The Atlanta Falcons will face off against the New Orleans Saints at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th. This matchup is being played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.

The Saints are the underdog at +151 on the money line as they host the Falcons at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 10th at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Falcons are favored by -3.5 on the road in this week ten NFC South matchup. You can catch this one on FOX, with the Falcons at -179 on the money line and the over/under line is at 46.5 points.

• Date: Sunday, November 10th
• Time: 1:00 ET
• Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
• TV: FOX

Falcons vs Saints

With two straight wins, the Falcons sit at 6-3, giving them an 80% chance of winning the NFC South and an 86% chance of making the playoffs. Atlanta is 4-0 in division games and 6-1 in conference play, putting them 3rd in the NFC standings. They are 3-0 on the road and 3-3 at home.

Against the spread, the Falcons are 5-4 and have covered in two straight games, including a 6-point win over the Cowboys in week 9. They were 3-point favorites in that game. The O/U line was 52, and the teams combined for 48 points. Atlanta’s O/U record is 4-5 this season.

Heading into week 10 against the Falcons, the Saints are looking to snap a seven-game losing streak, which includes a 23-22 loss to the Panthers in week 9. New Orleans was a 7-point favorite in that game but couldn’t hold on for the win, dropping their record to 2-7. They currently sit 4th in the NFC South and have a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections.

The Saints are 3-6 against the spread this season and have failed to cover in five straight games. Their O/U record is 6-3, with their games averaging 48.4 points per contest.

Falcons Injury Report

• Ruke Orhorhoro – Ankle (Out)
• JD Bertrand – Concussion (Questionable)
• Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
• DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
• Troy Andersen – Knee (Questionable)
• Drake London – Hip (Questionable)
• Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
• Drew Dalman – Ankle (Questionable)
• Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
• Micah Abernathy – Knee (Out)
• Lorenzo Carter – Concussion (Out)
• Grady Jarrett – Achilles (Questionable)

Saints Injury Report

• Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
• Jamaal Williams – Groin (Questionable)
• Tanoh Kpassagnon – Achilles (Out)
• Lucas Patrick – Calf (Questionable)
• Erik McCoy – Groin (Out)
• Will Harris – Hamstring (Out)
• Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
• Shane Lemieux – Ankle (Questionable)
• Paulson Adebo – Femur (Out)
• Chris Olave – Concussion (Questionable)
• Nephi Sewell – Undisclosed (Questionable)
• John Ridgeway III – Oblique (Questionable)
• Rashid Shaheed – Knee (Out)
• Kendre Miller – Hamstring (Out)
• Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
• Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)
• Kool-Aid McKinstry – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Bub Means – Ankle (Out)
• Rico Payton – Back (Questionable)

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Falcons sit 8th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in points per game (24.6) and 8th in yards per game (364.8). Atlanta ranks 6th in passing yards per game (246.3) on 33 attempts per game, which is 12th in the league. On the ground, they are 18th in rushing yards per game (118.4) and 19th in attempts. The Falcons are 13th in 3rd-down conversion rate (38.5%) and 16th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 10th in red zone attempts.

Kirk Cousins has been on fire, posting a passer rating of 144 in week 9, with 222 yards and 3 touchdowns on 19/24 passing. He threw for 276 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 8 and had 232 yards in week 7. Bijan Robinson rushed for 86 yards on 19 carries in week 9, and Darnell Mooney led the team with 5 catches for 88 yards and a touchdown.

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Saints rank 20th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in points per game (23) and 16th in yards per game (331.4). New Orleans ranks 18th in passing yards per game, with 206.1, on 32.1 attempts per game. They’ve leaned on the run game, ranking 9th in rushing attempts and 13th in rushing yards per game (125.3). On 3rd down, they rank 16th, converting 38.1% of their attempts, and they are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 10th in red zone attempts.

In week 9, Derek Carr threw for 236 yards (18/31) and a touchdown. Alvin Kamara had a big game, rushing 29 times for 155 yards and leading the team in receiving with 6 catches for 60 yards. The Saints scored in every quarter, putting up 6 points in the 1st and 4th quarters, 7 in the 2nd, and 3 in the 3rd. They converted 5 of 15 3rd-down attempts and went 2/4 in the red zone.

Falcons Team Defense

In their 27-21 win over the Cowboys, the Falcons’ defense gave up 137 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, including a long touchdown run. Despite this, they held Dallas to a 23.1% third-down conversion rate and recorded three sacks. The Falcons allowed 241 passing yards, with Dallas completing 31 passes, and gave up two passing touchdowns.

Atlanta’s defense struggled to stop the run, as the Cowboys averaged 6.5 yards per attempt on the ground. However, the Falcons did well on third downs and managed to pressure the quarterback, finishing with a positive differential in quarterback hits.

Saints Team Defense

In their 23-22 loss to the Panthers, the Saints’ defense allowed just 246 total yards and 80 rushing yards on 23 attempts. They limited Carolina to 3.5 yards per attempt on the ground and 166 passing yards. The Saints’ defense recorded one interception and held the Panthers to a 40% conversion rate on third downs. New Orleans gave up just one touchdown in the game.

Falcons vs Saints Trends

• The Falcons are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
• Through their last five home games, New Orleans has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 22 points per game.
• Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
• The Falcons have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Falcons vs Saints Prediction

With the point spread sitting at 46.5, we have a lot of value on the over, with our projections suggesting a combined score of 47 points. This week 10 matchup between the Falcons and Saints is a great opportunity to take the over, as the line sits at just 46.5 points.

As for a point-spread pick, we are leaning towards taking the Saints to cover as home underdogs. Even though our final score prediction is 25-22 in favor of the Falcons, the Saints are our pick to cover at +3.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.