The Kansas City Chiefs will face off against the Denver Broncos at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th. This matchup is being played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.

The Chiefs and Broncos will face off at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th at Empower Field at Mile High. The Broncos are heavily favored, with a money line of -578, and their point spread is -10.5. The Chiefs’ money line odds are +412. This week 18 matchup is an AFC West battle, and the over/under line is set at 39.5 points. You can catch this one on CBS.

• Date: Sunday, January 5th
• Time: 4:25 ET
• Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver
• TV: CBS

Chiefs vs Broncos

With a 15-1 record, the Chiefs sit atop the AFC standings and have a 100% chance of winning the AFC West. They rank 20th in our power rankings heading into week 18. Kansas City has won six straight games, including a 29-10 victory over the Steelers in week 17. The Chiefs covered the 1.5-point spread in that game, and they have now covered in three consecutive games.

Kansas City is 7-8-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +6.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 7-9, with their games averaging 42.1 points compared to an average line of 44.2.

Heading into week 18, the Broncos are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 30-24 loss to the Bengals in week 17. This dropped Denver’s record to 9-7, putting them 3rd in the AFC West and 7th in the conference. They have a 64.5% chance of making the playoffs but no shot at winning the division. In our power rankings, the Broncos are 18th.

Denver is 11-5 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +4.8 points per game. They are 7-0 ATS as favorites and 4-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 11-5, with the over hitting in five straight games.

Chiefs Injury Report

• Baylor Cupp – Undisclosed (Out)
• Spencer Shrader – Right Hamstring (Out)
• Jared Wiley – Knee (Out)
• McKade Mettauer – Knee (Out)
• BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
• Chamarri Conner – Concussion (Questionable)
• Rashee Rice – Knee (Out)
• Jack Cochrane – Ankle (Out)
• Jaylen Watson – Ankle (Out)
• Isiah Pacheco – Ribs (Questionable)
• Jody Fortson – Knee (Out)
• Skyy Moore – Core Muscle (Out)
• Chris Jones – Calf (Questionable)
• D.J. Humphries – Hamstring (Questionable)
• Mecole Hardman – Knee (Questionable)

Broncos Injury Report

• Delarrin Turner-Yell – Knee (Out)
• Quinn Bailey – Ankle (Out)
• Tyler Badie – Back (Questionable)
• Alex Singleton – Torn Acl (Out)

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Chiefs rank 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in points per game (24.1) and 13th in yards per game (342). Kansas City ranks 10th in passing yards per game (231.8) and 16th in rushing yards per game (110.2). They lead the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage and are 4th in red zone attempts, but they rank 24th in red zone conversion percentage.

Patrick Mahomes is coming off a 320-yard, 3-touchdown performance in week 17, posting a passer rating of 127 against the Steelers. Travis Kelce led the team with 8 catches for 84 yards and a touchdown. Kareem Hunt rushed for 20 yards on 9 carries, scoring once. Kansas City scored 13 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters in week 17.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Broncos sit 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.2, despite ranking 22nd in passing yards (205.6) and total yards per game (314.9). Denver is 17th in rushing, with 109.4 yards per game, and they rank 20th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 19.6% of their trips.

Bo Nix threw for 219 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 17, with one interception, completing 24 of 31 passes. Marvin Mims Jr. led the team with 8 catches for 103 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Jaleel McLaughlin had 69 rushing yards on 10 carries.

Chiefs Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Chiefs’ defense allowed just 162 passing yards to the Steelers, with Pittsburgh managing just 4.4 yards per attempt through the air. Kansas City’s defense was also tough against the run, allowing just 29 yards on 31 attempts. They didn’t give up any passing touchdowns and came away with five sacks in their 29-10 win over the Steelers.

Despite this, the Chiefs did allow Pittsburgh to convert on 50% of their third-down attempts and rack up 364 total yards. However, Kansas City’s defense was able to force one interception and held the Steelers to just 10 points.

Broncos Team Defense

In their 30-24 overtime loss to the Bengals, the Broncos’ defense did manage to record seven sacks and 11 more QB hits than their opponents. However, they allowed 384 passing yards on 79.6% completions, with Cincinnati racking up 499 total yards. The Broncos gave up three passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field, allowing the Bengals to convert on 53.8% of their third down attempts.

Despite their strong pass rush, the Broncos couldn’t overcome their issues in the secondary and their inability to defend the run, as the Bengals rushed for 115 yards on 28 attempts.

Chiefs vs Broncos Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 26 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
• Through their last ten home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 20 points per game.
• As the betting underdog, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
• In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Broncos have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 9-1.

Chiefs vs Broncos Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Broncos to cover as home favorites in this week 18 matchup between the Chiefs and Broncos. Right now, the point spread lines have the Broncos at -10.5, and we have them winning 29-18. This would make the Broncos a good pick to cover at home.

As for an over/under pick, with the line sitting at just 39.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the over, with our projections having this game finishing with 47 combined points.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.