Houston-Indianapolis NFL Prediction

NFL Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction 1/6/2024

The Houston Texans (9-7) travel to face off against the Indianapolis Colts (9-7) on Saturday, January 6th. This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Lucas Oil Stadium and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 8:15 ET.

Texans vs Coltsindianapolis colts betting

The Texans Are Coming Off A Win

Taking a look at their latest game, the Texans defeated the Titans by a score of 26-3. Given that they were favored by 5.5 against the Titans, the Texans picked up an ATS win.

C.J. Stroud wrapped up the game with 213 passing yards and a passer rating of 102. Overall, he completed 24 of 32 passes.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Texans gave up 187 yards of total offense to Tennessee. 53 of these yards came on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 134 yards on 26 attempts.

Houston is currently 3rd in the AFC-South this season, with an overall record of 9-7. In games outside the conference, they are 3-2 and in AFC games, they’ve gone 6-5.

The Texans have put together a record of 8-8 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +1.2. Houston games this season have averaged 43 points, which is 19th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 6-10, with an average OU line of 42.4 points.

Texans Injury Report

  • Robert Woods – Hip (Questionable)
  • Hassan Ridgeway – Achilles (Out)
  • Maliek Collins – Hip (Questionable)
  • Eric Murray – Knee (Out)
  • Laremy Tunsil – Groin (Questionable)
  • Jimmie Ward – Quadriceps (Out)
  • M.J. Stewart – Shoulder (Out)
  • Noah Brown – Hip (Questionable)
  • Jonathan Greenard – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Grayland Arnold – Calf (Out)
  • Tavierre Thomas – Hamstring (Out)
  • Scott Quessenberry – Knee (Out)
  • Tytus Howard – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Beck – Calf (Questionable)
  • DJ Scaife – Leg (Out)
  • Jared Wayne – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jesse Matthews – Knee (Out)
  • Kilian Zierer – Ankle (Out)
  • Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
  • Teagan Quitoriano – Groin (Out)
  • Kendrick Green – Knee (Out)
  • Tank Dell – Leg (Out)
  • Jarrett Patterson – Ankle (Out)
  • Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)
  • Troy Hairston – Back (Out)

The Colts Are Coming Off A Win

When Indianapolis last took the field, the Colts took down the Raiders, ultimately winning with a final score of 23-20. Even with a victory, the Colts couldn’t cover the spread against the Raiders, going in favored by 3.5.

Offensively, the Colts rushed the ball 29 times against the Raiders. Jonathan Taylor led the ground attack with 96 yards. Gardner Minshew made 23 passing attempts, accumulating 224 yards and achieving a passer rating of 111.

The Colts defense struggled against the Raiders offense in their last game, surrendering 26 first downs. In total, Indianapolis gave up 370 yards of offense, with the Raiders passing attack completing 63.8% of their passes.

As the Colts face off against their division rival, they are 9-7 overall and have gone 3-2 in their five division games. Heading into week 18, the Colts are in 2nd place in the AFC-South. When looking at how they have played at home, they are 4-4 so far this year.

As the underdog, Indianapolis has gone 4-6 this season compared to their ATS record of 5-1 as the favorite. At home, the Colts are 4-4 ATS and 5-3 vs. the spread on the road. Coming in with an over/under record of 11-5, the Colts have an average margin of +4.9 vs. their over/under lines. So far, their games have averaged 48.1 points per game.

Colts Injury Report

  • Drew Ogletree – Personal (Out)
  • Daniel Scott – Knee (Out)
  • Anthony Richardson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Dallis Flowers – Achilles (Out)
  • Evan Hull – Knee (Out)
  • Cameron McGrone – Illness (Questionable)
  • Isaac Taylor-Stuart – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jelani Woods – Hamstring (Out)
  • Titus Leo – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jake Witt – Hip (Out)
  • Ashton Dulin – Knee (Out)
  • Tony Brown – Suspension (Out)
  • Danny Pinter – Ankle (Out)
  • Julian Blackmon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Zack Moss – Forearm (Questionable)
  • KJ Hamler – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Isaiah McKenzie – Suspension (Out)
  • Derek Rivers – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Genard Avery – Knee (Out)
  • Kenny Moore II – Back (Questionable)
  • Al-Quadin Muhammad – Suspension (Out)

Texans Offense Breakdownhouston texans betting

At 22.1 points per contest, the Houston offense is 13th in the league.

This season, the Houston’s passing offense is 11th in passing attempts. Their average of 245.4 passing yards per contest, has them 7th in the NFL.

The Texans have been running the ball an average of 26 times per game and currently hold the 22nd spot in the league in rushing yards. Their average yards per rushing attempt is 3.8.

Colts Offense Breakdown

Regarding their offense, the Colts have an average 23.6 points per game, which places them 9th in the NFL.

Coming into this week’s game Indianapolis’ passing game is ranked 20th in passing yards. Additionally, they are positioned 13th in pass attempts, with an average of 34.4 passes per game.

At 114.5 rushing yards per game, the Colts are currently ranked 13th in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 27.6 time per game which is 11th.

Texans Team Defense

With a matchup against the Colts’ offense, the Texans defense has allowed an average of 20.9 points per game so far. They currently are 6th in quarterback hits and are allowing 328.9 yards per contest.

Colts Team Defense

Defensively, the Colts are currently ranked 4th in tackles for loss and 4th in sacks. Their opponents have been putting up an average of 24.5 points per game against them and accumulating 352.6 yards per contest.

Texans vs Colts Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 17 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • The Colts are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • The last three games that Houston was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Indianapolis has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Texans vs Colts Prediction

After an impressive defensive showing against Tennessee, I’m favoring Houston to cover the spread this week, especially with the line currently set at +1.

For this week’s matchup, I’m going with the under, as all of Indianapolis’ previous games have had over/under lines lower than 47.5. We see this line as too high for these teams, and we expect the game to stay under 47.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.