New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction 10/20/2024

The New England Patriots will face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars at 9:30 ET on Sunday, October 20th. This matchup is being played at Wembley Stadium in London.

At 9:30 ET on Sunday, October 20th, the Jaguars and Patriots will face off at Wembley Stadium in London. This week seven matchup is technically a home game for Jacksonville, with the Jaguars favored at -5.5. The Jaguars are the -239 money line favorite, and the Patriots’ money line odds are +195. The game will be televised on NFLN, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.

  • Date: Sunday, October 20th
  • Time: 9:30 ET
  • Location: Wembley Stadium, London
  • TV: NFLN

Patriots vs Jaguars

new england patriots nfl

Heading into week 7, the Patriots are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 41-21 home loss to the Texans in week 6. New England was a 6.5-point underdog in that game, but they couldn’t cover the spread, dropping their ATS record to 1-4-1 this season. They’ve been the underdog in all of their games so far, and they rank 32nd in our NFL power rankings.

With a 1-5 record, the Patriots have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.1% chance of winning the AFC East. They are 0-2 in division games and 1-3 in conference play. Their only win this season came in week 1, when they beat the Bengals 16-10.

Heading into week 7, Jacksonville sits 24th in our NFL power rankings and has just a 4.8% chance of making the playoffs. After picking up their first win of the season in week 5, the Jaguars couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 35-16 to the Bears in week 6. They were 1.5-point favorites in that game but couldn’t get the job done, dropping their record to 1-5. Jacksonville is currently 4th in the AFC South, with a 1-1 division record.

Jacksonville is 2-4 against the spread this season, with both of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. They are 0-3 when favored, including their week 6 loss to the Bears. The over has hit in each of the Jaguars’ last two games, and their O/U record stands at 3-3 this season.

Patriots Injury Report

  • Cole Strange – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Vederian Lowe – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Alex Austin – Ankle (Out)
  • Jake Andrews – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Marte Mapu – Neck (Questionable)
  • Caedan Wallace – Ankle (Out)
  • Layden Robinson – Ankle/wrist (Questionable)
  • JaQuae Jackson – Knee (Out)
  • Jabrill Peppers – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Joe Cardona – Calf (Questionable)
  • David Andrews – Shoulder (Out)
  • Oshane Ximines – Knee (Out)
  • Chukwuma Okorafor – Commissioner Exempt List (Out)
  • Ja’Whaun Bentley – Pectoral (Out)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson – Foot (Questionable)
  • Christian Barmore – Blood Clot (Out)

Jaguars Injury Report

  • Darnell Savage – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Andrew Wingard – Knee (Out)
  • Travis Etienne Jr. – Hamstring (Doubtful)
  • Devin Duvernay – Hamstring (Out)
  • Tyson Campbell – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Foyesade Oluokun – Foot (Out)
  • Tashaun Gipson Sr. – Suspension (Out)
  • De’Shaan Dixon – Knee (Out)
  • Anton Harrison – Knee (Questionable)
  • Keilan Robinson – Toe (Out)
  • Patrick Murtagh – Ankle (Out)
  • David White Jr. – Knee (Out)

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Patriots rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 13.8 points per game (28th in the NFL). They are 30th in the league in total yards per game (257.5) and last in passing yards, averaging 134.3 per game on 29.3 attempts (22nd). On the ground, they rank 16th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game, with an average of 123.2 yards.

New England ranks 24th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 31% success rate, but they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 78.6% of their opportunities (4th in the league). After Jacoby Brissett’s week 5 start, Drake Maye threw for 243 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 6, despite 2 interceptions. Demario Douglas led the team with 92 receiving yards on 6 catches in week 6, while Maye also led the team in rushing with 38 yards.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

jacksonville jaguars

Heading into week 7, the Jaguars rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 19th in yards per game with 319.5. Jacksonville ranks 10th in passing attempts per game but is 20th in passing yards, averaging 203 per game. On the ground, they are 28th in rushing attempts and 19th in rushing yards per game, with 116.5. The Jaguars have struggled on third down, converting just 30.4% of their attempts, which ranks 25th in the league.

Trevor Lawrence threw for 234 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6, completing 23 of 35 passes against the Bears. He was sacked 3 times and threw 1 interception. Evan Engram led the team with 10 receptions for 102 yards, while D’Ernest Johnson had 28 rushing yards on 6 carries. Jacksonville scored 6 points in the 4th quarter, after being shut out in the 2nd quarter.

Patriots Team Defense

The Patriots’ defense struggled to stop the run in their 41-21 loss to the Texans, allowing 192 yards on the ground across 28 attempts. Despite this, they held the Texans to 176 passing yards on 20 completions. New England gave up three passing touchdowns and managed just two sacks in the game.

New England allowed the Texans to convert 36.4% of their third down attempts and forced one interception. The Patriots’ defense also had a tough time in the trenches, losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials in this one.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their 35-16 loss to the Bears, the Jaguars’ defense struggled to defend the pass, allowing four passing touchdowns and a completion rate of 79.3%. They gave up 373 yards through the air and managed just one interception. Despite recording three sacks, the Jaguars allowed Chicago to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts.

On the ground, the Jaguars gave up 152 rushing yards on 29 attempts, with Chicago averaging 5.2 yards per attempt. The defense also allowed 221 yards in the passing game.

Patriots vs Jaguars Trends

  • Through their last three road games, New England has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 10 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Jacksonville has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, New England has an ATS mark of 0-4-1 while going 0-5 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.

Patriots vs Jaguars Prediction

Our projected score for this week seven matchup between the Patriots and Jaguars is 25-24 in favor of New England. With the Patriots being 5.5-point road underdogs, we are picking them to not only win but also cover the spread. If you are looking to bet this game, we recommend taking the Patriots to cover as road underdogs.

For an over/under pick, we like taking the over, with a projected combined score of 49 points and the O/U line sitting at just 42.5 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.