raiders vs chiefs nfl betting prediction

NFL: Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction 12/25/2023

The Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) travel to face off against the Kansas City Chiefs (9-5) on Monday, December 25th. This game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Arrowhead Stadium and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.

Raiders vs Chiefslas vegas raiders betting

The Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

In their last game, the Raiders played host to the Chargers and won by a score of 63-21. Las Vegas was favored by 3 against the Chargers and notched an ATS victory.

Against Los Angeles, quarterback Aidan O’Connell had a passer rating of 120 while completing 58% of his passes. Overall, he ended the game with 248 yards through the air.

On the defensive front, the Raiders allowed 326 yards of total offense to Los Angeles. Of these yards, 92 were gained on the ground, while the team’s secondary allowed 234 yards on 32 attempts.

This week will be the Raiders’ 10th game against an AFC opponent. Their overall record is 6-8 while going 4-5 against other teams in the AFC. In the standings, Las Vegas is 3rd in the division and 12th in the AFC.

The Raiders hold a 7-6-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 16, their scoring margin stands at -1.1 per game. Las Vegas games have averaged 38.9 points so far this season, which is 25th in the NFL. Their over/under record is 4-10, with an average OU line of 42.2 points.

Raiders Injury Report

  • Kolton Miller – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Austin Walter – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Josh Jacobs – Quad (Questionable)
  • Andre James – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Brandon Facyson – Shin (Questionable)
  • Divine Deablo – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Dalton Wagner – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kana’i Mauga – Knee (Out)
  • Brittain Brown – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Darien Butler – Undisclosed (Out)

The Chiefs Are Coming Off A Win

Kansas City is looking to string together another win after taking down the Patriots 27-17 in their last game. Favored by 10, the Chiefs finished with a push vs. the spread.

Kansas City’s offense finished with 326 yards of total offense vs. the Patriots. On third down, the Chiefs converted at a rate of 38.5%. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was the Chiefs’ top rusher with 37 yards while Patrick Mahomes threw for 305 yards.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs gave up 206 yards of total offense to New England. 52 of these yards came on the ground, while the team’s secondary gave up 154 yards on 31 attempts.

As the Chiefs host the Raiders, they are looking to snap their two game losing streak at home. Overall, the Chiefs are 9-5 and 4-3 at home. In the AFC-West, they are in 1st place and 3rd in the AFC.

Against the spread, the Chiefs have a record of 7-6-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +5.3. So far this season, the Chiefs have been given an average over/under line of 47.1 points. Their games have averaged 40.3 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 5-9.

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Gerrit Prince – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Nazeeh Johnson – Knee (Out)
  • Isiah Pacheco – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Bryan Cook – Ankle (Out)
  • Joshua Williams – Illness (Questionable)
  • Skyy Moore – Knee (Out)
  • Prince Tega Wanogho – Quad (Out)
  • Jody Fortson – Shoulder (Out)
  • Mecole Hardman Jr. – Thumb (Out)
  • Donovan Smith – Neck (Questionable)

Raiders Offense Breakdownkansas city chiefs betting

So far this season, the Las Vegas offense has been averaging 18.9 points per game, ranking them 21st in the league.

Las Vegas’ passing offense, heading into this week’s game, holds the 22nd ranking in passing yards. In terms of attempts, they are 19th with an average of 32.6 passes per game.

The Raiders hold the 32nd position in the NFL with 83.7 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 23.4 rushing attempts (27th).

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

At home, the Chiefs are averaging 23.7 points per contest compared to their overall numbers of 22.8 points per game. In the league, Kansas City is 10th in overall scoring.

In the passing game, the Chiefs are averaging 255.6 passing yards per game, which is 3rd in the league. So far, 62.2% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

The Chiefs hold the 20th position in the NFL with 103.1 rushing yards per game. This average has come on an average of 24.4 rushing attempts (25th).

Raiders Team Defense

Facing the Chiefs this week, the Raiders defense has allowed an average of 20 points per game. They currently rank 23rd in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 334.4 yards per contest.

Chiefs Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Chiefs hold the 12th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 3rd in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 17.5 points and gain 293.2 yards per game against them.

Raiders vs Chiefs Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Las Vegas has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 17 points per game.
  • Across their three previous home games, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 25 points per game.
  • The last three games that Las Vegas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-1-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-5-1.

Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction

For this Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup, we see there being good value on grabbing a Raiders team that is coming off both a straight-up and and ATS win. Look for the Raiders to continue this momentum, making them a good pick at +10.

Not only does our model have a projected total of 46 points in this matchup, but the eye test has me feeling this line of 42 is low. I like Las Vegas and Kansas City to exceed 42 points.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.