The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Green Bay Packers at 8:20 ET on Thursday, November 28th. This matchup is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.

The over/under line is set at 47 points for the week 13 non-conference matchup between the Dolphins and Packers. Kickoff is at 8:20 ET on Thursday, November 28th at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, with NBC handling the television coverage. The Packers are favored by -3.5 points and have a money line of -177, while the Dolphins’ money line stands at +150.

• Date: Thursday, November 28th
• Time: 8:20 ET
• Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
• TV: NBC

Dolphins vs Packers

After a week 9 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins have bounced back with three straight wins, including a 34-15 victory over the Patriots in week 12. Miami was a 7.5-point favorite and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 5-6. They’ve now covered in four consecutive games.

Miami sits 16th in our power rankings and has a 19.6% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2nd in the AFC East with a 5-6 record, including a 2-2 mark in division games.

Green Bay’s 28-point win over the 49ers in week 12 brought their record to 8-3 and put them 4th in our NFL power rankings. The victory was their second in a row, following a narrow win over the Bears in week 11. The Packers couldn’t cover the 6-point spread in that game, but they easily covered the 6.5-point line against San Francisco. The combined scoring of 48 points went over the 44.5-point line.

Heading into week 13, the Packers have a 97.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.3% chance of winning the NFC North. They are currently 3rd in the division with a 1-2 record in divisional games. Against the spread, Green Bay is 5-6, with an average scoring margin of +5.9 points per game.

Dolphins Injury Report

• Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
• Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
• Julian Hill – Shoulder (Probable)
• Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
• Patrick McMorris – Foot (Questionable)
• Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
• Tanner Conner – Undisclosed (Out)
• Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
• Robert Jones – Knee/groin (Probable)
• Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
• Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
• Jevón Holland – Hand/knee (Probable)
• Tyler Huntley – Right Shoulder (Out)
• Benito Jones – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Austin Jackson – Knee (Out)
• Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
• Blake Ferguson – Personal (Out)
• Kendall Fuller – Concussion (Questionable)
• Tyreek Hill – Wrist (Questionable)
• Tyus Bowser – Knee/calf (Questionable)
• Jalen Ramsey – Knees (Questionable)
• Terron Armstead – Knee (Questionable)
• Alec Ingold – Calf (Questionable)
• Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)
• Anthony Walker Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)

Packers Injury Report

• Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
• Edgerrin Cooper – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Luke Musgrave – Ankle (Out)
• John FitzPatrick – Back (Questionable)
• Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
• AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
• Romeo Doubs – Concussion (Questionable)
• Josh Myers – Pectoral (Questionable)
• Rasheed Walker – Knee (Questionable)
• Isaiah McDuffie – Ankle (Questionable)
• MarShawn Lloyd – Abdomen (Out)
• Jaire Alexander – Knee (Questionable)

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Dolphins are 20th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 22nd in the NFL in points per game (19.5) and 19th in passing yards per game (207.1), with Tua Tagovailoa throwing for 317 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 12. Miami is 16th in rushing yards per game (116.8) on 28.7 attempts per game, which ranks 8th in the league.

Miami ranks 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41.8% success rate. They are 14th in red zone conversion percentage and 12th in red zone attempts. Jaylen Waddle led the team with 8 catches for 144 yards and a touchdown in week 12.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Green Bay’s offense is 9th in our power rankings, and they are 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.2 points per game. They’ve been strong in the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game, with 151.6. Josh Jacobs had 106 yards and 3 touchdowns on 26 carries in week 12. On the passing side, the Packers are 26th in attempts per game and 11th in passing yards, with Jordan Love throwing for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12.

Despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts, Green Bay is 25th in red zone conversion percentage, at 11.4%. They are also 19th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions. In week 12, they converted 6 of 13 3rd downs and scored on all 5 of their red zone trips.

Dolphins Team Defense

In the Dolphins’ 34-15 win over the Patriots, their defense was outstanding, allowing just 182 passing yards and forcing the Patriots to a 21.4% third-down conversion rate. Miami’s secondary limited New England to 57.9% completions and came up with one interception. They also recorded four sacks and held the Patriots to 86 yards rushing on 21 attempts.

Miami’s defensive front was disruptive, winning the QB hit differential by six and the tackles for loss battle by one. They gave up just one passing touchdown and kept New England to a total of 268 yards in the game.

Packers Team Defense

In their 38-10 win over the 49ers, the Packers’ defense was exceptional, holding San Francisco to just 44 yards rushing on 16 attempts. They also limited the 49ers to 197 passing yards on 17 completions. Overall, the Packers allowed only 241 total yards in the game.

On third downs, the Packers allowed the 49ers to convert just 30% of their chances. They also came away with one interception and two sacks while holding the 49ers to a 58.6% completion rate. Despite this, they did lose the tackles for loss battle.

Dolphins vs Packers Trends

• In their last three road games, Miami has averaged 20 points per game while allowing 20. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
• Across the Packers last three home games, the team averaged 24 points per game while allowing 21. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 3-0 straight-up.
• As the betting underdog, the Dolphins have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Miami posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
• Although the Packers have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Dolphins vs Packers Prediction

With the point spread sitting at 3.5 in favor of the Dolphins, we are picking them to not only win this week 13 matchup vs. the Packers, but also to cover the spread. Our projected final score is 29-23 in favor of Miami.

For the over/under, with the line at 47 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with a projected combined score of 52 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.