The Houston Texans will face off against the Dallas Cowboys at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 18th. This matchup is being played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington.
ESPN will televise the week 11 non-conference matchup between the Texans and Cowboys from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The Texans are favored by -7.5 on the road, with a money line of -364. The Cowboys’ money line odds are +288, and the over/under line is set at 42 points. The game is set to kick off at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 18th.
- Date: Monday, November 18th
- Time: 8:15 ET
- Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
- TV: ESPN
Texans vs Cowboys
Despite a two-game losing streak, the Texans remain atop the AFC South with a 6-4 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. They have a 94.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 92.6% chance of winning the division. Houston is 13th in our power rankings heading into week 11.
Against the spread, the Texans are 4-6 this season. They are 2-5 as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-7-1, with their games averaging 45 points compared to an average line of 45.6.
After a week 5 win over the Steelers, the Cowboys have dropped four straight, including a 34-6 home loss to the Eagles in week 10. Dallas was a 7-point underdog but couldn’t keep it close, bringing their record to 3-6. They rank 13th in the NFC and are 0-4 at home, but they’ve gone 3-2 on the road.
Our power rankings have the Cowboys 32nd, and they have just a 0.9% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin is -9.1, and they are 2-7 against the spread. They have failed to cover in four straight games, including a week 10 loss to the Eagles.
Texans Injury Report
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Foot (Questionable)
- Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
- Stefon Diggs – Knee (Out)
- Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
- Nico Collins – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
- Jeff Okudah – Hip (Questionable)
- Dameon Pierce – Groin (Questionable)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
- Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
- Will Anderson Jr. – Ankle (Questionable)
- LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
- Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
- Kamari Lassiter – Concussion (Questionable)
- British Brooks – Knee (Out)
Cowboys Injury Report
- Chuma Edoga – Toe (Out)
- Amani Oruwariye – Back (Out)
- Dak Prescott – Hamstring (Out)
- DeMarcus Lawrence – Foot (Out)
- Brandin Cooks – Knee (Out)
- Juanyeh Thomas – Head (Questionable)
- DeMarvion Overshown – Knee (Questionable)
- Earl Bostick Jr. – Leg (Out)
- DaRon Bland – Foot (Questionable)
- Sam Williams – Knee (Out)
- John Stephens Jr. – Knee (Out)
- Tyler Guyton – Neck/shoulder (Questionable)
- Marshawn Kneeland – Knee (Out)
- Nathan Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
Texans Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Texans are 18th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 22.4 points per game, which ranks 14th in the NFL. They are 15th in passing yards per game (218.7) and 18th in rushing yards (119.4), with 28.4 rushing attempts per game. Houston ranks 15th in 3rd-down conversion rate (38.6%) and 24th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts. They have been strong in the 1st quarter, averaging 6.0 points, which ranks 4th in the league.
In week 10, the Texans scored 23 points in a loss to the Lions, with all their points coming in the 1st half. C.J. Stroud threw for 232 yards (19/33), with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Joe Mixon had 46 rushing yards on 25 carries, while John Metchie III led the team with 74 receiving yards on 5 catches. Before Metchie, Tank Dell had 126 receiving yards in week 9, and Stefon Diggs had 81 yards in week 8.
Cowboys Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 11, the Cowboys rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. They lead the league in passing attempts per game (39.4), resulting in 231.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 10th. However, they are 21st in 3rd-down conversions, with a 35.9% success rate. In the red zone, Dallas ranks 15th in attempts but converts at a rate of 66.7%, which is 2nd in the NFL.
In week 10, Cooper Rush struggled, throwing for just 45 yards on 13/23 passing. Rico Dowdle led the team with 53 rushing yards, while Jake Ferguson had 4 catches for 24 yards. Dallas scored only 6 points against the Eagles, failing to score in the 2nd half.
Texans Team Defense
In their 26-23 loss to the Lions, the Texans’ defense allowed just 15 completions but gave up 240 passing yards, including two touchdowns. Despite this, they did manage to come up with five interceptions. The Texans’ run defense held up well, allowing just 105 yards on 32 attempts (3.3 yards per attempt). However, they struggled to generate pressure, as they failed to record a sack and lost the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -6. Opposing offenses have converted 58.3% of their third down attempts against Houston.
Cowboys Team Defense
In their 34-6 loss to the Eagles, the Cowboys’ defense allowed 187 rushing yards on 38 attempts, with Philadelphia finishing the game with 348 total yards. Despite giving up two rushing touchdowns, Dallas’ pass defense limited the Eagles to just 161 yards through the air. They also recorded five sacks and one interception.
The Cowboys’ defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Eagles to convert 63.6% of their third down attempts. Although they pressured the quarterback with five sacks, they couldn’t generate enough consistent stops to help out their struggling offense.
Texans vs Cowboys Trends
- Across their last three road contests, Houston has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 25 points per game.
- Across their ten previous home games, Dallas has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 24 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Cowboys have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
- Against the spread, the Texans have put together of 2-3 in their last five games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 4-1 straight up.
Texans vs Cowboys Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread for this Texans vs. Cowboys matchup is to take the Cowboys to cover as home underdogs. The point spread lines have the Cowboys at +7.5, and we actually have the Texans pulling off the upset by a score of 26-20.
For the over/under line, with the line sitting at 42 points, we have a projected combined score of 46 points, making the over a great pick for this week 11 matchup.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 12, 2024 Dallas Cowboys, Houston Texans