Dolphins vs Chiefs NFL Betting prediction

NFL: Miami Dolphins vs Chiefs Prediction 1/13/2024

The Miami Dolphins (11-6) travel to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (11-6) on Saturday, January 13th. This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Arrowhead Stadium and televised on PEA. The Chiefs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dolphins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bills. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Dolphins vs Chiefs

The Dolphins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Dolphins are coming off a 21-14 loss to the Bills. In addition to their 7-point loss, the Dolphins also suffered a setback in their ATS record. They were 2.5-point underdogs at the start of the game.

Tua Tagovailoa wrapped up the game with 173 passing yards and a passer rating of 62. Overall, he completed 17 of 27 passes.

On the defensive side, the Dolphins allowed 473 yards of total offense to Buffalo. Among these yards, 128 were given up on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 345 yards through 38 attempts.

Going into the Wild Card round, Miami is 2nd in the AFC-East with an overall record of 11-6. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 6th place.

In terms of the spread, the Dolphins hold a record of 10-7. This has come on an average scoring margin of +6.2. Miami games have averaged 52.2 points so far this season, which is 1st in the NFL. Their over/under record is 9-8, with an average OU line of 47 points.

Dolphins Injury Reportmiami dolphins betting

  • Keion Crossen – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Zeke Vandenburgh – Knee (Out)
  • Jalen Ramsey – Knee (Out)
  • Nik Needham – Achilles (Out)
  • Jeff Wilson Jr. – Finger (Out)
  • Robert Jones – Knee (Out)

The Chiefs Are Coming Off A Win

The Chiefs are coming off a 13-12 win over the Chargers. While picking up the win, the Chiefs also covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs.

Versus the Chargers, the Chiefs turned to the run 28 times, and it was La’Mical Perine who led the way with 76 yards. Meanwhile, Blaine Gabbert finished with 30 pass attempts, resulting in 154 yards and a passer rating of 51.

On defense, the Chiefs conceded 353 yards of total offense to Los Angeles. 118 of these yards were obtained on the ground, while the team’s secondary allowed 235 yards on 47 pass attempts.

In the AFC-West standings, the Chiefs are in 1st place with a record of 11-6. Within the AFC, Kansas City is 3rd, heading into Wild Card round.

The Chiefs hold a 9-7-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 1, their scoring margin stands at +4.5 per game. The average over/under line for the Chiefs this season stands at 45.9 points. Their games have averaged 39.1 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 5-12.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Charles Omenihu – Suspension (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Travis Kelce – Knee (Out)

Dolphins Offense Breakdownkansas city chiefs betting

The Dolphins’ offense has performing well in the first half of game, averaging 16.7 points. Their overall offensive numbers of 29.2 is 2nd in the NFL.

Miami’s passing offense enters this week’s game with a ranking of 1st in passing yards. Furthermore, they hold the 19th spot in attempts, averaging 33.3 passes per game.

The Dolphins come in with an average of 5 yards per rushing attempt while running the ball an average of 26.8 times per game. In terms of total rushing yardage, they currently rank 6th in the league.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

On the offensive front, the Chiefs are currently averaging 21.8 points per game, positioning them 13th in the NFL.

Among the other teams in the league Kansas City ranks 6th in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 246.4. Their passing yards per attempt, 6.6, places them 10th.

So far, the Chiefs have run the ball an average of 24.5 times per game and currently hold the 19th spot in rushing yards. On a per-attempt basis, they average 4.2 yards which is 10th.

Dolphins Team Defense

Facing the Chiefs this week, the Dolphins defense has allowed an average of 23 points per game. They currently rank 1st in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 318.3 yards per contest.

Chiefs Team Defense

Kansas City is sitting 2nd in points allowed so far. Heading into week 1, their opponents are putting up an average of 17.3 points per game, on 289.8 yards per contest.

Dolphins vs Chiefs Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 25 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 19 points per game in this stretch.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-9.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the favorite, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 1-3-1 while going 2-3 straight up.

Dolphins vs Chiefs Prediction

Kansas City’s passing game didn’t look good in their last game against Los Angeles. I’m not anticipating a sudden turnaround, which is why I’m favoring Miami as 4-point underdogs.

The analysis we’ve been running for this game has Miami and Kansas City finishing with a combined 42 points. With the over/under line sitting at 43.5, I’m getting a bet down on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.