Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 12/29/2024

The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Cleveland Browns at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 29th. This matchup is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland.

The Dolphins are favored on the road with a money line of -296 as they take on the Browns at 4:05 ET on Sunday, December 29th. The Browns are +240 on the money line, and the point spread has the Dolphins -6.5. This week 17 AFC matchup is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 40 points.

  • Date: Sunday, December 29th
  • Time: 4:05 ET
  • Location: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland
  • TV: CBS

Dolphins vs Browns

miami dolphins nfl

Heading into week 17, the Dolphins are 7-8, putting them 2nd in the AFC East and 9th in the conference standings. They have a 5-3 record at home but are just 2-5 on the road. After losing to the Texans in week 15, Miami bounced back with a 29-17 win over the 49ers in week 16. The Dolphins were 1.5-point underdogs in that game, but they came away with the win, bringing their record to 7-8.

According to our power rankings, the Dolphins are 14th in the NFL, and they have an 8.3% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, Miami is 6-9, with a scoring margin of -1.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 7-8, with their games averaging 42.3 points per game.

With four straight losses, the Browns are now 3-12 on the season, putting them in 4th place in the AFC North. Their playoff chances are at 0.0%, and they rank 23rd in our NFL power rankings. Cleveland is 2-5 at home and 1-7 on the road, with a 2-3 record in division games.

Against the spread, the Browns are 4-11 and have failed to cover in four consecutive games. They are 0-4 as favorites and 4-7 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-9, with the under hitting in three straight games.

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
  • Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Tanner Conner – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Cam Smith – Shoulder (Out)
  • Grant DuBose – Head (Out)
  • Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
  • Dee Eskridge – Knee (Questionable)
  • Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
  • Jaylen Waddle – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
  • Austin Jackson – Knee (Out)
  • Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Blake Ferguson – Personal (Questionable)
  • Jordyn Brooks – Quadricep (Questionable)
  • Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)
  • Bradley Chubb – Knee (Questionable)
  • Tyus Bowser – Knee/calf (Out)
  • Kendall Fuller – Knee (Questionable)

Browns Injury Report

  • Brandon Bouyer-Randle – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Cedric Tillman – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Luke Wypler – Ankle (Out)
  • Alex Wright – Triceps (Out)
  • Dawand Jones – Ankle (Out)
  • Hakeem Adeniji – Knee (Out)
  • Jedrick Wills Jr. – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Harris – Ankle (Out)
  • Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah – Neck (Out)
  • David Bell – Hip (Out)
  • James Hudson III – Shoulder (Out)
  • Greg Newsome II – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tony Brown II – Foot (Out)
  • Nick Chubb – Foot (Out)
  • Maurice Hurst II – Ankle (Out)
  • Nyheim Hines – Knee (Out)
  • Geoff Swaim – Concussion (Out)
  • Charley Hughlett – Ribs (Out)
  • Jameis Winston – Right Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Shelby Harris – Elbow (Questionable)
  • Deshaun Watson – Achilles (Out)

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 17, the Dolphins rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.3 points per game, and 17th in total yards, with 327.9 per game. Miami ranks 15th in passing yards (222.1) and 24th in rushing yards (105.7) per game. They are 17th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and 13th in red zone attempts, converting 26.1% of their opportunities.

Tua Tagovailoa bounced back in week 16, posting a 92 passer rating with 215 yards and a touchdown after a 3-interception game in week 15. De’Von Achane had 17 carries for 120 yards and a touchdown, and he also led the team in receiving with 6 catches for 70 yards.

Browns Offense Breakdown

cleveland browns

Heading into week 17, the Browns rank 30th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 16.3. They are 25th in yards per game, with 307.2, and lead the league in passing attempts, averaging 38.7 per game, resulting in 211.3 passing yards per game (19th). On the ground, they rank 24th in rushing attempts and 27th in rushing yards, with 95.9 per game. Cleveland ranks 31st in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 28.4% success rate, but they lead the league in red zone conversion percentage at 61.3%.

In week 16, Dorian Thompson-Robinson threw for 157 yards (20/34) with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. He was sacked 5 times. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing with 92 yards on 11 carries, while David Njoku had 8 receptions for 66 yards. The Browns scored all 6 of their points in the 3rd quarter and went 3/12 on 3rd down and 1/3 in the red zone.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 29-17 win over the 49ers, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 374 yards but held San Francisco to just 81 rushing yards on 18 attempts. They gave up 293 passing yards, with two passing touchdowns allowed, but also came up with one interception. Miami’s defense recorded three sacks and held the 49ers to a 38.5% conversion rate on third downs. Despite allowing 26 completions, opposing quarterbacks completed just 65% of their passes against Miami.

Browns Team Defense

The Browns’ defense struggled to defend the pass in their 24-6 loss to the Bengals, giving up three touchdowns through the air while allowing the Bengals to complete 76.7% of their passes. Despite this, the Browns did manage to record four sacks and held the Bengals to a 36.4% third-down conversion rate.

Cleveland allowed 210 passing yards and gave up 116 rushing yards on just 22 attempts, with the Bengals averaging 5.3 yards per attempt on the ground. The Browns also struggled to generate consistent pressure, losing the quarterback hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Dolphins vs Browns Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Through their last five home games, Cleveland has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 0-5 while averaging 16 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Browns have an ATS mark of just 3-7 in their last ten games. Cleveland posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Dolphins vs Browns Prediction

Our pick against the spread for this week 17 matchup between the Dolphins and Browns is to take the Browns to cover as home underdogs. Currently, the point spread lines have the Browns at +6.5, and we have them winning by a score of 20-15.

As for the over/under line, with the line sitting at 40 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 35 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.