The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Houston Texans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 15th. This matchup is being played at NRG Stadium in Houston.
The Texans are favored at -2.5 as they host the Dolphins at NRG Stadium in Houston. The Texans are the favorite on the money line at -153, and the over/under line is set at 47 points. This week 15 AFC matchup is set for 1:00 ET, and you can catch the game on CBS.
- Date: Sunday, December 15th
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: NRG Stadium, Houston
- TV: CBS
Dolphins vs Texans
Miami snapped a two-game losing streak in week 14, beating the Jets 32-26 to improve to 6-7. The Dolphins couldn’t cover the 6.5-point spread, but they still picked up their fourth win in five games. Before this, they had a three-game winning streak, including victories over the Patriots, Raiders, and Rams. Miami is now 2nd in the AFC East with a 3-2 division record and ranks 9th in the conference.
Our projections give the Dolphins a 14.7% chance of making the playoffs, and they are 16th in our power rankings. Miami has a -2.2 scoring margin and is 5-8 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is 6-7, with their games averaging 42.8 points compared to an average line of 45.
Heading into week 15, the Texans hold a narrow lead in the AFC South with an 8-5 record, giving them a 94.1% chance of winning the division and a 95.4% chance of making the playoffs. After a week 12 loss to the Titans, Houston bounced back with a 23-20 win over the Jaguars in week 13. The Texans were favored by 3 points in that game, so the win was a push against the spread.
Houston is 5-7-1 against the spread this season, with a +1.5 scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-8-1, with their games averaging 45.8 points compared to an average line of 44.9.
Dolphins Injury Report
- Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
- Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
- Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
- Cam Smith – Shoulder (Out)
- Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Questionable)
- Tanner Conner – Undisclosed (Out)
- Bradley Chubb – Knee (Questionable)
- Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)
- Anthony Walker Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Tyus Bowser – Knee/calf (Out)
- Raheem Mostert – Hip (Questionable)
- Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
- Dee Eskridge – Knee (Questionable)
- Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
- Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
- Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
- Blake Ferguson – Personal (Questionable)
- Austin Jackson – Knee (Out)
Texans Injury Report
- Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
- Azeez Al-Shaair – Suspension (Out)
- Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Christian Harris – Calf (Questionable)
- Teagan Quitoriano – Knee (Out)
- Ka’dar Hollman – Knee (Out)
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Foot (Questionable)
- Eric Murray – Head (Questionable)
- Stefon Diggs – Knee (Out)
- Jimmie Ward – Head (Questionable)
- Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
- Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
- Jalen Pitre – Shoulder (Questionable)
- LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
- Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
- Xavier Hutchinson – Shoulder (Questionable)
- British Brooks – Knee (Out)
Dolphins Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 15, the Dolphins rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in points per game (20.3) and 19th in yards per game (331.8). Miami is 9th in passing attempts per game, averaging 34.6, and 14th in passing yards per game (226.5). On the ground, they rank 16th in rushing attempts and 24th in rushing yards per game, with 105.2. The Dolphins are 13th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (39%) and 17th in red zone conversion percentage.
Tua Tagovailoa has been on a roll, throwing for 331 yards (33/47) and 2 touchdowns in week 14 against the Jets, following his 365-yard performance in week 13 and 317 yards in week 12. Tyreek Hill led the Dolphins in receiving in week 14, with 10 catches for 115 yards and a touchdown. De’Von Achane had 24 rushing yards on 14 carries, and Miami scored 11 points in the 4th quarter before winning in overtime.
Texans Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 15, the Texans are 21st in our offensive power rankings. They rank 11th in the NFL in points per game (23.7) and 18th in yards per game (335.2). Houston has been strong early in games, ranking 4th in 1st-quarter scoring. They are 10th in passing attempts and 17th in passing yards, averaging 221.2 yards per game. On the ground, they are 14th in rushing attempts and 16th in rushing yards per game (114.1). Houston ranks 19th in 3rd-down conversions and 18th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 8th in red zone attempts.
C.J. Stroud threw for 242 yards (22/34) and a touchdown in week 13, posting a passer rating of 95. Joe Mixon rushed for 101 yards on 20 carries, while Nico Collins had 8 catches for 119 yards. The Texans scored 7 points in the 4th quarter after being shut out in the 1st. They converted 5 of 13 3rd-down attempts and went 1/3 in the red zone.
Dolphins Team Defense
In their most recent game, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 319 passing yards on 27 completions to the Jets. Despite this, they still came out on top in an overtime win, 32-26. The Dolphins’ defense managed to sack the quarterback three times and held the Jets to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate. Miami’s run defense was solid, allowing just 83 yards on 21 attempts, but they gave up 402 total yards in the game. The Dolphins also allowed one passing touchdown and a 69.2% completion percentage to the Jets.
Texans Team Defense
In their 23-20 win over the Jaguars, the Texans’ defense allowed 373 total yards. Jacksonville’s offense managed just 97 yards on the ground, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt on 25 carries. Houston’s secondary gave up 276 passing yards, with the Jaguars completing 24 passes and scoring two passing touchdowns.
The Texans’ defense held Jacksonville to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down and forced one interception. However, they didn’t record any sacks and had a tackles for loss differential of -2. Despite these struggles, Houston managed to come out on top with a three-point victory.
Dolphins vs Texans Trends
- In their last three road games, Miami has averaged 22 points per game while allowing 25. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
- The Texans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Texans have gone 3-6-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Dolphins vs Texans Prediction
Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Dolphins to cover as road underdogs in this week 15 matchup between the Dolphins and Texans. As of now, the point spread has the Dolphins at +2.5, and we have the Texans winning by a score of 24-22.
For an over/under pick, we are leaning towards taking the under, with a projected combined score of 46 points and the O/U line sitting at 47 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 11, 2024 Houston Texans, Miami Dolphins