The Atlanta Falcons will face off against the Minnesota Vikings at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 8th. This matchup is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
The Falcons and Vikings will face off on Sunday, December 8th at 1:00 ET on FOX. The Vikings are favored at -228 on the money line, and the Falcons are +190. This week 14 NFC matchup has the Vikings favored by -5 points, and the over/under line is set at 46 points.
- Date: Sunday, December 8th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
- TV: FOX
Falcons vs Vikings
Atlanta heads into week 14 looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 17-13 home loss to the Chargers in week 13. This dropped the Falcons to 6-6 on the season, but they still hold the top spot in the NFC South thanks to a 4-1 division record. They are 6-2 in conference play and rank 4th in the NFC standings.
Our projections give the Falcons a 52.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 49.2% chance of winning the division. Atlanta is 18th in our NFL power rankings and has an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 5-7 and have failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 4-8, with the under hitting in four consecutive games.
With a 10-2 record, the Vikings have a 99.8% chance of making the playoffs, but our power rankings give them just a 10% chance of winning the NFC North. Minnesota is currently on a five-game winning streak, which includes a narrow 23-22 victory over the Cardinals in week 13. They were favored by 3.5 points in that matchup but couldn’t cover the spread. The O/U line was 45.5 points, and the teams combined for 45.
Against the spread, the Vikings are 7-4-1 this season. They are 4-4-1 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is +6.5 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-8, with their games averaging 43 points compared to a 44.4-point line.
Falcons Injury Report
- Ruke Orhorhoro – Ankle (Questionable)
- Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
- DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
- Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
- Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
- James Smith-Williams – Tibia (Out)
- Micah Abernathy – Knee (Out)
- Ta’Quon Graham – Pectoral (Out)
- Jase McClellan – Knee (Questionable)
- Mike Hughes – Neck (Questionable)
Vikings Injury Report
- Andrew DePaola – Hand (Out)
- Stephon Gilmore – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Josh Oliver – Wrist/ankle (Questionable)
- Christian Darrisaw – Knee (Out)
- Jordan Kunaszyk – Undisclosed (Out)
- Mekhi Blackmon – Knee (Out)
- Ivan Pace Jr. – Hamstring (Out)
- Jay Ward – Elbow (Questionable)
- NaJee Thompson – Knee (Out)
- Jeremy Flax – Undisclosed (Out)
- J.J. McCarthy – Knee (Out)
- Will Reichard – Thigh (Questionable)
- Taki Taimani – Ankle (Out)
Falcons Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 14, the Falcons are 13th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 18th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.4, and are 8th in yards per game with 360.6. Atlanta ranks 4th in passing yards per game, with 242.8, on 33.8 attempts per game. They are 14th in rushing attempts and yards per game, averaging 117.8. The Falcons have struggled on 3rd down, ranking 23rd with a conversion rate of 35.9%, but they are 9th in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 13, Kirk Cousins threw for 245 yards but had 4 interceptions in the loss to the Chargers. Bijan Robinson rushed for 102 yards on 26 carries, and Ray-Ray McCloud III had 4 catches for 95 yards. Atlanta scored 7 points in the 1st quarter and 6 in the 3rd but were shut out in the 2nd and 4th quarters. They converted just 3 of 14 3rd downs and went 1 for 4 in the red zone.
Vikings Offense Breakdown
Sam Darnold has been on a hot streak, posting passer ratings of 107, 116, and 111 in his last three games. In week 13, he threw for 235 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 21 of 31 passes without an interception. Justin Jefferson led the receiving corps with 7 catches for 99 yards, while Darnold also led the team in rushing with 22 yards on 4 carries.
Heading into week 14, the Vikings are 11th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 8th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 24.8 points per game, and lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota is 13th in total yards per game, with 344.6, and 10th in passing yards, averaging 231.6 per game.
Falcons Team Defense
Despite their defensive effort, the Falcons lost 17-13 to the Chargers in their most recent game. They allowed just 131 passing yards on 70.8% completions and limited the Chargers to 187 total yards. Atlanta’s run defense was also solid, giving up only 56 yards on 17 attempts.
Atlanta’s defense came away with 5 sacks and held the Chargers to a 27.3% conversion rate on third down. However, the Falcons still came up short in a low-scoring game.
Vikings Team Defense
In their 23-22 win over the Cardinals, the Vikings’ defense gave up 406 yards, including 154 yards on the ground from 31 attempts (5.0 yards per attempt). Despite allowing a lot of yards, they did come up with two interceptions and limited Arizona to 38.5% on third down.
Against the pass, the Vikings allowed 252 yards, with the Cardinals completing 68.9% of their passes. Minnesota’s defense forced one sack and had one tackle for loss less than Arizona.
Falcons vs Vikings Trends
- The Falcons are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
- When looking at their past three home matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 1-1-1 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Falcons have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
- The last ten games that Minnesota was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 7-3 straight up.
Falcons vs Vikings Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Falcons to cover as road underdogs. Despite the point spread favoring the Falcons at +5, we actually have the Vikings winning this week 28-25.
As for the over/under, with the line sitting at 46 points, we have these teams combining for 53 points, making the over our recommended play.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 4, 2024 Atlanta Falcons, Minnesota Vikings