New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Saints vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 12/23/2024

The New Orleans Saints will face off against the Green Bay Packers at 8:15 ET on Monday, December 23rd. This matchup is being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay.

Monday night’s ESPN matchup between the Saints and Packers is set for 8:15 ET. The Packers are heavily favored with a money line of -879, while the Saints’ money line odds are +577. The over/under line is 42 points, and the point spread favors the Packers by -13.5 points. The game is being played at Lambeau Field, and both teams need to add their records.

  • Date: Monday, December 23rd
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
  • TV: ESPN

Saints vs Packers

new orleans saints nfl

With a 5-9 record, the Saints are 3rd in the NFC South and rank 30th in our power rankings. They have a -0.2 scoring margin and are 6-8 against the spread, including 5-5 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-7, with the under hitting in 3 straight games.

New Orleans’ playoff chances are now at 0.0%. After beating the Giants in week 14, they couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 20-19 to the Commanders in week 15. They did cover the spread as 7.5-point underdogs in that game.

Heading into week 16, the Packers have a 10-4 record, putting them 3rd in our power rankings. Despite their strong record, Green Bay is just 1-3 in division games, which has them 3rd in the NFC North. However, they have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 7-6-1 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.6 points per game.

After losing to the Lions in week 14, the Packers bounced back with a 30-13 win over the Seahawks in week 15. They covered the 3-point spread in that game, improving their ATS record to 5-4 as favorites. The combined scoring of 43 points fell short of the 48-point line.

Saints Injury Report

  • Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
  • Taysom Hill – Knee (Out)
  • Derek Carr – Left Hand/concussion (Questionable)
  • Alvin Kamara – Groin (Questionable)
  • Paulson Adebo – Femur (Out)
  • Chris Olave – Concussion (Out)
  • Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
  • Roderic Teamer – Suspended (Out)
  • Nick Saldiveri – Knee (Out)
  • D’Marco Jackson – Ankle (Out)
  • Rashid Shaheed – Knee (Out)
  • Kool-Aid McKinstry – Stinger (Questionable)
  • Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Trajan Jeffcoat – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Bub Means – Ankle (Questionable)

Packers Injury Report

  • Jordan Morgan – Shoulder (Out)
  • Quay Walker – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Luke Musgrave – Ankle (Questionable)
  • Javon Bullard – Ankle (Questionable)
  • MarShawn Lloyd – Abdomen (Out)
  • Tyler Davis – Shoulder (Out)
  • AJ Dillon – Neck (Out)
  • Jaire Alexander – Knee (Questionable)

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Saints rank 18th in our offensive power rankings. They are 15th in the NFL in both points per game (22.1) and yards per game (334.6). New Orleans ranks 20th in passing yards per game (210.2), with 31.6 attempts per game (18th). On the ground, they rank 10th in rushing yards per game (124.4) on 28 attempts per game, which ranks 8th in the league. The Saints are converting 37.4% of their third-down attempts, which ranks 18th in the NFL, and they are 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 15, the Saints scored 12 points in the 4th quarter but fell short in a 20-19 loss to the Commanders. Spencer Rattler threw for 135 yards and a touchdown on 10/21 passing, with no interceptions. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with 46 yards on 9 carries, while Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 64 receiving yards on 2 catches. New Orleans converted 3 of 11 third-down attempts and scored on 1 of 2 red zone trips.

Packers Offense Breakdown

green bay packers

Jordan Love has been on a roll, posting passer ratings of 123 in week 15, 111 in week 14, and 129 in week 13. In his last game, he threw for 229 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 20 of 27 passes without an interception. Green Bay has done a great job protecting him, as he hasn’t been sacked in two of his last three games.

Josh Jacobs led the Packers’ rushing attack in week 15 with 94 yards on 26 carries and a touchdown. Christian Watson was the top receiver, catching 3 passes for 56 yards.

Saints Team Defense

In the Saints’ 20-19 loss to the Commanders, their defense gave up 189 passing yards on 25 completions. Despite this, they allowed two passing touchdowns and struggled to get off the field on third down, as Washington converted 52.9% of their third down attempts. The Saints’ defense did manage to get to the quarterback, recording an impressive eight sacks in the game.

On the ground, the Commanders found some success, rushing for 137 yards on 35 attempts. Overall, the Saints’ defense gave up 326 total yards in the game. Additionally, the Saints’ defense allowed the Commanders to complete 80.6% of their passes.

Packers Team Defense

In their 30-13 win over the Seahawks, the Packers’ defense was dominant, allowing just 128 passing yards and forcing two interceptions. Seattle managed only 80 yards rushing on 16 attempts. Green Bay’s defense recorded seven sacks in the game and held the Seahawks to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.

The Packers’ pass rush was particularly effective, winning the quarterback hit differential by six and generating eight tackles for loss. Seattle finished with 208 total yards in the game.

Saints vs Packers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, New Orleans has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Packers offense has averaged 27 points per game while allowing an average of 22. Green Bay posted an overall record of 4-1 while going 2-2-1 ATS.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Saints have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Packers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Saints vs Packers Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Saints to cover as 13.5-point underdogs in this week 16 matchup between the Saints and Packers. Even though we have the Packers pulling off the upset by a score of 21-20, the Saints are our pick to cover at +13.5.

For this one, we are also leaning towards taking the under, with the line sitting at 42 points. Our prediction is that these teams finish with just 41 combined points, making the under a good bet to consider.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.