cowboys vs bills nfl prediction

NFL: Dallas Cowboys vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction 12/17/2023

The Dallas Cowboys (10-3) travel to face off against the Buffalo Bills (7-6) on Sunday, December 17th. This game will be played at Highmark Stadium in Highmark Stadium and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 4:25 ET.

Cowboys vs Bills

The Cowboys Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, the Cowboys faced off against the Eagles at home. This game ended in a 33-13 win for Dallas. Given that they were favored by 3.5 against the Eagles, the Cowboys picked up an ATS win.

Dak Prescott wrapped up the game with 271 passing yards and a passer rating of 99. Overall, he completed 24 of 39 passes.

Defensively, the Cowboys gave up 324 total yards of offense to Philadelphia. Of these yards, 106 were gained through rushing plays, and the team’s secondary allowed 218 yards on 28 pass attempts.

As they prepare to face the Bills, the Cowboys hold an overall record of 10-3 and have secured five consecutive victories. Within the NFC-East, Dallas is in 1st place.

The current scoring margin for the Cowboys’ is +14.5, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 9-4. Dallas has an over/under record of 8-5 so far this year. Their average over/under betting line stands at 45 points, and their games have averaged a combined 50.3 points per game.

Cowboys Injury Report

  • Johnathan Hankins – Ankle (Questionable)
  • C.J. Goodwin – Pectoral (Out)
  • Billy Price – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Leighton Vander Esch – Neck (Out)
  • Trevon Diggs – Knee (Out)
  • Josh Ball – Hip (Out)
  • Sean McKeon – Ankle (Out)
  • David Durden – Knee (Out)
  • Viliami Fehoko Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Out)
  • Matt Waletzko – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)

The Bills Are Coming Off A Win

Taking a look at their latest game, the Bills defeated the Chiefs by a score of 20-17. In additon to winning straight-up, the Bills covered the spread as 1.5 point underdogs.

Versus the Chiefs, the Bills turned to the run 28 times, and it was James Cook who led the way with 58 yards. Meanwhile, Josh Allen finished with 42 pass attempts, resulting in 233 yards and a passer rating of 68.

The Bills’ defense wrapped up the game with one sack and one interception vs. the Chiefs. Additionally, the team’s secondary yielded 264 passing yards, while the rush defense permitted 82 rushing yards.

Heading into their week 15 matchup against Dallas the Bills are in 2nd place in the AFC-East on a record of 7-6. In their seven games at home they have gone 5-2 and 2-4 on the road.

The current scoring margin for the Bills’ is +8, and this has contributed to their ATS record of 5-8. So far this season, Buffalo games are 9th in total points. Their over/under record is 4-9 and the average over/under line for their games is 46.1 points.

Bills Injury Report

  • Justin Shorter – Hamstring (Out)
  • Dalton Kincaid – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Kaiir Elam – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Kameron Cline – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tommy Doyle – Knee (Out)
  • Zach Davidson – Knee (Out)
  • Damien Harris – Neck (Out)
  • A.J. Epenesa – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Matt Milano – Lower Leg (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Tre’Davious White – Achilles (Out)
  • DaQuan Jones – Pectoral (Out)
  • Micah Hyde – Undisclosed (Questionable)

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

The Cowboys’ offense has performing well in the first half of game, averaging 18.5 points. Their overall offensive numbers of 32.4 is 1st in the NFL.

Dallas’ passing offense, heading into this week’s game, holds the 2nd ranking in passing yards. In terms of attempts, they are 8th with an average of 36.2 passes per game.

On a per-attempt basis, the Cowboys average 4.1 yards while carrying the ball an average of 28.7 times per game. Regarding rushing yardage, they are 11th in the league.

Bills Offense Breakdown

The Bills come in with an average 26.8 points per game on offense, which has them 5th in the NFL.

In this week’s game, Buffalo’s passing game is currently 5th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 7th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 36.5 passes each game.

Per attempt, the Bills are averaging 4.3 yards while carrying the ball an average of 27.7 times per contest. In terms of yardage, they are 10th in the league.

Cowboys Team Defense

The Dallas defense has recorded 21 takeaways this season, which places them 4th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 17.9 is 4th in the league while giving up 289.9 yards per contest.

Bills Team Defense

Defensively, Buffalo is 6th in points allowed. So far, opponents are averaging 18.8 points per game against them on 321.9 yards allowed per contest.

Cowboys vs Bills Trends

  • Across the Cowboys last five road games, the team averaged 20 points per game while allowing 25. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
  • In their last three games at home, the Bills have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bills have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.

Cowboys vs Bills Prediction

After an impressive defensive showing against Philadelphia, I’m favoring Dallas to cover the spread this week, especially with the line currently set at +2.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 50 points. This projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 49.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.