Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Prediction

NFL Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 9/30/2024

The Tennessee Titans will face off against the Miami Dolphins at 7:30 ET on Monday, September 30th. This matchup is being played at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens.

ESPN will be covering the week four AFC matchup between the Titans and Dolphins, which kicks off at 7:30 ET. The Dolphins are the slight underdogs at -109 on the money line, with the Titans favored by -1 on the road. The over/under line is currently at 36.5 points.

  • Date: Monday, September 30th
  • Time: 7:30 ET
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
  • TV: ESPN

Titans vs Dolphins

tennessee titans nfl

After losing 30-14 to the Packers, the Titans are winless at 0-3 for the season. The Titans were 3-point favorites at home, and the 16-point loss vs. the Packers dropped their ATS record to 0-3. The over/under line heading into the game was 37 points, and the teams combined for 44 points.

The Titans fell behind early, with the Packers leading 17-7 after the 1st quarter. Although the Titans managed to tie the game at 7 with a touchdown from Will Levis to Nick Vannett, they couldn’t keep up with the Packers, who outscored them in the 2nd quarter and added another touchdown in the 3rd quarter.

Miami fell behind early in their most recent game vs. the Seahawks, trailing 17-3 after the 1st quarter and losing 24-3. The Dolphins were +4 point underdogs on the road, and the 21-point loss dropped their record to 1-2. The game finished with a combined 27 points, falling short of the over/under line of 41.5 points.

Seattle’s Jason Myers opened the scoring with a 56-yard field goal, and Geno Smith connected with DK Metcalf for two first-quarter touchdowns. Miami managed a 23-yard field goal from Jason Sanders right before the end of the 1st quarter. However, the Dolphins couldn’t score again, and the Seahawks added a touchdown in the 4th quarter to close out the game.

Titans Injury Report

  • Chance Campbell – Knee (Out)
  • Marlon Davidson – Bicep (Out)
  • Garret Wallow – Pectoral (Out)
  • Jeffery Simmons – Elbow (Questionable)
  • Chidobe Awuzie – Groin (Out)
  • Cedric Gray – Shoulder (Out)
  • Colton Dowell – Knee (Out)
  • TK McLendon Jr. – Toe (Out)

Dolphins Injury Report

  • Grayson Murphy – Knee (Out)
  • Storm Duck – Shoulder (Questionable)
  • Patrick McMorris – Foot (Out)
  • Tahj Washington – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Malik Washington – Quad (Questionable)
  • Grant DuBose – Shoulder (Out)
  • Tua Tagovailoa – Concussion (Out)
  • David Long Jr. – Hamstring (Questionable)
  • Isaiah Wynn – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Kendall Fuller – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Raheem Mostert – Chest (Questionable)
  • Terron Armstead – Concussion (Questionable)
  • Odell Beckham Jr. – Undisclosed (Out)
  • Bradley Chubb – Knee (Out)
  • River Cracraft – Upper Body (Out)
  • Kion Smith – Knee (Out)
  • Anthony Schwartz – Knee (Out)
  • Cam Brown – Knee (Out)
  • Skylar Thompson – Ribs (Questionable)
  • Cam Smith – Hamstring (Out)
  • Cameron Goode – Undisclosed (Out)

Titans Offense Breakdown

The Titans managed just 33 yards rushing on 11 attempts in their 30-14 loss to the Packers. Quarterback Will Levis was under pressure throughout, being sacked eight times, but still threw for 260 yards, completing 76% of his passes and throwing two touchdowns. Tennessee finished with 18 first downs and 204 yards through the air.

DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 73 yards receiving and one touchdown. Tony Pollard was the top rusher with 14 yards. The Titans struggled on third down, converting only 33.3% of their chances.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

miami dolphins

Miami’s offense struggled in their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, managing just 13 first downs and 140 yards passing. The Dolphins’ running game was almost non-existent, with only 65 yards on 18 attempts. They also allowed six sacks and converted only 8.3% of their third down attempts.

Skylar Thompson, who went 13/19 for 107 yards, was the team’s leading passer. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing with 30 yards and added 28 receiving yards. Tyreek Hill was the top receiver with 40 yards.

Titans Team Defense

In their 30-14 loss to the Packers, the Titans’ defense gave up 190 yards through the air, with Green Bay rushing for 188 yards on 37 attempts. The Titans’ offense allowed 378 total yards. Despite not allowing any passing completions, they still gave up one passing touchdown. On 3rd downs, the Titans allowed the Packers to convert 35.7% of the time.

Tennessee’s defense managed three sacks in the game but lost the quarterback hit differential by a significant margin, with the Packers getting to the quarterback more often.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 24-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Dolphins’ defense allowed 270 passing yards, with Seattle completing at least one pass. Miami did come up with two interceptions, but they still allowed a passer rating of 102.4. On the ground, the Dolphins gave up 100 rushing yards on 23 attempts, and they allowed Seattle to convert on 50% of their third downs.

Miami’s defense did not allow a single completion in the most recent game, but they still gave up 270 yards through the air. They also allowed one passing touchdown. On the positive side, they did come up with three sacks and held Seattle to a 27.3% third-down conversion rate.

Titans vs Dolphins Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Titans have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 13 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 21 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-3 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Titans have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Titans vs Dolphins Prediction

Our pick vs. the spread is to take the Titans to cover as road favorites. Right now, the point spread lines have the Titans at -1, making them our pick to cover. We have them winning 20-18 over the Dolphins in this week four matchup.

For the over/under, with the line sitting at 36.5 points, we like the over, with our projections coming in at 38 combined points.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.