)
  • Carter Coughlin – Pectoral (Out)
  • Cor’Dale Flott – Groin (Questionable)
  • Kayvon Thibodeaux – Wrist (Out)
  • Austin Schlottmann – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Adoree’ Jackson – Neck (Questionable)
  • Graham Gano – Hamstring (Out)

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Commanders are 3rd in the NFL in points per game (29.5) and yards per game (396.2). They have leaned on the run game, ranking 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game (165.8). On 3rd down, they convert 46.4% of the time, which ranks 4th in the league, but they are 25th in red zone conversion percentage despite leading the NFL in red zone attempts.

Jayden Daniels threw for 326 yards (21/38) and a touchdown in week 8 against the Bears. Terry McLaurin led the team with 5 catches for 125 yards, while Brian Robinson Jr. had 65 rushing yards on 16 carries. Washington scored 6 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters.

Giants Offense Breakdown

new york giants

Daniel Jones has been unable to find the end zone in his last three games, throwing for 264 yards on 24/38 passing in week 8 against the Steelers. He had one interception and was sacked four times. Jones’ passer ratings have been 57, 77, and 72 over the last three weeks. Tyrone Tracy Jr. had 145 rushing yards on 20 carries in week 8, and Darius Slayton led the team with 108 receiving yards on 4 catches.

Heading into week 9, the Giants rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. They are 30th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 14.6 points per game, and 25th in total yards, with 303.6 per game. New York ranks 5th in passing attempts but only 22nd in passing yards. They are 23rd in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 34.5%.

Commanders Team Defense

Washington’s defense played well on third down in their most recent game, allowing the Bears to convert just 16.7% of their third down attempts. Despite giving up 196 rushing yards on 34 attempts, the Commanders held the Bears to just 15 points in their 18-15 win. The passing game for Chicago was limited to 111 yards through the air, with the Commanders allowing just 10 completions.

Washington’s defense also recorded two sacks in the game and limited the Bears to 4.6 yards per pass attempt. Even though they struggled against the run, the Commanders’ defense was tough to move the ball against overall, allowing just 307 total yards.

Giants Team Defense

In their 26-18 loss to the Steelers, the Giants’ defense gave up 426 total yards, including 167 rushing yards on 31 attempts (5.4 per attempt). They allowed Pittsburgh to gain 9.2 yards per pass attempt, with 259 yards through the air. The Giants struggled to stop the run and allowed the Steelers to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts.

Despite the loss, the Giants did manage to sack the quarterback four times. However, they also allowed the Steelers to hit their quarterback four more times than they hit Daniel Jones and had one more tackle for loss than the Giants did.

Commanders vs Giants Trends

  • Across the Commanders last ten road games, the team averaged 23 points per game while allowing 27. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-4-1, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Giants have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 18 points per game in these contests.
  • The last three games that New York was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Washington has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Commanders vs Giants Prediction

Our pick against the spread is to take the Giants to cover, as they are currently sitting at +3.5 point home underdogs in their matchup against Washington. We have the Giants winning by a score of 24-17.

For this week nine matchup, we have a point spread pick and an over/under pick. Starting with the over/under, with the line sitting at 43.5 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 41 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.