The Houston Texans will face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st. This matchup is being played at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville.
FOX will broadcast the week 13 AFC South matchup between the Texans and Jaguars, which kicks off at 1:00 ET. The Jaguars are the home team at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, FL. The Texans are favored on the road with a point spread of -5 and money line odds of -232. The Jaguars’ money line odds are +191, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points.
- Date: Sunday, December 1st
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville
- TV: FOX
Texans vs Jaguars
Heading into week 13, the Texans hold a 7-5 record, putting them atop the AFC South with a 3-1 division record. Our projections give Houston a 90.9% chance of winning the division and a 92.5% chance of making the playoffs. The Texans rank 12th in our NFL power rankings. They have a +1.4 scoring margin and are 5-7 against the spread this season.
After a big win over the Cowboys in week 11, the Texans couldn’t keep the momentum going, falling 32-27 to the Titans in week 12. They were favored by 8 points but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 7-5. The 59 points in the game went over the 40.5-point line, marking the second straight over in Houston’s games.
Heading into week 13, the Jaguars are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 52-6 blowout loss to the Lions in week 11. This dropped Jacksonville to 2-9 on the season, leaving them with just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 28th in our power rankings and sit last in the AFC South.
Jacksonville has a -9.8 scoring margin this season but is 6-5 against the spread. They are 5-2 ATS as underdogs but just 1-3 as favorites. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 47.6 points per contest.
Texans Injury Report
- Folorunso Fatukasi – Foot (Questionable)
- Stefon Diggs – Knee (Out)
- Case Keenum – Foot (Out)
- Kenyon Green – Shoulder (Out)
- Christian Harris – Calf (Out)
- Brevin Jordan – Knee (Out)
- Dalton Keene – Knee (Out)
- Ka’dar Hollman – Knee (Questionable)
- Jalen Pitre – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Blake Fisher – Concussion (Questionable)
- LaDarius Henderson – Foot (Out)
- Jaylon Thomas – Undisclosed (Out)
- Brandon Hill – Knee (Out)
- British Brooks – Knee (Out)
Jaguars Injury Report
- Christian Kirk – Collarbone (Out)
- Mitch Morse – Eye (Questionable)
- Tank Bigsby – Ankle (Questionable)
- Trevor Lawrence – Left Shoulder (Questionable)
- Tyson Campbell – Shoulder (Questionable)
- Gabe Davis – Knee (Out)
- De’Shaan Dixon – Knee (Out)
- Yasir Abdullah – Hamstring (Questionable)
- Cooper Hodges – Leg (Out)
- Maason Smith – Ankle (Questionable)
- Patrick Murtagh – Ankle (Out)
- David White Jr. – Knee (Out)
Texans Offense Breakdown
Heading into week 13, the Texans rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They are 12th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.8 points per game, and 16th in total yards with 336 per game. Houston ranks 15th in passing yards (221.4) while attempting 34.2 passes per game, which ranks 10th in the NFL. On the ground, they are 20th in rushing yards, averaging 114.6 per game on 27.2 attempts. The Texans have struggled on third down, converting just 37% of their attempts, which ranks 22nd in the league, and they are 23rd in red zone conversion percentage despite ranking 6th in red zone attempts.
C.J. Stroud threw for 247 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, completing 20 of 33 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. Joe Mixon was held to just 22 yards on 14 carries, while Nico Collins led the team with 5 catches for 92 yards and a touchdown. Houston scored 17 points in the first half but managed only 3 points in the 4th quarter in their loss to the Titans.
Jaguars Offense Breakdown
Jacksonville’s offense has struggled heading into week 13, ranking 24th in our power rankings. They are 30th in the NFL in yards per game (290.8) and 23rd in points per game (18.9). Jacksonville ranks 27th in passing yards per game (189.2) on 30.4 attempts per contest and is 25th in rushing yards per game (101.6) on 22.4 attempts. They are 30th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 31.9% success rate.
Mac Jones has started the last two games for Jacksonville, throwing for 138 yards and an interception in week 11. Before his injury, Trevor Lawrence had 2,004 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. Travis Etienne Jr. rushed for 27 yards on 12 carries in week 11, while Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 5 catches for 82 yards.
Texans Team Defense
The Texans’ defense struggled to stop the run in their 32-27 loss to the Titans, giving up 132 yards on 33 attempts. However, they did manage to sack the quarterback eight times and had a good day in the backfield, winning the tackles for loss and QB hit differentials. Despite their pressure, the Titans still managed to put up 369 yards on them.
Even though they allowed just 18 completions, the Texans gave up 237 yards through the air, including two touchdowns. Houston’s defense forced one interception and held the Titans to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down.
Jaguars Team Defense
The Jaguars’ defense had a tough time in their most recent game, giving up 52 points in a 52-6 loss to the Lions. They allowed 645 total yards and 196 rushing yards on 43 attempts. Against the pass, they gave up 449 yards, with the Lions completing 81.8% of their passes. Four of Detroit’s completions resulted in touchdowns.
Jacksonville’s defense struggled to get off the field, allowing the Lions to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. Additionally, the Jaguars didn’t record any sacks and lost the quarterback hit battle.
Texans vs Jaguars Trends
- In their last five road games, Houston has averaged 23 points per game while allowing 22. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
- In their last three games at home, the Jaguars have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 15 points per game in this stretch.
- As the betting underdog, the Jaguars have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Jacksonville posted a straight up mark of 0-10 in these matchups.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Houston has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 8-2 straight up.
Texans vs Jaguars Prediction
Our prediction for this week 13 matchup between the Jaguars and Texans is that Jacksonville will come out on top by a score of 26-17. With the point spread sitting at -5 in favor of the Jaguars, we like them to cover as home underdogs.
For this game, we also have a pick on the over/under. With the line at 43.5 points, we are leaning towards taking the under, projecting a combined score of 43 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:November 27, 2024 Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars