Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction 1/5/2025

The Miami Dolphins will face off against the New York Jets at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th. This matchup is being played at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.

The over/under line is set at 39 points as the Dolphins and Jets wrap up their seasons at 4:25 ET on Sunday, January 5th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Dolphins are favored on the road with a money line of -117, while the Jets’ money line odds are -104. FOX is handling the TV coverage of this week 18 AFC East matchup, and the Jets are the slight +1 point underdogs.

  • Date: Sunday, January 5th
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
  • TV: FOX

Dolphins vs Jets

miami dolphins nfl

Miami enters week 18 against the Jets on a two-game winning streak, which includes a 29-17 victory over the 49ers in week 16 and a 20-3 win over the Browns in week 17. The Dolphins are now 8-8 and rank 12th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 25.5% chance of making the playoffs, but their division hopes are officially over.

Miami is 7-9 against the spread this season, but they have covered in two straight games. In week 17, they easily covered the 3-point spread against the Browns, winning by 17. The combined score of that game (23 points) fell short of the 32.5-point line, bringing the Dolphins’ O/U record to 7-9 this season.

Heading into week 18, the Jets sit at 4-12, ranking 21st in our power rankings. They’ve lost two straight, including a 40-14 defeat to the Bills in week 17. New York was a 10.5-point underdog in that game, and they couldn’t cover the spread. The combined scoring of 54 points went over the 44.5-point line.

Against the spread, the Jets are 5-11, and they’ve failed to cover in two straight games. As favorites, they are 4-6 ATS, and they are 1-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 9-6-1, with their games averaging 43.1 points per game.

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
  • Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Cam Smith – Shoulder (Out)
  • Grant DuBose – Head (Out)
  • Tanner Conner – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
  • Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
  • Jaylen Waddle – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jaelan Phillips – Knee (Out)
  • Tua Tagovailoa – Hip (Questionable)
  • Austin Jackson – Knee (Out)
  • Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Blake Ferguson – Personal (Out)
  • Braxton Berrios – Knee (Out)
  • Anthony Walker Jr. – Knee (Questionable)
  • Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
  • Terron Armstead – Knee (Questionable)
  • Kendall Fuller – Knee (Out)
  • Tyus Bowser – Knee/calf (Out)

Jets Injury Report

  • Chuck Clark – Pectoral (Out)
  • Tyron Smith – Neck (Out)
  • C.J. Mosley – Neck (Out)
  • Jalen Mills – Collarbone (Out)
  • Malik Taylor – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Leki Fotu – Knee (Questionable)
  • Kene Nwangwu – Hand (Out)
  • Sauce Gardner – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Jermaine Johnson – Achilles (Out)
  • Irvin Charles – Knee (Out)
  • Zaire Barnes – Ankle (Out)
  • Jimmy Ciarlo – Knee (Out)
  • Olu Fashanu – Foot (Out)
  • Jordan Travis – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Braiden McGregor – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Greg Zuerlein – Back (Out)
  • Marcus Riley – Undisclosed (Out)

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Dolphins rank 16th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 20.3 points per game, which places them 21st in the NFL. They are 18th in the league in total yards per game, with 324.9, and 15th in passing yards, averaging 221.1 per game on 34.4 attempts (9th). On the ground, Miami ranks 24th in rushing yards per game, with 103.8, on 26.6 attempts per game.

In week 17, Tyler Huntley threw for 225 yards (22/26) and a touchdown, posting a passer rating of 115. He also led the team in rushing with 52 yards on 7 carries. Tyreek Hill had 9 receptions for 105 yards in the win over the Browns.

Jets Offense Breakdown

new york jets

Heading into week 18, the Jets rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game (19.1) and 24th in yards per game (306.2). Despite being 26th in rushing attempts, they rank 31st in rushing yards per game, averaging 90.2. On the passing side, New York is 6th in attempts and 17th in yards per game, with 216.1. They are 14th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 39.4%.

Aaron Rodgers struggled in week 17, throwing for just 112 yards and 2 interceptions on 12/18 passing. He was sacked 4 times by the Bills. The Jets didn’t score until the 4th quarter, when they put up 14 points. Breece Hall led the team in rushing with 45 yards on 10 carries, while Garrett Wilson had 7 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 20-3 win over the Browns, the Dolphins’ defense was outstanding, holding Cleveland to just 3 points. They allowed only 162 passing yards and forced the Browns to complete just 51.1% of their passes. Miami defended the run well, allowing 114 yards on 28 attempts (4.1 yards per attempt).

Miami’s secondary didn’t allow any passing touchdowns and came up with one interception. Although they only had one sack, the Dolphins pressured the Browns’ backfield, winning the tackles for loss battle by a margin of -8. Additionally, the Dolphins held the Browns to a 41.2% conversion rate on third down.

Jets Team Defense

In their 40-14 loss to the Bills, the Jets’ defense gave up 251 yards through the air, including three passing touchdowns. Buffalo found success on third down, converting 57.1% of their attempts. The Jets were unable to generate any sacks and struggled to pressure the quarterback, losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials by -4.

New York’s run defense was a bit more effective, allowing just 97 yards on 34 attempts (2.9 yards per attempt). However, the Bills still managed to put up 348 total yards against them. Additionally, the Jets allowed Buffalo to average 9 yards per pass attempt.

Dolphins vs Jets Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 15 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Miami posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Across their ten previous home games, New York has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 19 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Jets have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Dolphins vs Jets Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Dolphins to cover as road favorites in this week 18 matchup between the Dolphins and Jets. The point spread lines have the Dolphins at -1, and with our projected final score being 24-22 in favor of Miami, we are locking in the Dolphins to cover.

For an over/under pick, we like going with the over, with a projected combined score of 46 points. The current line is sitting at 39 points, making the over a solid play in this one.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.