The Los Angeles Chargers will face off against the Houston Texans at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 11th. This matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston.
The Chargers are favored on the road as they take on the Texans in an AFC matchup at 4:30 ET on Saturday, January 11th. The game, being played at NRG Stadium in Houston, will be broadcast on CBS. The Chargers’ money line is -160, with the Texans at +134. The Chargers are -3 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points.
- Date: Saturday, January 11th
- Time: 4:30 ET
- Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
- TV: CBS
Chargers vs Texans
The Chargers head into the playoffs on a three-game winning streak, including a 34-20 victory over the Raiders in week 18. This win brought their record to 11-6, placing them 5th in our power rankings. Los Angeles went 4-2 in division games and 8-4 in the AFC, finishing 2nd in the AFC West. They were 6-3 on the road and 5-3 at home.
Against the spread, the Chargers were 12-4-1, with an average scoring margin of +5.9 points per game. They are currently on a three-game ATS winning streak, including a 7-point win over the Raiders as 3-point favorites. The over has hit in four straight Chargers games, but they are 8-9 on O/Us this season.
With a 10-7 record, the Texans finished the regular season first in the AFC South, going 5-1 in division games. After being ranked 18th in our power rankings heading into week 1, they now sit 4th in the AFC. Houston closed out the season with three straight wins, including a 23-14 victory over the Titans in week 18. They were 2.5-point underdogs in that game, but managed to cover the spread.
Houston’s average scoring margin this season was 0, and they went 7-9-1 against the spread. They were 4-6-1 as favorites and 3-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record was 6-10-1, with their games averaging 43.8 points compared to a 44.5-point line.
Chargers Injury Report
- Marcus Maye – Ankle (Out)
- Eli Apple – Hamstring (Out)
- Denzel Perryman – Groin (Questionable)
- Gus Edwards – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jalen Reagor – Finger (Out)
- Simi Fehoko – Elbow (Out)
- Asante Samuel Jr. – Shoulder (Out)
- Elijah Molden – Fibula (Out)
- Joshua Palmer – Foot (Questionable)
- Chris Rumph II – Foot (Out)
- Brenden Rice – Shoulder (Out)
- Chris Collins – Undisclosed (Out)
- Bucky Williams – Undisclosed (Out)
- Tyler McLellan – Undisclosed (Out)
Texans Injury Report
- Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
- Denico Autry – Knee (Questionable)
- Shaq Mason – Knee (Questionable)
- Stefon Diggs – Knee (Out)
- Jimmie Ward – Foot (Out)
- Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
- Ka’dar Hollman – Knee (Out)
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jalen Pitre – Shoulder (Out)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Knee (Out)
- Christian Harris – Ankle (Questionable)
- Jake Hansen – Ankle (Questionable)
- Zach Thomas – Illness (Out)
- Tank Dell – Knee (Out)
- Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
- Jeff Okudah – Concussion (Questionable)
- LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
- Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
- Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
- Jamal Hill – Hamstring (Out)
- British Brooks – Knee (Out)
Chargers Offense Breakdown
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Chargers rank 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 11th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.6, and 20th in yards per game with 324.2. Los Angeles ranks 19th in passing yards per game (213.5) and 24th in pass attempts. On the ground, they average 110.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 17th, on 27.2 attempts per game.
Justin Herbert posted a passer rating of 105 in the Chargers’ Week 3 loss to the Steelers, throwing for 125 yards and a touchdown. Quentin Johnston led the team with 44 receiving yards on 2 catches, while J.K. Dobbins rushed for 44 yards on 15 carries. The Chargers struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 11 attempts.
Texans Offense Breakdown
Heading into the Wild Card round, the Texans rank 20th in our offensive power rankings and are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.9 points per game. They’ve been strong in the 1st quarter, ranking 5th in the league in scoring. Houston is 10th in passing attempts per game but ranks 21st in passing yards, with 207.4 per game. On the ground, they average 112.3 rushing yards per game, ranking 15th in the NFL.
C.J. Stroud struggled in week 3, throwing for 215 yards with 2 interceptions and 1 touchdown, posting a passer rating of 68. He was sacked 4 times against the Vikings. Cam Akers led the team in rushing with 21 yards on 9 carries, while Stefon Diggs had 10 catches for 94 yards. Houston converted 4 of 14 third downs in the loss.
Chargers Team Defense
In the secondary, the Chargers gave up 225 passing yards and allowed the Raiders to complete 69.4% of their passes. Despite this, the Chargers came away with a 34-20 win over the Raiders. The Chargers’ defense was tough on third downs, allowing just a 22.2% conversion rate. They also defended the run well, giving up only 39 yards on 12 attempts.
Even though they didn’t record any sacks, the Chargers did manage to force one interception. The Raiders finished with just 264 total yards, and two of their touchdowns came through the air. Los Angeles won the QB hit battle by a +2 margin.
Texans Team Defense
In their 23-14 win over the Titans, the Texans’ defense allowed just 85 rushing yards on 32 attempts, holding Tennessee to 2.7 yards per attempt on the ground. Against the pass, they gave up 229 yards, with the Titans completing 16 passes. Houston’s defense also recorded two sacks and held Tennessee to a 33.3% conversion rate on third downs. Overall, the Texans gave up 314 total yards in the game.
Chargers vs Texans Trends
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
- Through their last three home games, Houston has an ATS record of just 1-1-1. However, their overall record was 2-1 while averaging 21 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Texans have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Houston posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Chargers have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Chargers vs Texans Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Texans to cover as home underdogs. Right now, the point spread lines have the Chargers at -3, and with that, our pick to cover is the Texans, even though we have the Chargers winning 22-20.
As for an over/under pick, we like the under, with a projected combined score of 42 points and the O/U line sitting at 43.5 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 7, 2025 Houston Texans, Los Angeles Chargers