Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction 9/29/2024

The Jacksonville Jaguars will face off against the Houston Texans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 29th. This matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston.

With the Texans favored at -313 on the money line, the Jaguars will face off against them on Sunday, September 29th at 1:00 ET on CBS. The Texans are -7 point favorites in this week four AFC South matchup. The game, being played at NRG Stadium in Houston, has an over/under line set at 45.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, September 29th
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
  • TV: CBS

Jaguars vs Texans

jacksonville jaguars nfl

Buffalo dominated right from the start in their most recent game against the Jaguars, taking a 13-0 lead in the first quarter. The Jaguars went on to lose the game 47-10, dropping their record to 0-3 for the season. The Jaguars were heavy underdogs at +4, and Buffalo easily covered the spread with their 37-point victory.

After the Bills extended their lead to 34-3 at halftime, the Jaguars found the endzone in the 3rd quarter with a Trevor Lawrence touchdown pass to Christian Kirk. However, Buffalo added a field goal in the 3rd and two more in the 4th to secure the 37-point win. The combined 57 points easily surpassed the O/U line of 46.5 points.

After a 34-7 loss to the Vikings, the Texans are now 2-1 for the season. Houston was on the road for this one and they were favored by -1.5, but the 27-point loss was well below expectations. The Texans quickly fell behind, trailing 14-0 after the 1st quarter and 21-0 by halftime.

Even though they managed to score in the 3rd quarter on a C.J. Stroud touchdown pass to Nico Collins, the Texans still trailed 21-7 heading into the 4th. From there, the Vikings added 13 unanswered points. The over/under line for the game was 46.5 points, and the combined score fell just short at 41 points.

Jaguars Injury Report

  • Walker Little – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tyson Campbell – Hamstring (Out)
  • Anton Harrison – Knee (Questionable)
  • De’Shaan Dixon – Knee (Out)
  • Darnell Savage – Quad (Questionable)
  • Andrew Wingard – Knee (Out)
  • Foyesade Oluokun – Foot (Questionable)
  • Evan Engram – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Tashaun Gipson Sr. – Suspension (Out)
  • Gabe Davis – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • David White Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Keilan Robinson – Toe (Out)
  • Jarrian Jones – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Patrick Murtagh – Ankle (Out)

Texans Injury Report

  • Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
  • Jeff Okudah – Hip (Out)
  • Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
  • Dameon Pierce – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
  • Jarrett Patterson – Calf (Questionable)
  • Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
  • Kurt Hinish – Calf (Out)
  • Joe Mixon – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Denico Autry – Suspension (Out)
  • Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
  • LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
  • Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Dylan Horton – Personal (Out)

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Jacksonville’s offense struggled in their 47-10 loss to the Bills, managing just a 15.4% conversion rate on third down. The Jaguars were unable to establish a running game, with only 17 attempts for 92 yards. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence was sacked five times and finished with 178 yards passing, completing 21 of 38 attempts, and throwing one touchdown along with one interception.

Christian Kirk led the Jaguars with 79 receiving yards, while rookie running back Travis Etienne Jr. was the top rusher with 68 yards, averaging 6.2 yards per attempt and adding 17 receiving yards. The Jaguars’ offensive line struggled, as Lawrence was unable to complete a pass under pressure.

Texans Offense Breakdown

houston texans

The Texans’ offense struggled in their 34-7 loss to the Vikings, managing just 38 rushing yards on 14 attempts. They also allowed five sacks and turned the ball over twice on interceptions. Despite these issues, they did finish with 17 first downs and 258 passing yards.

Quarterback C.J. Stroud led Houston with 215 yards passing, going 20 of 31 with one touchdown. He was also the team’s leading passer. Cam Akers was the top rusher with 21 yards, while Stefon Diggs led the team with 94 receiving yards.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Jaguars’ defense gave up 47 points in a 47-10 loss to the Bills. They allowed 388 yards and struggled to defend the pass, giving up four passing touchdowns and not allowing a single completion. Jacksonville’s run defense allowed 122 yards on 29 attempts (4.2 yards per attempt) and struggled to get off the field, allowing Buffalo to convert on 54.5% of their third down attempts. Additionally, the Jaguars failed to record a sack and had a tough time generating pressure, losing the QB hit differential by -8 and the tackles for loss battle by -2.

Texans Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Texans’ defense gave up 4 passing touchdowns and allowed the Vikings to complete 46.2% of their third down attempts. Despite recording 4 sacks, Houston’s defense couldn’t generate enough pressure, as the Vikings’ quarterback was not hit often and finished with 156 yards and four touchdowns.

The Texans’ defense did not allow a single completion in the game, but they still gave up 274 yards and 34 points in their 34-7 loss to the Vikings. They also struggled to stop the run, allowing 118 rushing yards on 28 attempts.

Jaguars vs Texans Trends

  • Across the Jaguars last three road games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 31. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Texans have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Houston has a poor record vs the spread going 0-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.

Jaguars vs Texans Prediction

Our projected final score for this Jaguars vs. Texans matchup is 22-17 in favor of Jacksonville. With the Jaguars coming in as 7-point road underdogs, we like them to not only win but also cover the spread. If you are looking to bet this one against the spread, take the Jaguars to cover at +7.

For the over/under, we have a lean towards the under, with a projected combined score of 39 points and the O/U line sitting at 45.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.