The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Green Bay Packers at 8:20 ET on Thursday, November 28th. This matchup is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.

The Packers are favored on the money line at -177 as they host the Dolphins at 8:20 ET on Thursday, November 28th at Lambeau Field. The Dolphins are +3.5 point underdogs on the road. This non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC, with the over/under line set at 47 points.

• Date: Thursday, November 28th
• Time: 8:20 ET
• Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
• TV: NBC

Dolphins vs Packers

After a week 9 loss to the Bills, the Dolphins have bounced back with three straight wins, including a 34-15 victory over the Patriots in week 12. Miami was a 7.5-point favorite in this game and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 5-6. They’ve now covered in four consecutive games. Their O/U record is also 5-6, with the over hitting in each of their last two games.

Miami is now 5-6 on the season and sits 8th in the AFC and 16th in our power rankings. We give them a 19.6% chance of making the playoffs, but they have no chance of winning the AFC East. In division games, the Dolphins are 2-2, and they have a -1.9 average scoring margin this season.

With a 28-point win over the 49ers in week 12, the Packers improved to 8-3 and are now on a two-game winning streak. Before this, they narrowly defeated the Bears in week 11 but couldn’t cover the 6-point spread. However, they easily covered the 6.5-point line against San Francisco, moving their ATS record to 5-6 this season.

Heading into week 13, Green Bay ranks 4th in our NFL power rankings and has a 97.2% chance of making the playoffs. Despite being 4th in our rankings, they sit 3rd in the NFC North with a 1-2 division record. The Packers are 4-2 at home and 4-1 on the road.

Dolphins Injury Report

• Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
• Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
• Julian Hill – Shoulder (Probable)
• Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
• Patrick McMorris – Foot (Questionable)
• Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)
• Tanner Conner – Undisclosed (Out)
• Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
• Robert Jones – Knee/groin (Probable)
• Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
• Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
• Jevón Holland – Hand/knee (Probable)
• Tyler Huntley – Right Shoulder (Out)
• Benito Jones – Shoulder (Questionable)
• Austin Jackson – Knee (Out)
• Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
• Blake Ferguson – Personal (Out)
• Kendall Fuller – Concussion (Questionable)
• Tyreek Hill – Wrist (Questionable)
• Tyus Bowser – Knee/calf (Questionable)
• Jalen Ramsey – Knees (Questionable)
• Terron Armstead – Knee (Questionable)
• Alec Ingold – Calf (Questionable)
• Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)
• Anthony Walker Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)

Packers Injury Report

• Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
• Edgerrin Cooper – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Luke Musgrave – Ankle (Out)
• John FitzPatrick – Back (Questionable)
• Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
• AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
• Romeo Doubs – Concussion (Questionable)
• Josh Myers – Pectoral (Questionable)
• Rasheed Walker – Knee (Questionable)
• Isaiah McDuffie – Ankle (Questionable)
• MarShawn Lloyd – Abdomen (Out)
• Jaire Alexander – Knee (Questionable)

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Dolphins are 22nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 19.5. They rank 19th in passing yards per game (207.1) and 16th in rushing yards per game (116.8), while sitting 10th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage. In our offensive power rankings, Miami is currently 20th.

Tua Tagovailoa is coming off a strong performance in week 12, throwing for 317 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Patriots. Jaylen Waddle led the team with 8 catches for 144 yards, while De’Von Achane had 32 yards on 10 carries.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Packers are 9th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 5th in the NFL with 381.9 passing yards per game and are 8th in points per game, averaging 26.2. Green Bay has emphasized the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game with 151.6. However, they have struggled on 3rd down, converting only 37.6% of their attempts, which ranks 19th in the league.

In week 12, the Packers scored 38 points in a win over the 49ers, including 14 in the 4th quarter. Jordan Love threw for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 107. Josh Jacobs led the rushing attack with 106 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Romeo Doubs had 54 receiving yards. Doubs is questionable for week 13 with a concussion.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 34-15 win over the Patriots, the Dolphins’ defense allowed just a 21.4% conversion rate on third down. They also came away with four sacks and held New England to 86 yards rushing on 21 attempts. The Dolphins gave up just 182 passing yards and allowed the Patriots to complete only 57.9% of their passes. Miami’s defense also picked off one pass and limited New England to 15 points.

Packers Team Defense

In their 38-10 win over the 49ers, the Packers’ defense allowed just 44 rushing yards on 16 attempts. They held San Francisco to 197 passing yards and a 58.6% completion rate. The Packers’ secondary picked off one pass and limited the 49ers to a 30% conversion rate on third down.

Green Bay’s defense also recorded two sacks and held the 49ers to only 241 total yards. The Packers gave up one passing touchdown and had a tackles for loss differential of -2 in the game.

Dolphins vs Packers Trends

• When looking at their past ten road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
• Across their ten previous home games, Green Bay has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 29 points per game.
• Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
• Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Packers struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-0.

Dolphins vs Packers Prediction

For this week 13 matchup between the Dolphins and Packers, we are leaning towards taking the Dolphins to cover the spread. Currently, the point spread lines have the Dolphins at +3.5, and we have them not only covering but winning by a score of 22-17.

As for the best way to attack the over/under, we are looking to take the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points and the O/U line sitting at 47 points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.