New Orleans Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Saints vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction 10/7/2024

The New Orleans Saints will face off against the Kansas City Chiefs at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 7th. This matchup is being played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

The Saints and Chiefs will face off on Monday, October 7th at 8:15 ET, with the Chiefs favored on the money line at -227. The Saints are +187 on the money line and +5 on the point spread. This week five non-conference matchup is being televised on ESPN, and the over/under line is set at 42.5 points.

  • Date: Monday, October 7th
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
  • TV: ESPN

Saints vs Chiefs

new orleans saints nfl

Despite a late touchdown from Alvin Kamara, the Saints fell to the Falcons 26-24, bringing their season record to 2-2. The Saints were +2.5 point underdogs on the road, and with the 2-point loss, they covered the spread. The combined 50 points exceeded the over/under line of 42.5 points.

Taysom Hill scored twice for the Saints, once in the 1st quarter and again in the 2nd quarter, but the Falcons took a 17-14 lead before halftime. New Orleans managed only a field goal in the 3rd quarter, trailing 20-17 entering the 4th. Despite Kamara’s late touchdown with 29 seconds remaining in the 4th, the Falcons added a 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo to secure the win.

After falling behind 10-0 in their most recent game against the Chargers, the Chiefs battled back and came out with a 17-10 win, moving their record to 4-0 for the season. The Chiefs were on the road for this one and were 7-point favorites, resulting in a push. The game finished with a combined 27 points, which was below the over/under line of 41.5 points.

Ladd McConkey’s touchdown catch from Justin Herbert put the Chiefs down early, but they responded with a touchdown from Patrick Mahomes to Xavier Worthy in the 2nd quarter. The game was tied 10-10 heading into the 4th quarter, and Samaje Perine’s 2-yard touchdown run put the Chiefs ahead for good.

Saints Injury Report

  • Tanoh Kpassagnon – Achilles (Out)
  • Ryan Ramczyk – Knee (Out)
  • Tyrann Mathieu – Groin (Questionable)
  • Demario Davis – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Taysom Hill – Abdomen (Questionable)
  • Erik McCoy – Groin (Out)
  • Nephi Sewell – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Willie Gay Jr. – Hand (Questionable)
  • Justin Herron – Knee (Out)
  • Cesar Ruiz – Knee (Questionable)
  • Rejzohn Wright – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kendre Miller – Hamstring (Out)
  • A.T. Perry – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Camron Peterson – Undisclosed (Out)

Chiefs Injury Report

  • Baylor Cupp – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Rashee Rice – Knee (Out)
  • BJ Thompson – Chest (Out)
  • Isiah Pacheco – Ankle (Out)
  • Marquise Brown – Shoulder (Out)
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Illness (Out)
  • Mike Danna – Calf (Questionable)
  • Charles Omenihu – Knee (Out)

Saints Offense Breakdown

Despite their 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints’ offense picked up 25 first downs and gained 315 yards. They were efficient on third down, converting 53.8% of their chances, and Alvin Kamara rushed for 77 yards on 19 attempts, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt and scoring one touchdown. Derek Carr, who completed 28 of 36 passes for 239 yards, led the passing game, while Chris Olave led the team with 87 yards receiving.

The Saints’ passing game fell short of the endzone, as they didn’t record any passing touchdowns. Carr threw one interception, and the team was sacked once. New Orleans’ passing game finished with 235 yards, with a completion percentage of 77.8%.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

kansas city chiefs

Patrick Mahomes threw for 228 yards in the Chiefs’ 17-10 win over the Chargers, completing 19 of 29 passes. He also threw one touchdown and was Kansas City’s leading passer. The Chiefs’ offense had 16 first downs and finished with 245 total yards. Mahomes was sacked three times and threw one interception.

Kansas City struggled to get the running game going, finishing with just 101 yards on 26 attempts. Kareem Hunt was their leading rusher with 69 yards, including a long run of 10 yards. Travis Kelce led the Chiefs in receiving with 89 yards on seven catches.

Saints Team Defense

In the Saints’ 26-24 loss to the Falcons, their defense allowed 227 passing yards on 21 completions. The Saints’ defense did not allow a passing touchdown and held Atlanta to a 60% completion percentage. They also recorded one interception and limited the Falcons to a 36.4% conversion rate on third downs.

New Orleans gave up 88 rushing yards on just 15 attempts, but the Falcons were able to average 5.9 yards per attempt. The Saints’ defense managed only one sack and allowed Atlanta to outperform them in the tackles for loss department.

Chiefs Team Defense

In their 17-10 win over the Chargers, the Chiefs’ defense allowed just 169 passing yards and limited the Chargers to 55 yards on 24 rushing attempts. The Chiefs defended the run well, allowing only 2.3 yards per attempt, and pressured the quarterback with two sacks. Additionally, they held the Chargers to a 30.8% conversion rate on third downs.

Despite allowing one passing touchdown, the Chiefs’ defense helped secure the win by keeping the Chargers out of the endzone for most of the game. Kansas City’s defense also hit the quarterback six more times than the Chargers and had three more tackles for loss in the game.

Saints vs Chiefs Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Saints have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 24 points per game in this stretch.
  • Kansas City has played well in their previous five home games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 19 points per game while allowing 14. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-0-1.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Saints have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Kansas City has an ATS mark of 4-4-2 while going 7-3 straight up.

Saints vs Chiefs Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Chiefs to cover as 5-point favorites in this week five matchup between the Saints and Chiefs. We have the Chiefs winning by a score of 21-15.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 42.5 points, we are leaning towards the under with a projected combined score of 36 points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.