The Green Bay Packers will face off against the Minnesota Vikings at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 29th. This matchup is being played at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.
The Vikings are favored at -123 on the money line as they host the Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 29th at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Vikings are -1.5 point favorites on the point spread. This week 17 NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 48.5 points.
- Date: Sunday, December 29th
- Time: 4:25 ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis
- TV: FOX
Packers vs Vikings
After a week 14 loss to the Lions, the Packers have bounced back with two straight wins, including a 34-0 blowout over the Saints in week 16. Green Bay was a 14-point favorite and easily covered the spread. They now sit at 11-4, which gives them a 100% chance of making the playoffs, but they can’t win the NFC North. The Packers are 2nd in our power rankings, despite being 3rd in the division with a 1-3 record.
Green Bay is 8-6-1 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +8.4 points per game. They have covered in two straight games, including a 17-point win over the Seahawks in week 15. The O/U line for that game was 48, and the teams combined for 43 points. The under also hit in the Packers’ win over the Saints, bringing their O/U record to 6-8-1.
With eight consecutive wins, the Vikings have improved to 13-2 this season. Minnesota ranks 7th in our NFL power rankings and has a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they have just a 23.7% chance of winning the NFC North, as they currently sit 2nd in the division. The Vikings are 7-1 at home and 6-1 on the road.
Against the spread, the Vikings are 10-4-1, including three straight wins. In week 16, they covered as 2.5-point favorites with a 27-24 win over the Seahawks. The combined score of 51 points went over the 43-point line. Minnesota’s O/U record is 6-9 this season.
Packers Injury Report
- Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
- Evan Williams – Quad (Questionable)
- Javon Bullard – Ankle (Questionable)
- Christian Watson – Knee (Questionable)
- Quay Walker – Ankle (Questionable)
- MarShawn Lloyd – Abdomen (Out)
- Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
- AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
- Jaire Alexander – Knee (Questionable)
Vikings Injury Report
- Fabian Moreau – Hip (Questionable)
- Harrison Smith – Foot (Questionable)
- Christian Darrisaw – Knee (Out)
- Mekhi Blackmon – Knee (Out)
- Jalen Redmond – Concussion (Questionable)
- Ivan Pace Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
- NaJee Thompson – Knee (Out)
- Henry Byrd – Undisclosed (Out)
- J.J. McCarthy – Knee (Out)
- Jeremy Flax – Undisclosed (Out)
- Taki Taimani – Ankle (Out)
Packers Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 17, the Packers are 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.5 points per game, and they rank 4th in total yards, with 377.3 per game. Green Bay has been strong in the run game, with 31.3 rushing attempts per game (6th) and 147.3 rushing yards per game (4th). On 3rd down, they are 14th in the league, converting 38.6% of their attempts, and they rank 2nd in red zone attempts, though they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage, at 8.1%.
Jordan Love has gone three straight games without an interception, posting a passer rating of 88 in week 16, with 182 yards and a touchdown on 16/28 passing. Josh Jacobs led the Packers’ rushing attack with 69 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, while Jayden Reed had 76 receiving yards on 3 catches. Christian Watson, who had 56 yards in week 15 and 114 yards in week 14, is questionable for week 17 with a knee injury.
Vikings Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 17, the Vikings sit 10th in our offensive power rankings. They are 9th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.4 points per game, and they lead the league in first-quarter scoring. Minnesota ranks 12th in passing attempts and 18th in rushing attempts, with 235.3 passing yards per game (8th) and 111.1 rushing yards per game (17th). They are 11th in 3rd-down conversions and 24th in red zone conversion percentage.
Sam Darnold threw for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16, with a passer rating of 112. Justin Jefferson had 10 catches for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Aaron Jones rushed for 67 yards on 18 carries. Minnesota scored in every quarter against Seattle, with 7 points in the 1st and 4th quarters and 10 points in the 2nd.
Packers Team Defense
The Packers’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, pitching a shutout in a 34-0 win over the Saints. They limited the Saints to just 129 yards passing and 67 yards rushing on 20 attempts. Green Bay’s defense also came away with one interception and held the Saints to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down.
Additionally, the Packers recorded three sacks and held the Saints to a 50% completion rate. Their performance was highlighted by allowing only 196 total yards and not conceding any points in the game.
Vikings Team Defense
In their 27-24 win over the Seahawks, the Vikings’ defense allowed 302 passing yards on 31 completions, but they also came up with two interceptions. Seattle managed just a 20% third-down conversion rate and was held to 59 rushing yards on 15 attempts. The Vikings’ defense did give up three passing touchdowns, but they did record two sacks and held Seattle to a 72.1% completion percentage.
Packers vs Vikings Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Packers have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 29 points per game in these contests.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Vikings offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Minnesota posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 4-3-3 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the Packers have an ATS mark of just 2-2-1 in their last five games. Green Bay posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Vikings have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.
Packers vs Vikings Prediction
Our projected score for this week 17 matchup between the Packers and Vikings is 28-22 in favor of Green Bay. With this projection, we are looking to take the Packers to cover the spread as road underdogs. Currently, the point spread lines have the Packers at +1.5, making them our pick to cover.
For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 50 points and the O/U line sitting at 48.5 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:December 25, 2024 Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings