The Atlanta Falcons will face off against the Washington Commanders at 8:20 ET on Sunday, December 29th. This matchup is being played at Northwest Stadium in Landover.

On Sunday, December 29th, the Falcons and Commanders will face off on NBC at 8:20 ET. The Commanders are favored at -204 on the money line, with the Falcons at +171. The Commanders are -4 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 47 points. Both teams are looking to improve their records in this week 17 NFC matchup.

• Date: Sunday, December 29th
• Time: 8:20 ET
• Location: Northwest Stadium, Landover
• TV: NBC

Falcons vs Commanders

With two straight wins, the Falcons now sit at 8-7, putting them in first place in the NFC South. After a week 14 loss to the Vikings, Atlanta bounced back with victories over the Raiders and Giants, including a 27-point win over New York in week 16. The Falcons were 9.5-point favorites in that game and easily covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 6-8-1 this season.

Heading into week 17, Atlanta has a 48.3% chance of making the playoffs and winning the division. They rank 21st in our NFL power rankings and have an average scoring margin of -1.5 points per game. Their O/U record stands at 5-10, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Washington heads into week 17 on a three-game winning streak, including a 36-33 victory over the Eagles in week 16. This win improved their record to 10-5, putting them 2nd in the NFC East and 7th in the conference. Our projections give the Commanders a 93.6% chance of making the playoffs.

Washington sits 11th in our NFL power rankings and has a +5.6 scoring margin this season. They are 9-5-1 against the spread, including a 6-3 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 10-5, with an average of 52 points in their games.

Falcons Injury Report

• Bralen Trice – Knee (Out)
• Casey Washington – Concussion (Questionable)
• DeMarcco Hellams – Ankle (Out)
• Troy Andersen – Knee (Out)
• Rondale Moore – Knee (Out)
• Ta’Quon Graham – Pectoral (Out)
• Drake London – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Jase McClellan – Knee (Out)
• Harrison Hand – Knee (Out)
• James Smith-Williams – Tibia (Out)
• Micah Abernathy – Knee (Out)
• Younghoe Koo – Undisclosed (Out)
• Antonio Hamilton Sr. – Quad (Questionable)

Commanders Injury Report

• Colson Yankoff – Hamstring (Out)
• Norell Pollard – Undisclosed (Out)
• Jordan Magee – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Kazmeir Allen – Ankle (Out)
• Dyami Brown – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Austin Seibert – Hip (Out)
• Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Jonathan Allen – Pectoral (Questionable)
• Austin Ekeler – Concussion (Out)
• Noah Brown – Kidney (Out)

Falcons Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 17, the Falcons sit 15th in our offensive power rankings. They average 21.8 points per game, which ranks 19th in the NFL, and they are 9th in the league with 360.9 yards per game. Atlanta has been strong in the passing game, ranking 6th with 236.5 passing yards per game on 32.4 attempts per contest. On the ground, they rank 12th with 124.4 rushing yards per game, averaging 28.9 attempts.

In week 16, the Falcons scored 34 points in their win over the Giants, with 17 points in the 2nd quarter and 14 in the 3rd. Michael Penix Jr. threw for 202 yards (18/27), while Bijan Robinson rushed for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns on 22 carries. Darnell Mooney led the team with 5 receptions for 82 yards. Atlanta converted 8 of 14 3rd downs and went 2/4 in the red zone.

Commanders Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 17, the Commanders rank 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game (28.8) and 5th in yards per game (373.5). Washington has leaned on the run game, ranking 4th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game (152.7). Despite ranking 2nd in red zone attempts, they are 28th in red zone conversion percentage (6.5%).

Jayden Daniels threw for 258 yards and 5 touchdowns in week 16, with 2 interceptions. He connected with Olamide Zaccheaus 5 times for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns. Daniels also rushed for 81 yards on 9 carries. Washington scored 22 points in the 4th quarter to beat the Eagles 36-33.

Falcons Team Defense

Atlanta’s defense was dominant in their 34-7 win over the Giants, allowing just 45 rushing yards on 13 attempts and holding New York to 234 total yards. The Falcons’ secondary picked off two passes and limited the Giants to 189 passing yards. They also recorded three sacks and held the Giants to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.

The Falcons’ defense also won the quarterback hit battle, with a +4 differential, despite losing the tackles for loss battle. They held the Giants to just 4.8 yards per pass attempt and a completion percentage of 56.4%.

Commanders Team Defense

In their 36-33 win over the Eagles, Washington’s defense allowed just 127 passing yards on 15 completions. However, they struggled to stop the run, giving up 211 yards on 39 attempts. Despite this, they still managed to hold Philadelphia to 18.8% on third down and recorded four sacks.

Washington’s defense limited the Eagles to 338 total yards, while their own offense put up 484 yards. They also came away with one interception and allowed just a 53.6% completion percentage to Philadelphia. Washington’s defensive front was effective, leading to a number of tackles for loss and a positive QB hit differential.

Falcons vs Commanders Trends

• Across their three previous road games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 0-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 14 points per game.
• Through their last ten home games, Washington has an ATS record of just 4-5-1. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 24 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Falcons have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Atlanta posted a straight up mark of 3-7 in these matchups.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Commanders have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Falcons vs Commanders Prediction

For this week 17 matchup between the Falcons and Commanders, we have the Falcons coming out on top by a score of 26-25. With the point spread sitting at -4 in favor of the Falcons, our pick is to take the Falcons to cover as the road underdogs.

As for an over/under pick, with the line at 47 points, we like the over, projecting these teams to combine for 51 points. This is a great opportunity to take the over before the line moves, as we see a lot of value in this number.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.