The Detroit Lions will face off against the Houston Texans at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 10th. This matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston.
The Texans are the underdog in their week 10 matchup against the Lions, with Detroit favored by -3.5 on the road. The game is being televised on NBC at 8:20 ET, and the Texans have +154 odds on the money line. The over/under line is set at 49.5 points for this non-conference game at NRG Stadium in Houston.
- Date: Sunday, November 10th
- Time: 8:20 ET
- Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
- TV: NBC
Lions vs Texans
Heading into week 10, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 77.7% chance of winning the NFC North and a 98.2% chance of making the playoffs. Detroit has won six straight games, including a 24-14 road victory over the Packers in week 9. The Lions were 2.5-point favorites and covered the spread, improving their record to 7-1 and their ATS record to 7-1.
Detroit has an average scoring margin of +13.8 points per game and is 4-0 on the road and 3-1 at home. Their O/U record is 4-4 this season, with their games averaging 50.8 points per game. The average line in their games has been 50.1 points.
Heading into week 10, the Texans sit atop the AFC South with a 6-3 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. They have a +0.1 scoring margin this season and are 12th in our power rankings. Our projections give them a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs and an 88.2% chance of winning the division.
Houston is 3-6 against the spread this season and has failed to cover in two straight games. In week 9, they lost 21-13 to the Jets, falling short of the 2.5-point spread. The combined scoring in that game was 34 points, marking the Texans’ third straight under.
Lions Injury Report
- Jalen Reeves-Maybin – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Kyle Peko – Pectoral (Out)
- Emmanuel Moseley – Pectoral (Out)
- Michael Badgley – Hamstring (Out)
- John Cominsky – Knee (Out)
- Marcus Davenport – Elbow (Out)
- Netane Muti – Shoulder (Out)
- Ifeatu Melifonwu – Ankle (Out)
- Aidan Hutchinson – Tibia (Out)
- David Bada – Achilles (Out)
- Derrick Barnes – Knee (Out)
- Antoine Green – Concussion (Out)
- Josh Paschal – Illness (Questionable)
- Malcolm Rodriguez – Ankle (Questionable)
- Connor Galvin – Knee (Out)
- Brodric Martin – Knee (Questionable)
- Mekhi Wingo – Ankle (Questionable)
- Sione Vaki – Knee (Questionable)
- Nate Lynn – Shoulder (Out)
Texans Injury Report
- Stefon Diggs – Knee (Out)
- Mario Edwards Jr. – Suspension (Out)
- Jimmie Ward – Groin (Questionable)
- Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
- Jerry Hughes – Hip (Questionable)
- Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
- Nico Collins – Hamstring (Out)
- Azeez Al-Shaair – Knee (Questionable)
- Jeff Okudah – Hip (Questionable)
- Dameon Pierce – Groin (Questionable)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
- Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
- Will Anderson Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jarrett Patterson – Concussion (Questionable)
- Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
- LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
- Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
- British Brooks – Knee (Out)
Lions Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 10, the Lions are 3rd in our offensive power rankings and lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.2 points per game. They rank 7th in total yards per game with 369.6, despite being 26th in passing attempts. Jared Goff has been efficient, posting a passer rating of 109 in week 9, going 18/22 for 145 yards and a touchdown against the Packers. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team with 56 receiving yards on 7 catches in that game.
On the ground, Detroit ranks 6th in rushing yards per game, averaging 152.6 on 31 attempts per game. David Montgomery had 73 yards on 17 carries in week 9, while Jahmyr Gibbs had 127 yards in week 8 and 116 yards in week 7. The Lions are 7th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41.6% success rate.
Texans Offense Breakdown
Our NFL.com offensive power rankings have the Texans sitting 17th in the league. They are 16th in points per game, averaging 22.3, and rank 11th in total yards per game with 348.1. Houston has been strong in the first quarter, ranking 4th in the NFL in points scored early in games. They are 14th in the league in third-down conversion percentage, converting 38.4% of their attempts.
Joe Mixon has been consistent on the ground, rushing for 106 yards on 24 carries in week 9, following his 102-yard performance in week 8 and 115 yards in week 7. C.J. Stroud struggled against the Jets, going 11/30 for 191 yards and was sacked 8 times. Tank Dell led the team in receiving in week 9, with 6 catches for 126 yards.
Lions Team Defense
In their 24-14 win over the Packers, the Lions’ defense gave up 411 yards but held Green Bay to a 25% conversion rate on third down. They allowed 138 rushing yards on just 23 attempts, with the Packers averaging 6.0 yards per attempt. Despite not recording any sacks, the Lions’ defense forced one interception and kept the Packers out of the endzone through the air, allowing 273 passing yards on 23 completions (59% completion percentage).
Texans Team Defense
The Texans’ defense allowed the Jets to convert on 41.7% of their third down attempts in their most recent game, finishing with a 21-13 loss. Houston gave up 193 passing yards on 22 completions and allowed three passing touchdowns. Overall, the defense struggled to stop the pass, as the Jets completed 68.8% of their passes.
Despite struggling against the pass, the Texans’ defense did limit the Jets to 100 rushing yards on just 21 attempts. They also managed two sacks in the game but lost the tackles for loss battle with -3 compared to the Jets.
Lions vs Texans Trends
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Detroit has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 34 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Texans have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
- The Lions have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
Lions vs Texans Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread in this week 10 matchup between the Lions and Texans is to take the Texans to cover as home underdogs. The point spread has the Texans at +3.5, and even though we have the Lions winning 24-22, the Texans’ pick vs. the spread is the way to go.
For the over/under, with the line sitting at 49.5 points, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 6, 2024 Uncategorized