New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers Prediction 11/3/2024

The New Orleans Saints will face off against the Carolina Panthers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. This matchup is being played at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte.

The Saints are the heavy favorite on the money line at -329 as they face off against the Panthers at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Panthers are +260 on the money line, and the Saints are favored by -7 on the road. The over/under line is set at 43.5 points, and this week nine NFC South matchup is being televised on CBS.

  • Date: Sunday, November 3rd
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
  • TV: CBS

Saints vs Panthers

new orleans saints nfl

After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have now dropped six in a row, including a 26-8 loss to the Chargers in week 8. This puts New Orleans at 2-6, leaving them 3rd in the NFC South. Our projections give the Saints just a 3.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.6% chance of winning the division.

Heading into week 9, the Saints rank 22nd in our power rankings. They have an average scoring margin of -2.6 points per game and are 3-5 against the spread. Their O/U record is 5-3, with their games averaging 48.9 points compared to an average line of 43.

Heading into week 9, the Panthers are on a five-game losing streak, dropping their record to 1-7. Carolina ranks 32nd in our NFL power rankings and has a 0.0% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-2 in the NFC South and 0-3 at home, with their only win coming on the road against the Raiders in week 3. Since then, they have lost to the Broncos, Commanders, Falcons, and Bears.

Carolina is 1-7 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -18.4 points per game. They have been underdogs in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 6-2, with their games averaging 49.4 points compared to an average line of 43.

Saints Injury Report

  • Derek Carr – Oblique (Questionable)
  • Marshon Lattimore – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Tanoh Kpassagnon – Achilles (Out)
  • Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
  • Cedrick Wilson Jr. – Hip (Questionable)
  • Will Harris – Hamstring (Out)
  • Erik McCoy – Groin (Out)
  • Paulson Adebo – Femur (Out)
  • Nephi Sewell – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
  • Shane Lemieux – Ankle (Out)
  • Juwan Johnson – Head (Questionable)
  • Rashid Shaheed – Knee (Out)
  • Nick Saldiveri – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kendre Miller – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Bub Means – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Rico Payton – Back (Questionable)

Panthers Injury Report

  • Anthony Brown – Thumb (Out)
  • Adam Thielen – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Andy Dalton – Right Thumb (Questionable)
  • Shaq Thompson – Achilles (Out)
  • Yosh Nijman – Knee (Questionable)
  • Austin Corbett – Bicep (Out)
  • Amaré Barno – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Nick Scott – Hamstring (Out)
  • Dane Jackson – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Derrick Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Feleipe Franks – Concussion (Questionable)
  • D.J. Wonnum – Undisclosed (Questionable)
  • Jordan Fuller – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Jaden Crumedy – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Popo Aumavae – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Jonathon Brooks – Knee (Questionable)
  • Jammie Robinson – Knee (Questionable)
  • DJ Johnson – Ankle (Questionable)

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Saints rank 24th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 23.1 points per game, which is 17th in the NFL. They average 319.5 yards per game (20th), with 203.1 passing yards (18th) on 32.1 attempts per game. On the ground, they rank 21st, with 116.4 rushing yards per game on 27 attempts. New Orleans ranks 16th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 38.8% success rate, and they are 20th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 11th in attempts.

Spencer Rattler threw for 156 yards (12/24) in week 8, after passing for 172 yards in week 7 and 243 yards in week 6. Chris Olave led the team with 8 catches for 107 yards in week 8, while Alvin Kamara rushed for 67 yards on 10 carries. The Saints struggled on 3rd down, converting just 2 of 16 attempts against the Chargers.

Panthers Offense Breakdown

carolina panthers

Heading into week 9, Carolina ranks 28th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 15.5 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They are also 28th in yards per game, with 281.9. Despite being 11th in passing attempts (33 per game), they are 29th in passing yards, averaging 177.9 per game. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing yards per game (104) on 23 attempts per game. Carolina is 27th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 31.6%, but they are 7th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 8, Bryce Young threw for 224 yards (24/37) with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Chuba Hubbard led the rushing attack with 56 yards on 15 carries, while Jalen Coker had 4 catches for 78 yards and a touchdown. Carolina scored 7 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters against Denver but were held scoreless in the 2nd and 3rd quarters.

Saints Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Saints’ defense allowed the Chargers to convert on 62.5% of their passes for 256 yards and two touchdowns. The Saints struggled on third downs, allowing the Chargers to convert 50% of their attempts, and they also allowed 122 rushing yards on 29 attempts. Overall, the Saints’ defense gave up 378 total yards in their 26-8 loss to the Chargers.

New Orleans’ defense did manage to record three sacks in the game, but they were unable to slow down the Chargers’ passing attack and allowed big plays throughout the game. Additionally, the Saints’ offense struggled, going just 3 of 12 on third down and failing to find the endzone until the fourth quarter.

Panthers Team Defense

In their 28-14 loss to the Broncos, the Panthers’ defense allowed 298 passing yards on 76.9% completions, with three touchdowns through the air. They struggled to get off the field on third down, allowing a 64.7% conversion rate. The Panthers’ two sacks were not enough to disrupt the Broncos’ passing game, and they also gave up 400 total yards, including 102 rushing yards on 32 attempts.

The Panthers’ defense also allowed Denver to convert 50% of their third downs and gave up a big day to the Broncos in the passing game.

Saints vs Panthers Trends

  • New Orleans has a 2-3 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 22 points per game while allowing 22. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Across their three previous home games, Carolina has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 10 points per game.
  • The last three games that Carolina was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • The Saints have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Saints vs Panthers Prediction

Our model has the Panthers coming out on top by a score of 27-20 in their week nine matchup against the Saints. With the point spread sitting at -7 in favor of the Panthers, we are recommending taking the Panthers to cover as home underdogs.

For this week’s over/under pick, we like the over, with a projected combined score of 47 points and the O/U line at 43.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.