chargers vs patriots nfl prediction

NFL: LA Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction 12/3/2023

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-7) travel to face off against the New England Patriots (2-9) on Sunday, December 3rd. This game will be played at Gillette Stadium in Gillette Stadium and televised on CBS. Both the Chargers and Patriots will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 ET.

Chargers vs Patriots

The Chargers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Chargers hosted the Ravens in their last game, but suffered a 20-10 loss. In addition to their 10-point loss, the Chargers also lost vs. the spread. They were 3.5-point underdogs heading into the game.

Against Baltimore, quarterback Justin Herbert had a passer rating of 75 while completing 65% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 217 yards through the air.

Defensively, the Chargers allowed 361 total yards of offense against Baltimore. Of these yards, 197 were surrendered on the ground, while the team’s secondary conceded 164 yards on 32 pass attempts.

This season, the Chargers are 4th in the AFC-West on an overall record of 4-7. In non-conference games, their record is 2-3 while going 2-4 in AFC action.

When it comes to the spread, the Chargers come in at 4-7. Going into week 13, their scoring margin per game is +1. The average over/under line for Los Angeles games this season is 47.5 points. Their over/under record stands at 3-8, with an average margin against the over/under of +0.5.

Chargers Injury Report

  • Corey Linsley – Heart (Out)
  • Nick Vannett – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Joey Bosa – Foot (Out)
  • Mike Williams – Knee (Out)
  • Tanner Muse – Knee (Out)
  • Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
  • Joshua Palmer – Knee (Out)
  • JT Woods – Illness (Questionable)
  • Raheem Layne – Knee (Out)
  • Andrew Trainer – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Amechi Uzodinma – Undisclosed (Out)

The Patriots Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After their 10-7 loss to the Giants, the Patriots are looking to bounce back in week 13. With the 3 point loss to the Giants, the Patriots also took a loss vs. the spread as 4-point favorites.

For the game, quarterback Mac Jones attempted 21 passes and finished with 12 completions for 89. His passer rating for the game was 27.

Defensively, the Patriots concluded their last game with six sacks and three interceptions. The team’s secondary gave up 162 passing yards, while their rush defense permitted 58 rushing yards.

In 11 games, the Patriots have a 2-9 record. This has them situated 4th in the AFC-East and 16th in the AFC.

The Patriots’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at -9.1, putting their ATS record at 2-9. This season, games featuring the Patriots have averaged 36 points, placing them at 31st in the NFL. They currently hold an over/under record of 3-8, with an average OU line of 41.3 points.

Patriots Injury Report

  • Isaiah Bolden – Head (Out)
  • Demario Douglas – Head (Questionable)
  • Christian Gonzalez – Shoulder (Out)
  • Marcus Jones – Shoulder (Out)
  • Daniel Ekuale – Bicep (Out)
  • Raekwon McMillan – Achilles (Out)
  • Kendrick Bourne – Knee (Out)
  • Matthew Judon – Bicep (Out)
  • Riley Reiff – Knee (Questionable)
  • Calvin Anderson – Illness (Out)
  • Tre Nixon – Shoulder (Out)
  • Tyrone Wheatley Jr. – Knee (Out)

Chargers Offense Breakdown

At 24.5 points per contest, the Los Angeles offense is 7th in the league.

In terms of the passing game, Chargers have an average 243.5 passing yards per game, placing them 10th in the league rankings. At present, 64.5% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

On the ground, the Chargers have ran the ball an average of 25.4 times per game and are 19th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 3.9 yards per rushing attempt.

Patriots Offense Breakdownnew england patriots betting

New England’s offense is 27th in the league, with an average of 13.5 points per contest.

So far this season, New England’s passing game is 13th in passing attempts. Their average of 193.8 passing yards per game places them 23rd in the NFL rankings.

In terms of rushing, the Patriots are averaging 25.1 rushing attempts per game, placing them 21st for rushing yards. They have an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt.

Chargers Team Defense

When it comes to defense, the Chargers have given up 280.0 passing yards and 110.6 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Los Angeles ranks 5th among other defenses. Coming into week 13, they have allowed 23.5 points per game and 390.6 yards.

Patriots Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Patriots hold the 14th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 15th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 22.5 points and gain 316.8 yards per game against them.

Chargers vs Patriots Trendslos angeles charges betting

  • In their last five games away from home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 23 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games at home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 11 points per game in these contests.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, New England has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Los Angeles has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Chargers vs Patriots Prediction

With the Chargers coming in as 6-point road favorites, look for them to take advantage of a Patriots team that is coming off both a straight-up and ATS loss. Our analysis points to taking the Chargers against the spread.

On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 40.5. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 47 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.